Chapter 4 Flashcards

1
Q

An experiment

A

A process that, when performed, results in one and only one of many observations.

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2
Q

Outcomes

A

The observations from the experiment.

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3
Q

Sample space

A

The collection of all outcomes for an experiment is called a sample space.
Ex: tree diagrams

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4
Q

Event

A

A collection of one or more of the outcomes of an experiment.

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5
Q

2 types of events

A
  1. Compound event
  2. Simple event
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6
Q

Simple event

A

A event that includes one and only one of the final outcomes for an experiment.
Denoted by Ei
Ex: tossing 2 heads or a heads tails

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7
Q

Compound event

A

A collection of more than one outcome for an experiment.
Ex: tossing at least one head

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8
Q

Probability

A

The numerical measure of the likelihood that a specific event will occur.

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9
Q

2 properties of probability

A
  1. The probability of an event will always lie between 0 and 1
  2. The sum of probabilities of all simple events (or final outcomes) for an experiment is always 1
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10
Q

Classical probability

A

If the probability in an experiment is equally likely.

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11
Q

Classical probability for a simple event

A

P = 1/ total number of outcomes

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12
Q

Classical probability for a compound event

A

P = number of outcomes favourable to a / total number of outcomes for the experiment

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13
Q

Relative frequency

A

If the outcomes of experiments are not equally likely.
Gives an approximate probability
P = frequency of event A/ sample size

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14
Q

Law of large numbers

A

If an experiment is repeated again and again, the probability of an event obtained from the relative frequency approaches the actual (or theoretical) probability.

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15
Q

Subjective probability

A

The probability assigned to an event based on subjective judgement, experience, information, and belief.
A guess.

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16
Q

Marginal probability

A

The probability of a single event without consideration of any other event.

17
Q

Conditional probability

A

The probability that an event will occur given that another has already occurred.
Probability of A given B = P(A| B)

18
Q

Mutually exclusive events

A

Events that cannot occur together.
Ex: toss a coin

19
Q

Independent events

A

2 events where one does not affect the probability or the occurrence of the other.
P (a|b) = P(A) or P (b|a) = P(B)

20
Q

Dependent events

A

If the events occur where one event affects the probability of the occurrence of the other events.
P(a|b) does not = P(A) or P (b|a) does not = P(B)

21
Q

Complementary events

A

Complement of A = Ac or A bar
Ac = the event that includes all the outcomes for an experiment that are not in A.
Opposite of the event A.

22
Q

Intersection of events

A

The intersection of events A and B represents the collection of all outcomes that are common to both A and B.
A and B = A n B

23
Q

Joint probability

A

The probability of the intersection of two events.

24
Q

Joint probability of independent events

A

P(A n B) = P(A) x P(B)
Can be extended to more than two independent events.

25
Q

Joint probability of dependent events

A

P(A n B) = P(A) x P(B | A)
P(A n B) = P(B) x P(A | B)

26
Q

Joint probability of mutually exclusive events

A

It is always zero.
They can never happen at the same time.

27
Q

Union of events

A

The union of events A and B represents the collection of all outcomes that belong to either A or B or to both A and B.
A u B = A or B

28
Q

Probability of 2 mutually nonexclusive events.

A

P(A | B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)

29
Q

Probability of 2 mutually non-exclusive events.

A

P(A n B) = P(A) + P(B)

30
Q

Calculating total outcomes

A

The total number of outcomes for an event comes from multiplying the number of outcomes from each individual experiment.

31
Q

Factorials

A

n! = n factorial
Represents the products of all the integers from n to 1.
Ex: n! = 4x3x2x1 = 24

32
Q

Combinations

A

Give the number of ways x elements can be selected - from n elements.
Order does not matter
nCx
n = total number of elements
x = denotes the number of elements selected per selection
n! / x! (n-x)!

33
Q

Permutations

A

The order of selection does matter.
The number of permutations is always greater than or equal to the number of combinations.
Total selections of x elements from n (different) elements in such a way that the order of selections is important.
Can be called “arangements”
nPx = n! / (n-x)!