Chapter 3: International Currency System: Flexible and Fixed Exchange Rates Flashcards
How does independence of monetary policy differ depending on the choice of floating/ fixed exchange rate system?
Fixed exchange rates: Central banks are dependent and have to intervene, can’t be independent
Fixed exchange rates: Can central banks in the long run succeed in compensating foreign exchange markets monetary effects through sterilised interventions?
- Sterilised interventions not possible in the long run
- Country averts stabilising effects of monetary mechanisms
- lose official reserves
Why are fixed exchange rates, independent monetary policy and free capital mobility incompatible in the long run?
- Incompatible trinity
- If country wants to have different policy than base country but also keep the other factors: Sell foreign currency -> in the long run they will run out of reserves
Preconditions of fixed exchange rate systems
- Economic integration
- Economic stability
- Harmonisation of monetary policy
Fixed exchange rate system vs. single currency area
- single currency area much stricter
- doesn’t allow revaluations and devaluations
- no exit option
Maastricht really conditions for Euro-area entry
3 monetary rules:
-interest rates shouldn’t deviate
-inflation rate should be close to others
-exchange rate shouldn’t fluctuate too much against Euro
2 fiscal rules:
-fiscal deficit not over 2%
-total debt not over 60%
-> important also after entry because countries with high nominal debt will lobby for high inflation once in union
Why did the Maastricht criteria fail?
- rules not complied with
- no punishments
- Germany used its power to negotiate fine away
- if Germany as largest economy isn’t sectioned, others have no reason to comply with rules
Conditions required for members to benefit from optimal currency areas
Conditions: Economic integration, economic similarity, harmonisation of monetary policy
Benefits: Efficiency benefits, lower stability costs, stability gains, political benefits
How well does Euro-area fit with optimal currency area theory’s requirements?
- Integration criterion: low interregional trade
- Symmetry criterion: average symmetry
- Labor mobility criterion: low, labor markets not that integrated due to language differences
- Fiscal criterion: interstate stabilisers essentially nonexistent