Chapter 8 Flashcards
AS is used for…
With-profits and without-profits contracts
AS is evaluated for …
Individual policies and a block of policies issued with similar conditions
The earned AS is the …
Accumulation of:
* Premiums
* Investment income
* Miscellaneous profits
Less: (BCC PET)
* Benefit cost in excess of AS
* Cost of capital required to support NB strain
* Contribution to undistributed surplus of with-profits PH fund required to support smoothing of bonuses and increase in investment freedom
- Profit transfers to shareholders
- Expenses (initial & renewal)
- Tax on investment income + reserves made for future liabilities
Describe the process of calculating the AS at time t+1 for an individual policyholder from a block of business.
- The AS at time t+1 for the block of business is defined as the accumulation of the AS at time t + Premium received less expenses, minus the number of policies in force at the start of year t multiplied by the sum assured and the probability of dying in year t
- Individual AS at time t+1 is the above equation divided by the number of policies in force at the start of year t multiplied by the probability of surviving to t+1 (can rearrange this to see that the DSAR for an individual policy is the sum assured - the asset share at the start of the year)
- To allow for withdrawals, take the individual AS at time t+1 and subtract the AS at time t+1 multiplied by die surrender penalty and the probability of withdrawal. Divide this quantity by the probability of surviving to t+1
Initially the AS is …
ZERO.
What will influence the movement of the AS after inception?
- Premium (+)
- Investment income (+)
- Renewal expenses (-)
- Cost of life cover (-)
Describe the typical AS developments for a regular premium policy.
- Heavy initial expenses
- Cost of life cover increases as the policyholder ages - investment income has a compounding effect
- At maturity you expect the AS > S
- Negative AS at early duration = big problem for LIC because of risk of policy lapsing before AS > 0
What is the relationship between the AS and the SV?
The AS is the max SV payable under a policy to prevent policy from making a loss.
Ensure SV < AS, otherwise exposed to withdrawal risk
AS is a key tool in …
determination of with-profits bonus rates.
For __________ or __________ the __________ will be ___________ than for ___________ or ___________
- Larger policies
- Shorter terms
- Period of negative AS
- Shorter
- Smaller
- Longer
What historic information will be required for AS calculations?
Historic information on:
* Mortality experience
* Expenses
* Investment returns
* Withdrawal experience