Chapter 4 Flashcards
Main measure of underlying risk
Exposure measure
Risk factors
All elements of additional consideration that will help define the risk
Rating factors
Elements of factors that can determine lvel of premium
Arithmetic mean
total sum of / total frequency -> asking someone for the average
- includes all values
- can be distoreted easily
- meaningless if data set is whole numbers
Mean vs Medain
Mode more suitable when:
- mean = dominant outliers
- valuable data ignored by taking middle value
- modal average used to measure:
- preferences
common number of bedrooms in a house
frewuent time period to do x
Freq distro
Large number of data:
- summarise all types of numerical data
Normal distro
Around the aeverage value
Poisson distro
probability of certain number of events occurring with given timeframe
Stochastic model
Estimate future occurrence and cost of claims -> EM siumlations
Cat claims
Natural perils
Latent claims
Hard to predict caused by diseases long delay from incident and it from manifesting
Expected value of claims
total sum of probability x number of claims
Limitations of stats data
- changes in underlying risk covered
- changes in uw policy
- changes in exposure overtime
- changes in legislation