Chapter 9: Decision-Making Flashcards
What determines quality of decisions?
Our understanding and computation of costs and benefits. The opportunity cost of any activity is equal to its explicit cost plus its implicit cost (this includes the resources of the decision-maker: money, time, capital).
Common mistakes with either-or decisions?
People or businesses use their own assets in projects rather than rent or borrow assets as this overestimate economic profit by underestimating implicit costs. Time is also an implicit cost often forgotten.
Factors of profit-maximizing principle of marginal analysis:
Total cost = sum of marginal costs
Additional profit = marginal benefit - marginal cost.
Optimal quantity is when MC = MB. When this is the case, total profit is maximised as difference between total cost and total benefit is maximised.
Total profit = sum of additional profit
4 characteristics of rational humans, but lower monetary payoff:
Concerns about fairness
Non-monetary rewards – the principle of diminishing marginal utility suggests that non-monetary rewards are preferred to monetary payoffs since they produce direct satisfaction rather than satisfaction through consumption.
Bounded rationality – making a choice close to the highest payoff since computing the best payoff is too costly.
Risk aversion – the uncomfortability of a risk pushes people away from the best choice.
7 mistakes leading to irrational behavior:
Misperceptions about opportunity cost – forgetting implicit costs, sunk cost fallacy.
Overconfidence – relying on past success, not doing proper cost-benefit analysis.
Unrealistic expectations about future behavior (form of overconfidence)
Counting dollars unequally – mental accounting
Loss aversion
Framing bias – some form of bounded rationality. Anchoring
Status quo bias – decision paralysis, loss aversion. This has led to nudges.
Why do models exist for irrational humans?
Still provide robust predictions
Market forces compel people to act more rationally in the long run
Assuming rationality makes modelling simpler. Even behavioral economists search for predictably irrational behavior.
Why does behavioral economics exist?
Models assume monetary rationality but humans can either have rationality unrelated to monetary payoffs as the primary goal, or humans can be irrational.
How are consumption and production how-much decisions different?
Consumers are limited by income.
KEY TERM:
Explicit costs
a cost that requires an outlay of money.
KEY TERM:
Implicit costs
a cost that does not require the outlay of money; it is measured by the value, in dollar terms, of benefits that are forgone.
KEY TERM:
Accounting profit
revenue – explicit cost.
KEY TERM:
Economic profit
revenue – opportunity cost.
KEY TERM:
Capital
the total value of assets owned by an individual or firm — physical assets plus financial assets.
KEY TERM:
Implicit costs of capital
the opportunity cost of the use of one’s own capital — the income earned if the capital had been employed in its next best alternative use.
KEY TERM:
Principle of either-or decisions
the principle that, when faced with an “either-or” choice between two activities, choose the one with the positive economic profit.