Chapter 7: equity valuation Flashcards

1
Q

Equity securities

A

ownership interests in an underlying entity, usually a corporation

no fixed maturity date

pay dividends from after-tax earnings, so, unlike interest payments, they do not provide the issuer with a tax-deductible expense

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

we have to pay higher taxes on interest or dividend income?

A

interest income

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

the most common type of equity security

A

the common share

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

the common share

A

represents a certificate of ownership in a corporation

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

true “owners” of the corporation

A

Common shareholders

residual claimants of the corporation

–> entitled to income remaining only after all creditors and preferred shareholders have been paid

–> in the case of liquidation of the corporation, common shareholders are entitled to the remaining assets only after all other claims have been satisfied

can exert control over the corporation through their power to vote, which allows them to elect the board of directors and to vote on major issues, such as takeovers, corporate restructuring, and so on

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

preferred shares

A

provide the owner with a claim to a fixed amount of equity that is established when the shares are first issued

have preference over common shares with respect to income and assets (in the event of liquidation)

they rarely have any voting rights

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

maturity date of a preferred share

A

Traditionally, preferred shares have no maturity date, but over the past 30 years preferred shares have increasingly been issued with a fixed maturity date

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

The main difference between preferred shares and bonds

A

the board of directors declares any dividends

–> dividends are not a legal obligation of the firm until that declaration is made

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

The discount rate for equities when valuing equities

A

risk-free rate of return plus a risk premium

k = RF + Risk premium

k = the required return on an equity security

RF = the risk-free rate of return

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

what yield do we use for our discount rate when valuing equities?

why?

A

many analysts use long-term Canada bond yields as the risk-free rate

–> besause the use of a short-term interest rate often introduces problems, since it is directly affected by the Bank of Canada’s monetary policy

The risk premium will be based on an estimate of the risk associated with the security; the higher the risk, the higher the risk premium

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

the dividend declaration date

A

he date on which the board of directors decides that the firm will pay a dividend

–> after this declaration, the company is legally obliged to pay a dividend

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

holder of record

A

person who officially owns a share or shares on a given date

–> whoever is the owner “of record” of the company’s shares on this given date, will be entitled to receive the dividend

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

ex-dividend date

A

date after which shares trade without the right of the purchaser to receive a dividend

–> usually two business days before the holder of record date

if you sell before the date, you will not receive dividend

if you sell on that date or in between the two days prior to the holder of record date, you will be entitled to dividends

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

why is dividend tax rate lower?

A

because corporations already payed taxes before issuing the dividends

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

special dividend

A

a dividend over and above a firm’s normal dividend that the BOD indicates is not likely to be repeated

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP)

A

If the investor does not want to receive a dividend, many Canadian firms offer the option of using the cash dividend proceeds to buy new shares

DRIPs will buy as many shares as the cash dividend allows, with the residual deposited as cash

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

benefits of DRIPs 😳😳 for companies

A

shares are issued continuously at no cost, while they are also seen to be paying a regular dividend

foster a more ongoing relationship with investors

–>

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

benefits of DRIPs 😳😳 for investors

A

the automatic reinvestment averages their investment, since they are buying shares at a range of prices

also removes the problem of accumulating funds to reinvest

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

odd lots of shares

A

groups of shares that are purchased in odd-numbered lots instead of in multiples of 100

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

a stock dividend

A

a dividend paid in additional shares rather than cash

In terms of accounting, it is treated like a regular cash dividend

limited by the amount of retained earnings available

there is a lower-than-25-percent increase in the number of shares outstanding

investors face tax implications

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

one significant difference between a cash dividend plus DRIP and a stock dividend

A

With the cash dividend plus DRIP, the cash is distributed first, and it is up to the investors to decide whether they want to buy more shares

–> Regardless of the investors’ decisions, the firm has to have the cash to make the distribution

on the other hand, firms often do not have the cash and simply issue a stock dividend to give the investor “something”

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

a stock split

A

An extreme version of a stock dividend

there is a greater-than-25-percent increase in the number of shares outstanding

investors face no tax implications arising from a stock split

23
Q

the value of a preferred share formula

A

Pps = Dp / kp

Pps: the market price (or present value)

Dp: the dividend amount (or payment)

–> usually based on a stated par (or face) value and a stated dividend rate, which is similar to the coupon rate on a bond

kp: the required rate of return on the preferred shares (or discount rate)

24
Q

preferred share trading at par, premium, and discount

A

preferred shares will trade at par when the dividend rate equals the market rate

preferred shares will trade at discount when market rates exceed the dividend rate

preferred shares will trade at premium when market rates are less than the dividend rate

25
Q

The dividend discount model (DDM)

A

assumes that common shares are valued according to the present value of their expected future cash flows

the selling price at any point (say, time n) will equal the present value of all the expected future dividends from period n + 1 to infinity

26
Q

The dividend discount model (DDM) formula

A

P0 = (Dn + Pn) / (1 + kc)^n

P0 = the estimated share price today

Dn = the expected dividend at the end of year n

Pn = the expected share price after n years

kc = the required return on the common shares

–> this formula is to find the cash flow at a particular year

P0 = Et = 1 Dt / /1 + kc)^t

–> we only consider the dividends

–> it says that the value of a share is the present value of expected future dividends

–> we assume investors are rational

27
Q

The Constant Growth DDM

A

a version of the dividend discount model for valuing common shares, which assumes that dividends grow at a constant rate (g) indefinitely

P0 = D0(1 + g) / (kc - g)

–> This relationship holds only when kc is greater than g. Otherwise, the value is negative, which is uninformative

–> Only future estimated cash flows and estimated growth in these cash flows are relevant

–> The relationship holds only when growth in dividends is expected to occur at the same rate indefinitely

28
Q

three conditions needed so that the simplified the Constant Growth DDM formula holds?

A
  1. This relationship holds only when kc is greater than g. Otherwise, the value is negative, which is uninformative
  2. Only future estimated cash flows and estimated growth in these cash flows are relevant
  3. The relationship holds only when growth in dividends is expected to occur at the same rate indefinitely
29
Q

how to find Kc (estimate of rate of return) from the Constant Growth DDM formula?

A

Kc = D1 / P0 + g

D1 = D0(1 + g)

–> D1 is the dividend at the end of the year bruv

g: the expected capital gains yield

–> the total return must equal the dividend yield plus the capital gains yield

30
Q

the formula to asses the market’s perception of growth opportunities available to a company, as reflected in its market price

using the Constant Growth DDM formula

the present value of growth opportunities (PVGO)

A

P0 = EPS1 / kc

Under these conditions, we have g = 0 and D1 = EPS1

EPS1 represents the expected earnings per common share in the upcoming year

no growth component

31
Q

Constant Growth DDM formula with present value of growth opportunities (PVGO)

A

the constant growth DDM will be made up of two components:

–> its no-growth component

–> the present value of growth opportunities (PVGO)

P0 = (EPS1 / kc) + PVGO

32
Q

according to the DDM , what make the price of a share increase?

A
  1. an increase in D1
  2. an increase in g
  3. a decrease in kc
33
Q

the three important fundamentals linked to common share prices

A
  1. corporate profitability

–> expected dividends are closely related to profitability

  1. the general level of interest rates
  2. risk

all else being equal, the DDM predicts that common share prices will be higher when profits are high (and expected to grow), when interest rates are lower, and when risk premiums are lower

34
Q

what happens to share prices if we increase the interest rates (rate of return) kc?

A

they drop

35
Q

what happens to share prices if we decrease the interest rates (rate of return) kc?

A

they rise

36
Q

what happens to share prices if we decrease the growth rate g?

A

they drop

37
Q

what happens to share prices if we increase the growth rate g?

A

they rise

38
Q

a company’s sustainable growth rate

A

One of the most common approaches to estimate the expected annual growth rate in dividends (g)

the earnings retention ratio multiplied by return on equity

g = b · ROE

b = the firm’s earnings retention ratio = 1 − the firms’s dividend payout ratio

ROE = the firm’s return on common equity = net profit/common equity

39
Q

the main formula to find the ROE

A

Net income / equity

40
Q

the three factors that create the main formula to find the ROE when simplified

A

ROE = (Net income/Sales) · (Sales/Total assets) · (Total assets/Equity)

= Net profit margin · Turnover ratio · Leverage ratio

41
Q

The Multiple-Stage Growth Version of the DDM

A

we can’t assume dividends will always grow

P0 = (Dt + Pt)/(1 + kc)^t + E((Dn-1)/(1 + kc)^(n-1))

Pt = (Dt+1)/(kc - g)

  1. we estimate dividends up to the beginning of the period in which it is reasonable to assume constant growth to infinity
  2. Then we can use the constant growth DDM to estimate the market price of the share at that time (Pt)
  3. Finally, we discount all the estimated dividends up to the beginning of the constant growth period, as well as the estimated market price at that time
  4. This provides us with today’s estimate of the share’s market price
42
Q

Limitations of the DDM

A

it is best suited for companies that:

(1) pay dividends based on a stable dividend-payout history that they want to maintain in the future
(2) are growing at a steady and sustainable rate

43
Q

two variations of using cashflows instead of the DDM method

A

(1) using free cash flows to equity holders and discounting them using the required return to equity holders (as in the DDM)
(2) using free cash flows to the firm and discounting them using the firm’s weighted average cost of capital

44
Q

the price-earnings (P/E) ratio

A

the most commonly used relative valuation multiple

the share price divided by the earnings per share

represents the number of times investors are willing to pay for a company’s earnings

45
Q

the price of a share using the price-earnings (P/E) ratio

A

P0 = estimated EPS1 · Justified P/E ratio = EPS1 · P0/E1

EPS1 = expected future earnings (leading P/E ratio)

46
Q

lagging P/E ratios

A

the reported P/E ratios based on earnings over the previous 12 months

47
Q

leading P/E ratios

A

P/E ratios based on expected future earnings

48
Q

relative valuation

A

valuing a firm relative to other comparable firms

49
Q

when do we tend to think the stock market is undervalued

A

When P/E ratios fall below 15X

50
Q

when do we tend to think the stock market is overvalued

A

when the P/E creeps above 20X

51
Q

benefits of the P/E ratio

A
  1. it relates the price to the earnings owned by the shareholders
  2. it is easy to calculate and, as a result, is commonly available

–> makes comparisons relatively straightforward

  1. it is intuitive, as it indicates the payback period and can be related to a number of other firm characteristics, such as growth opportunities and risk
52
Q

reformed P/E ratio using dividends and shit

A

P/E = (D1/EPS1)/(kc - g)

D1/EPS1: the expected dividend payout ratio at time 1

kc: the required rate of return
g: the expected growth rate of dividends

–> expected earnings, not historical earnings, is the relevant input

53
Q

reformed P/E ratio using dividends and shit

the needed criteria for the formula to hold

A
  1. The higher the expected payout ratio, the higher the P/E
  2. The higher the expected growth rate, g, the higher the P/E
  3. The higher the required rate of return, kc, the lower the P/E

–> these variables are all interrelated and a change in one can cause the opposite effect on the other

54
Q

Limitations of P/E Ratios

A

difficulties in estimating an appropriate P/E ratio and in estimating future EPS

P/E ratios are uninformative when companies have negative, or very small, earnings

the volatile nature of earnings implies a great deal of volatility in P/E multiples