Chapter 3: (edit for 3.6) Flashcards
Excluding 3.7
What is the job of a financial manager?
To make decisions on behalf of the firms investors
How does a financial manager make a decision?
They must be able to compare the costs and benefits and determine the best decision to make so as to maximize the value of the firm
When a good decision is made, what do we expect to see?
The benefits exceeding the costs.
To make a good decision, a financial manager cannot make these decisions by himself. What are the other departments are involved in management decisions?
- Marketing
- Economics
- Organizational behavior
- Strategy
- Operations
What is the first thing a team has to do in order to start the ‘decision-making process’?
- A team must identify the costs and benefits of a decision
What is the second step of the decision-making process?
After identifying both the cost and the benefits they must be able to quantify both the costs and the benefits.
In order to compare both the costs and benefits what do we need to do?
We need to evaluate both the costs and the benefits in the same term - cash today
Example: Suppose a jewelry manufacturer has the opportunity to trade 400 ounces of silver for 10 ounces of gold today:
What do we need to do in order to compare the costs and benefits?
- It would be incorrect to compare the value an ounce of gold to silver because they are two different commodities.
- We need to quantify their values in equivalent terms
Suppose a jewelry manufacturer has the opportunity to trade 400 ounces of silver for 10 ounces of gold today.
Consider the silver.
What is its cash value today?
Suppose silver can be bought and sold for a current market price of $35 per ounce?
The cash value of silver is the
(400 ounces of silver) * ($35 per ounce of silver) = 14,000
Suppose a jewelry manufacturer has the opportunity to trade 400 ounces of silver for 10 ounces of gold today.
Consider the gold.
What is its cash value today if the current market price for gold is $1700 per ounce?
The cash value would be
(10 ounces of gold) * (1700 per ounce of gold) = $17,000
Suppose a jeweler manufacturer has the opportunity to trade 400 ounces of silver for 10 ounces of gold today.
Considering the example above where the cash value of silver is 14,000 and the cash value of gold is 17,000.
What is the benefit and cost if the trade happens?
The jeweler’s opportunity is that it has the benefit of receiving 17,000 today and a cost of 14,000.
By accepting the trade the jeweler will be richer by 3,000.
From the gold and silver example, what determines the cash value of the good?
When a good is trades in the competitive marketing - which is the market it can be bought and sold at the same price that price determines the cash value of the good.
As long as the competitive market exists, the value of the good will not be at all dependent o the views or preferences of the decision maker.
You have just won a radio contest and are disappointed to find out that the prize is four tickets to the Drake concert (face value $200 each). Not being a fan of Drake, you have no intention of going to the show. However, it turns out that there is a second choice: two tickets to The Weeknd’s sold-out show (face value $150 each). You notice that on StubHub, tickets to the Drake show are being bought and sold for $225 each, and tickets to The Weeknd’s show are being bought and sold at $400 each. What should you do?
Solution:
Market prices, not your personal preferences (or the face value of the tickets), are relevant here:
-four Drake tickets at $225 each
- two tickets to The Weeknd at $400 each.
You need to compare the market values of both options, and choose the one with the highest market value.
The Drake tickets have a total value of versus the $800 total value of The Weeknd tickets . Instead of taking the tickets to The Weeknd, you should accept the four Drake tickets, sell them on StubHub, and use the proceeds as you wish. Even though you are not a fan of Drake, you should still take the opportunity to take Drake tickets as they give you the most value in terms of dollars today. As we emphasized earlier, whether this opportunity is attractive depends on its net value using market prices. Because the value of Drake tickets is $100 more than the value of The Weeknd tickets, the opportunity is financially appealing. Your personal preferences are irrelevant because you can still realize the value of the Drake tickets by trading them in the competitive market and then acquiring (at a lower cost) tickets to The Weeknd concert.
What do we do when we evaluate the cost ad benefit’s using competitive market prices?
We help determine whether a decision will make the firm and its investors wealthy
What is the valuation principle?
Its the value of an asset to the firm or its investors is determined by the ‘competitive market price’.
Both the benefits and the costs of a decision should be evaluated using these market prices and when the value benefits exceeds the value of the costs, the decision will increase the market value of the firm.
What does the valuation principle provide basis for?
The decision making process
You are the operations manager at your firm. Due to a pre-existing contract, you have the opportunity to acquire 200 barrels of oil and 3000 kilograms of copper for a total of $35,000. The current competitive market price of oil is $100 per barrel and of copper is $7 per kilogram. You are not sure you need all of the oil and copper, and are concerned that the values of both commodities may fall in the future. Should you take this opportunity?
To answer this question, you need to convert the costs and benefits to their cash values using market prices:
The net value of the opportunity today is 20k+ 21K - 35K = 6K . Because the net value is positive, you should take it.
This value depends only on the current market prices for oil and copper. Even if you do not need all the oil or copper, or expect their values to fall, you can sell them at current market prices and obtain their value of $41,000. Thus, the opportunity is a good one for the firm, and will increase its value by $6000.
What does competitive market prices allow us to calculate?
The value of a decision without worrying about the tastes or opinion of the decision maker and if they are not available we can no longer do this.
The local Lexus dealer hires you as an extra in a commercial. As part of your compensation, the dealer offers to sell you today a new Lexus for $53,000. The best available retail price for the Lexus is $60,000, and the price you could sell it for in the used car market is $55,000. How would you value this compensation?
(List all possible options)
If you plan to buy a Lexus anyway, then the value to you of the Lexus is $60,000, the price you would otherwise pay for it. In this case, the value of the dealer’s offer is 60k - 53k = 7k . But suppose you do not want or need a Lexus. If you were to buy it from the dealer and then sell it, the value of taking the deal would be 55k - 53k = 2k . Thus, depending on your desire to own a new Lexus, the dealer’s offer is worth somewhere between $2000 (you don’t want a Lexus) and $7000 (you definitely want one). Because the price of the Lexus is not competitive (you cannot buy and sell at the same price.), the value of the offer is ambiguous and depends on your preferences.
What do we see (specifically in the time periods for) costs and benefits?
The costs and benefits occur at different points in time.
Example:
Consider an investment opportunity with the following certain cash flows:
Cost: 100,000 today
Benefit: 105,000 in one year
Do you think just because its expressed in dollar terms, it can be directly comparable?
How can we make them be in the same time period (specifically how can we make the cost in the same period as the benefit)?
Or
How can we make them be in the same time period (specifically how can we make the benefit in the same period as the cost)?
No, due to the fact that would be ignoring the timing of the costs and benefits and it treats money today as equivalent to money in one year.
C = 100,000 today * (1.07 $ in on year $ today) = 107,000 in one year
We think of this amount as the opportunity cost of not spending 100k today to get 107k we would have in one year if we leave it in the bank.
Now that its expressed in the same terms (dollars in one year), the net value of this would be = 105k (benefit) - 107k (cost) = -2k
In other words, we could earn $2000 more in one year by putting our $100,000 in the bank rather than making this investment. We should reject the investment: if we took it, we would be $2000 poorer in one year than if we didn’t.
Or
benefit = 105 (in one year) / 1.07 in one year / today) = 98,130.84 today
Benefit - cost = -1869.16
What do we have to think about the relationship between a dollar today and one more in the future?
In general, a dollar today is worth more than a dollar in one year. If we have a $1 today you can invest it
What does time value of money discuss?
Its the difference in value between money today and money in the future
What happens when we deposit money in a savings account and also what happens when we borrow money from the bank?
We can convert money today (with interest) into money in the future with no added risk.
When we borrow money from the bank we can exchange money today for money in the future determine by the current interest rate
What does an interest rate allow us to do?
The interest rate allows us to convert a currency at one point of time to the same currency at another point in time.
In essence, an interest rate is like an exchange rate across time.
It tells us the market price today of money in the future.
What is the risk-free interest rate?
Its the interest rate for a given period at which money can be borrowed or lent without risk over that period:
We can exchange (1+ rF) dollars in the future per dollar today and vice versa
What does (1+rF) refer to?
It refers to the interest rate factor for a risk free cash flow;
It defines the exchange rate (or how we calculate money) across time and has units of $in one year per $ today.
What does the risk-free interest rate depend on?
Its dependent on the supply and demand.
We can use this to rate evaluate other decisions in which costs and benefits are separated in time without knowing the investors preferences
Example:
What if we asked the bank for 105k in the future with 7% risk free interest rate how much would we ask for today?
= 105k / 1.07 = 98,130.84
When we make a decision on an investment does it matter if the investments value is expressed in terms of dollars in one year or dollars today?
No we should reject if the costs exceed the benefits and vice versa
What is the present value?
when we express the value in terms of dollars today
What is the future value?
If we express it in terms of dollars in the future
what happens when the price is presented in terms of today?
Money is worth less today than in the future, so the price reflects a discount as there’s a reduction in value
Because it provides the discount at which we can purchase money in the future (future money), the amount 1/ (1+r) is called the one-year discount factor.
What do we call the risk-free interest rate in terms of today?
Discount rate for a risk -free investment in the PV
The cost of building the Canada Line that extends Vancouver’s rapid transit from downtown to Richmond and the airport was projected to be about $2.05 billion in 2005. The Canada Line opened in 2009 in advance of the 2010 Vancouver Winter Olympics. In 2005, projections for Vancouver-area construction costs indicated that costs were rising by about 10% per year. If the interest rate was 3.25%, what would have been the cost of a one-year delay in terms of dollars in 2005?
Look at example 3.4 in chapter 3 (3.2)
Example: Suppose you are offered the following investment opportunity: in exchange for $500 today, you will receive $550 in one year with certainty. If the risk-free interest rate is 8% per year then
PV(Benefit) = 550 in one year / (1.08) = 509.26
This PV is the amount we would need to put in the bank today to generate $550 in one year . -
it is the amount you need to invest at the current interest rate to recreate the cash flow (FV cash flow)
Once the costs and benefits are in present value terms, we can compute the investment’s NPV: we can subtract the PV(benefit) - PV(Cost)
What is the net present value?
Its when we compute the value of both costs and benefits to the present (today) and after we take the difference between the present value of its benefits and the present value of its costs:
NPV = PV(benefits) - PV(Costs)
Or
If we use positive cash flows as benfits
Negative cash flows (costs)
We can define this as the sum of present value for individual cash flows
NPV = PV(All project cash flows)
In the example above what if we don’t have $500 to cover the initial cost of the project?
Does the project still have the same value?
If you don’t have the $500, suppose you borrow $509.26 from the bank at the 8% interest rate and then take the project.
What are your cash flows in this case?
Because we computed the value using competitive market prices, it should not depend on your tastes or the amount of cash you have in the bank.
Today’s Cash Flow:
You borrow $509.26 from the bank and immediately invest $500 into the project.
The difference between the borrowed amount ($509.26) and the invested amount ($500) leaves you with $9.26 in your pocket.
Today’s cash flow: 509.26(loan) −500 (investment) = 9.26
In One Year:
You receive $550 from the project.
You need to pay back the loan, which has grown to 509.26×1.08 =550 due to the 8% interest. Your total cash flow in one year is $550 from the project, minus the $550 you owe for the loan, leaving you with $0.
So, the cash flow after one year:
550−550 = 0
This transaction leaves you with exactly $9.26 extra cash in your pocket today and no future net obligations. So taking the project is like having an extra $9.26 in cash up front. Thus, the NPV expresses the value of an investment decision as an amount of cash received today. As long as the NPV is positive, the decision increases the value of the firm and is a good decision regardless of your current cash needs or preferences regarding when to spend the money.
What does the NPV represent?
The value of the project in terms of cash today
What would be the NPV of a good project?
If the NPV is positive and makes both the firm + investor wealthy