Chapter 3 - Budgeting Flashcards
Budgeting helps:
- estimate future cash inflows
- estimating and adjusting sales to find the cash inflow and to attach risks
- to invest cash wisely and isolate economic problems, allowing cash and time to be directed at economic rather than technical aspects
Approaches to budgeting
- First budgeting approach considers changes to current requirements. With the past information required known, future budgets can be formulated
- Second budgeting approach is called zero-base budgeting. Used for a new product and new not exact process, or for a new process for an existing product
Product factors
- the market
- promotion
- quality of materials used
- dependability
- speed
- flexibility of getting ideas to the customers
Product life cycle
- Introductory - few people know of the product
- Growth - as one technology dominates, sales grow quickly
- Maturity - when the market is appeased it reaches maturity
- Decline - other products creatively destroy the existing product
The 4 P’s
- Price
- Product
— the physical good and its services
— types of products - convenience, shopping, speciality and industrial - Place
— where the product is sold
— the supply chain used to distribute the product to customers - Promotion
— informs potential customers about the product and its value, and encourages purchasing
— may be targeted or general
Pricing decisions
— manufacturers using list prices that retailers are expected to maintain
— setting margins between cost and selling price, a range of acceptable prices and free pricing (can sell at any price)
Pricing methods
— adding a % to total cost
— set price by comparing competitor’s price
— variable output pricing
Price skimming
Charging a high price - attempt to generate high profitability
Price penetration
Charging a low price - attempts to grow market and exclude competition
Two types of sales forecasts
- business to business (B2B) markets sales occurs between firms - aka industrial markets, is sometimes like selling in a command economy
- business to customer (B2C) markets sales occurs directly to the end consumers, is sometimes like selling in a market economy
Forecasting process
- define info and accuracy required
- explore secondary info
- determine if accuracy required is sufficient
- construct a programme to approach people
- undertake the research
- check the results
Sales forecast research :
Either
— extrapolate the past (secondary market research)
or
— ask people about future intentions (primary market research)
Approaches to extrapolating the past
• assume the future is the same as the recent past,
• break forecast into time-base elements (sales = trend x cyclical component x seasonal component x residual, i.e. Y = TCSR)
• leading indicator approach
• causal approach
• probability approaches