Chapter 9 - Behavioral Finance and Technical Analysis Flashcards
Name the four important errors in Information Processing.
- Forecasting Errors.
- Overconfidence.
- Conservatism.
- Sample-size neglect and representativeness.
Models of financial markets that emphasize potential implications of psychological factors affecting investor behavior.
Behavioral Finance
Investors are too slow (too conservative) in updating their beliefs in response to recent evidence.
Conservatism Bias
People are too prone to believe that a small sample is representative of a broad population and infer patterns too quickly.
Representativeness bias
What are the four behavioral biases?
- Framing.
- Mental Accounting.
- Regret Avoidance.
- Prospect theory.
Decisions are affected by how choices are posed, for example, as gains relative to a low baseline level or losses relative to a higher baseline.
Framing.
A specific form of framing in which people segregate certain decisions.
Mental Accounting
People blame themselves more for unconventional choices that turn out badly so they avoid regret by making conventional decisions.
Regret Avoidance
Behavioral theory that investor utility depends on gains or losses from investors’ starting position, rather than on their levels of wealth.
Prospect Theory
The extent to which movements in broad market indexes are reflected widely in movements of individual stock prices.
Breadth
Recent performance of a given stock or industry compared to that of a broader market index.
Relative Strength
The ration of average volume in declining issues t average volume in advancing issues.
Trin Statistic
Ratio of the yield of top-rated corporate bonds to the yield of intermediate-grade bonds.
Confidence Index
The total number of shares currently sold short in the market.
Short Interest
Ratio of put options to call options outstanding on a stock.
Put/Call Ratio