Chapter 5 Flashcards
Using the time line:
you can find one variable if you have 4 others in the group (PV,r,n,FV).
FV = PV(1 + r)t FV = future value PV = present value r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal t = number of periods
But, notice that we so far we dealt only with single cash flows…
Introduction
Many business situations involve multiple cash flows
Annuity problems deal with regular, evenly-spaced cash flows
Car loans and home mortgage loans
Saving for retirement
Companies paying interest on debt
Companies paying dividends
Ordinary Annuity: Future Value
You deposit $100 at the end of each year in a bank account offering 5% interest rate. How much will you have at the end of 3 years? Question: FV of ordinary annuity of PMT=$100 for n=3, r=5%
FVA3=PMT+PMT(1+r)^1+PMT(1+r)^2
FVA=100+100(1+).05)^1+1+0.05
Ordinary Annuity: Present Value
What lump sum payment today would be equivalent to having a 3-year ordinary annuity of $100? You earn 5% in your investments. Question: PV of ordinary annuity of PMT=$100 for n=3, r=5%
PVA3=PMT/(1+r)+PMT/(1+r)^2+PMT/(1+r)^3
PVA3=100/(1.05)+100/(1.05)^2+100/(1.05)^3
Ordinary Annuity: Formulas
Present Value:
PVA= Sigma(PMT/1+r)^t
PVA=PMT[1/r-1/r*(1+r)^n]
Future Value:
FVA=PMT[Sigma(1+r)^n-t]
FVA=PMT*[(1+r)^n-1/r]
Suppose you want to retire at 60 years old with $1 million at the bank. You are told you can earn 10% per year. You are 20 years old now, and plan to invest the same amount at the end of each year. What is this amount?
Let’s solve it:
The inputs are PV=0, FV=1,000,000, r=10%, n=40 and what I need is PMT
FVA=PMT[(1+r)^n-1/r]
1,000,000=PMT[(1.01)^40-1/0.1]
PMT=2,259.41
*Can use financial calculator
Annuities and the Financial Calculator
In the previous chapter, the level payment button PMT was always set to zero
Now, for annuities, we can use the PMT key to input the annuity payment
Example: suppose that $100 deposits are made at the end of each year for five years. If interest rates are 8 percent per year, the future value of the annuity is:
Input: N=5; I/YR=8; PMT=-100
Output: FV=586.66
Ordinary Annuity: Solving FV
You deposit $100 at the end of each year in a bank account offering 5% interest rate. How much will you have at the end?
Question: FV of ordinary annuity of PMT=$100 for n=3 years, r=5%
Inputs: N=3; I/YR=5; PV=0; PMT=-100
Output: FV=315.25
Ordinary Annuity: Solving PV
What lump sum payment today would be equivalent to having a 3-year $100 ordinary annuity? You can earn 5% in your investments.
Question: PV of ordinary annuity of PMT=$100 for n=3 years, r=5%
Inputs: N=3; I/YR=5; PMT=100; FV=0
Output: PV=-272.32
Special Annuity: Perpetuity
Perpetuity: a stream of equal payments expected to continue forever
Example: British bonds sold in 1815 promising to pay $100 per year in perpetuity
0–r—1(100)—-2(100)—-n(100)—–
Special Annuity: Perpetuity Cont.
Luckily, computing the PV of a perpetuity is simple:
PV(Perpetuity)=PMT/r
That is, if your opportunity cost rate is 10% then the British bonds were worth:
0—r=10%—1(100)—2(100)—-n(100)—-
PV(Perpetuity)=100/0.10=1,000
Perpetuity: Challenge
Can you derive the formula to compute the present value of a perpetuity?
Hint: derive first a general formula to compute the value of an ordinary annuity, and then see what happens as n (the number of periods) increase
PVA=PMT[1/3-1/r(1+r)^n]
What if the Flows are Not Fixed?
What lump sum payment today would be equivalent to having the stream of payments below? You earn 5% in your investments
0--r=5%--1(100)--2(150)--3(280) 100*1/1.05=95.24 150*1/1.05^2=136.05 280*1/1.05^3=241.87 PVA3=473.16
*Methodologically, nothing changes; using the calculator, though, you won’t use the PMT feature.
Applications: Example 2
You decide to finish your $1,000 debt with the credit card by paying the minimum amount of $20 each month. The interest rate on the credit card is 1.5% per month. How long will you need to pay off the debt?
Let’s solve it:
The inputs are PV=1,000, FV=0, PMT=-20, r=1.5 and what I need is n.
You can solve it algebraically, starting from:
PVA=PMT[1/r-1/r(1+r)^n]
1,000=20[1/0.015-1/0.015(1+0.015)^n]
Or you go directly to the calculator and find n=93.11. Thus, you need more than 93 months to liquidate the debt.
Applications: Example 3
Tuition costs for your newborn will be $90,000 in 18 years. You plan to deposit $1,000 at the end of each year in your bank account. How much interest rate do you need in order to cover her tuition?
Let’s solve it: The inputs are PV=0, FV=90,000, PMT=-1,000, n=18 and what I need is r. Look at the algebra: FVA=PMT*[(1+r)^n-1/r] 90,000=1,000*[(1+r)^18-1/r]
but you cannot solve using the formula!
It is trial and error, or use a financial calculator, or Excel. The result is r=16.65%