Chapter 6. Climate Risk Measurement and Management Flashcards
What is Risk Management?
It is a structured approach to monitoring, measuring, and managing exposures to reduce the potential impacts of uncertain occurrences.
How can climate risk management help when proactively practiced?
To mitigate the impacts of climate change, both physical and transition, on a financial institution’s portfolio or corporation’s operations.
What types of financial risk does climate risk affect?
- Operational
- Credit
- Liquidity
- Underwriting / Insurance
- Sovereign
What is required to understand physical risk?
- Forward-looking climate models and historical weather data
- Information on physical geography
- Adaptive infrastructure
- Market responses
- Cross-correlations and distributions
What are the economic risk transmission channel categories?
- Microeconomic, affecting small businesses and households
- Macroeconomic, aggregate impacts on the Macroeconomy
What is the operational risk?
It is the risk inherent in doing business. It reflects potential losses from inadequate or failed internal processes, systems, human error, or outside events such as extreme weather or terrorist attacks.
Which are the operational risk metrics?
- The proportion of facilities in risky areas
- Level of company preparedness
Which are the operational risks subcategories?
- External risk (from outside events)
- Systems risk
- People risk (from human error)
- Internal process risk
- Legal
- Strategic
- Reputational
What is the credit risk?
The creditworthiness, or ability a borrower has to pay back a loan.
Which are the credit risk metrics?
- Probability of default (PD)
- Loss given default (LGD)
- Exposure at default (EAD)
Which are the transmission channels from climate to credit risk?
- Operational risk (physical and transition)
- Valuation effects (asset stranding)
- Pricing effects (on raw materials and products)
What is the liquidity risk?
It’s about losing access to liquidity—the ability to quickly and easily convert assets into cash.
Which are the liquidity risk metrics?
- Loan-to-deposit ratios (specifically for banks)
- Bid-ask spreads (specifically for markets)
What is the underwriting risk?
The risk is that an insurance company will suffer losses because the economic situation or the occurring rate of incidents has changed contrary to the forecast made when a premium rate was set. As a result, the insurer’s costs may significantly exceed earned premiums.
Which are the underwriting risk metrics?
- Changes in insurance premiums
- Availability of insurance.
How can climate transition risk affect underwriting risk?
Through general liability or “directors and officers” (D&O) policies through which, insurance takes on (at least part of) the financial risks of a firm being sued due to a lack of ability to meet policy, operational, and technological changes required for a transition to a net-zero economy.
What does the operational risk require to have a systemic effect?
- To manifest across various companies, having ripple effects across supply chains and through to markets, customers, and financial counterparties.
- Geographic concentration and pinch points in supply chains.
What does the credit risk require to have a systemic effect?
Changing demand and cost structures resulting from climate-related pressures can impact a sector’s revenues and profits, as can physical climate impacts leading to business interruption, both of which can lead to widespread increases in credit risk.