Chapter 4: Principles of Exchange-Traded Derivatives Flashcards
What is the price of a future derived from?
Future price = cost of carry + current underlying market price
What is the price of a future derived from for equity futures?
Future price = net financing costs + current underlying market price
What does fair value represent in futures pricing?
Fair value indicated when a future is priced correctly based on net cost of carry and the current underlying price. This is the arbitrage free value.
How do you calculate net finance costs for equity index futures?
Net finance costs = interest - dividends
How does the International Accounting Standard Boards define fair value of a future? What does the IASB require from all market participants?
The value at which the future can be traded between 2 market participants at any given time. In other words, this is the market price. The IASB requires daily MTM evaluation of all futures.
What is a contango market? Where are contango markets common?
Contango markets are where the future price is greater than the current market price occur. These occur when cost of carry is high
What is a backwardation market? Where a backwardation markets common?
A backwardation market is a market where the current market price is greater than the future market price. Backwardation is prominent in the bond market as long term interest rates are higher than STIRs. Can also occur in commodities markets when a steep premium is offered for instant delivery.
What is convergence in futures pricing?
Convergence occurs when there is a cost of carry and therefore the current market price of an asset and the futures price differ. Convergence is the process over the futures lifetime where the 2 prices converge on eachother.
What is basis a measure of in the futures markets? How do you calculate basis?
Basis measures the difference between a cash price and future price. Basis = cash price - future price.
Why is it unlikely that a future price will always remain at fair value?
different market participants have varying costs and therefore the futures price cannot factor in every individuals relative cost of carry.
What affects the basis?
Changes in supply and demand
Changes to the cost of carry (IR movements, insurance cost changes and dividend yield movements)
Different cost bases for market participants
Changes in time remains to expiry (convergence).
What does it mean when basis moves in a positive or negative direction?
Basis = Cash price - futures price therefore when basis increase cash price strengthens and the inverse is true when basis moves in a. negative direction.
How does basis act in contango and backwardation markets?
Backwardation - basis weakens
Contango - basis strengthens
What should a trade do when basis is expected to strengthen in order to profit?
Buy the spread.
When basis is expected to increase, the cash price is expected to rise relative to futures price. Therefore to make profit, if a trade buyers the underlying and sells the future, gains from the underlying will not be netted out by owning the future.
What is the spread in finance?
The difference between 2 prices.
What is basis risk?
The risk that a futures price will move differently from the underlying security.