Chapter 5 Flashcards
Sales potential
Portion of the market potential that a particular firm can reasonable expect to achieve
Market potential
Estimate of the possible sales of a commodity, a group of commodities, or a service for an entire industry in a market during a stated period under legal conditions
Sales forecast
An estimate of the dollar or unit sales for a specified future period
Sales quotas
Sales goals assigned to a marketing unit for use in managing sales efforts
Subjective forecasting methods
Do not rely primarily on sophisticated quantitative analytical approaches in developing the forecast
User expectations
Method of forecasting sales aka buyers intentions method
Relies on answers from customers regarding their expected consumption or purchases of the product
Sales force composite
Method of forecasting sales
Initial input is the opinion job of each member of the field sales staff
Jury of executive opinion
Method of forecasting
Formal or informal internal poll of key executives within the selling company in order to gain their assessment of sales possibilities
Delphi technique
Method of forecasting
Uses an iterative approach with repeated measurement and controlled anonymous feedback, instead of direct confrontation and debate among the experts preparing the forecast
Objective forecasting methods
Rely primarily on more sophisticated quantitative analytical approaches in developing the forecast
Market test
Placing a product in several representative geographic areas to see how well it performs and then projecting that experience to the market as a whole
Time series analysis
Method of forecasting
Rely on the analysis of historical data to develop a prediction for the future
Moving average
Method of forecasting
Average of a number of years sales
Exponential smoothing
Type of moving average
Weights most recent observations heaviest vs equally
Decomposition method
Applied to monthly or quarterly data where a seasonal pattern is evident and the manger wishes to forecast sales not only for the year but also each period in the year