Chapter 3 Flashcards

1
Q

How are mortality rates for different ages calculated?

A
  1. observing the number of deaths, occurring in the population over a specified period of time and determining the number of individuals exposed to the risk of dying during that interval.
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2
Q

How do you calculate the exposure (Ex) ?

A

expressed as the product of a number of individuals who are alive at the beginning of an itnerval who are exposed to the risk of dying and the duration over which that exposure takes place, usually years.

**Expressed as: persons-years.

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3
Q

Table 1. Definitions of terms used in mortality analysis

A

1x = number of individuals alive at the beginning of an interval (x) who are exposed to risk of dying

dx = number of deaths during an interval

Ex = exposure during an interval or = (persons exposed to risk of dying) * (duration of interval)

qx = interval mortality rate or = deaths/exposure

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4
Q

How is the interval mortality rate calculated?

A

dividing the number of deaths occurring during an interval by the corresponding exposure.

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5
Q

Mortality rates are typically annual/quarter-annual/semi-annual/doctorial?

A

Annual

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6
Q

Life insurance pricing is based on the monetary cost of death claims therefore many life insurance tables are based on what?

A

the monetary amounts of claims instead of the number of deaths and substitue the total monetary amount of insurance in force for exposure. Since this is the total monetary sum that is “exposed” to the risk of being paid out as claims.

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7
Q

What will a pricing assumption typically discount ?

A
  1. future death claims for anticipated lapse rates
  2. projected death claims for the interest anticipated to be earned on the investment
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8
Q

What are population life tables?

A

based on death rates calculated for large segments of the population without regard to individual health, socioeconomic, or employment status.

  • segemented by: race, sex, residence.
  • large mortality rates across large segments of general population.
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9
Q

What are period life tables?

A

Death rates calculated from data collected over a relatively short period (1-3 years) and for that reason the data are most applicable to the middle of that period.

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10
Q

What is a Cohort (generation) life table?

A

represets the actual death rates for a group or cohort, of individuals born around the same time.

  • They accurately report the hx death rates for a birth cohort up to the time the table was created.
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11
Q

T/F. A limitation of all life tables, both cohort and period, is that they only report only historical death rates and do not predict future death rates.

A

True.

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12
Q

What are some examples of insured lives life tables.

A
  1. select and ultimate tables
  2. annuity tables
  3. group life tables
  4. pension life tables
  5. STD and ordinary tables
  6. disabled life tables
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13
Q

What are basic tables?

A

report the mortality of individuals who purchased life insurance at standard or better rates. death rates represent a select group of individuals having a greater proportion of persons from higher socioecobomic groups and a lower proportion of disabled persons and those with ill health, when compared to general population.

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14
Q

Are basic tables subdivided at all?

A

Yes, they are subdivided by tobacco use.

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15
Q

T/F. It is assumed that underwriting no longer conveys a beneficial effect after 20-25 years

A

True. However the beneficial effect of u/w and socioeconomic status usually results in mortality rates below those for the general population.

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16
Q

Which tables are used by insurance companies to price life insurance products?

A

Basic Tables.

To price their products competitively, companies often further modify these tables by applying factors that reduce projected mortality rates to levels thought to be attractive to potential new policyholders while, presumably, remaining acheivable through the combination of target market selection, underwriting and secular (i.e., general population) mortality improvements.

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17
Q

What are individual annuity tables?

A

They typically have the lowest mortality rates of any insured lives mortality tables.

They represent the mortality expected for holders of annuity products that are known because of their features to attract healthy persons having the greatest longevity.

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18
Q

What are group tables?

A

They are aggregate life tables because little, if any, individual underwriting is done for group insurance.

They have mortality rates on par with or slightly higher than individual select and ultimate life tables.

Individuals to be actively employed to qualify for group insurance.

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19
Q

What are social security or pension life tables?

A

They typically have higher mortality rates that are close to, but somewhat less than, population rates because selection is limited to the requirements that persons eligible for social security or pensions must have been actively employed at some time.

20
Q

What are standard and ordinary tables?

A

2017 Commissioners Standard Ordinary (CSO) tables- used by valuation actuaries to set policy reserves and determine cash values.
- more conservative.

21
Q

What are disabled lives life tables?

A

reflect mortality rates of persons no longer able to work because of a disability.
- mortality rates somewhat higher than general population mortality rates.

22
Q

What is one difference between the mortality rates in insured lives life tables, and the mortality rates in clinical mortality studies?

A

the former are typically based on the monetary value of policy amounts and claims, where as the latter are based on actual death rates.

23
Q

What is a major difficulty encoutnered when converting clinical mortality rates into insured lives mortality ?

A

expectations stems from the difference between the characteristics of the populations in clinical studies and of those who purchased life insurance.
- it would be hazardous to assume that the mortality results derived from clinical studies can be translated directly into those that would been seen in an insurance population?

24
Q

What are selections factors that are not calculated by populations entering clinical studies?

A

sex, socioeconomic status, risk factors, and comorbidities. Even age.

25
Q

What are selection factors that are important selection criteria in many life insurance products?

A

age, sex, income, risl factors, comorbidities.

Life insurance is also priced differently by age, sex, tobacco.

26
Q

there is one popular method used to reduce the effect that the basic underlying differences in two compred populations can have on the calculation of excess mortality risk.

A

Rather than directly comparing mortality rates from clinical studies to the mortality rates expected in an insured pop, the mortality rates observed in a clinical population having the impairement in question should first be compared to the mortality rates in another pop matched as closely as possible in other respects to the population with the impairement.
»»> Excesss death rate-

27
Q

How is Excess death rate calculated?

A

using the relationship of observed to expected mortality, in which the expected mortality is the mortality rate in a comparison population closely matched ot the population having the imprement, except for the presence of the impairement itself.

28
Q

What can you use an EDR (excess death rate) for?

A
  1. calculate the amount of extra premium that must be charged on an annual basis to cover the excess mortality risk us.
  2. can be compared to select insured live mortality rates to calculate a select relative mortality ration.
29
Q

What is the purpose of base pricing assumptions for Life insurance products?

A
30
Q

How do actuaries set substandard prices?

A

by modifying a basic mortality table, by multiplying the mortality rates in these tables by various factors reflecting market considerations and underwriting effectiveness. > results in aggregate standard prices

31
Q

Offers of insurablity at substandard rates are commonly expressed in one of two ways. Name them

A
  1. as an excess death rate (edr)

2. as a relative mortality ratio (rmr)

32
Q

What is excess death rate

A

the diffrence in death rates observed in a population having the impairement compared to the death rates expected in an otherwise matched population wiht out impairement.

33
Q

what is the formula to calculate excess death rate

A
edr = q-q'
q= observed death rate 
q'= expected death rate
  • in insurerd lives studies q’ represents the baseline mortality assumption.
34
Q

what is Relative Mortality rations? (rmr)

A

rations between observed mortality rates (q) and the expected mortality rates (q’).

Rmr = q/q’

  • they form the basis of a classification system for rating substandard mortality risks in which a table of excess mortality risk reperesents a +25 increase in risk over that expected for STD rates.
35
Q

Ideally substandard premium rates would derive from what?

A

an analysis of insured lives mortality experienced similar to that used to set STD premium rates.
- for reliable numbers a substantial # of individuals with that impairement must be followed until death.

36
Q

True or False many companies share their mortality data on substandard isseus to create pooled data for inter-company mortality studies?

A

True- since few companies have large enough exposure on substandard policues to allow for a meaningful analysis by impairement.

37
Q

When is a table rating appropriate to assess the excess mortality cost of one or more impairements?

A

if the excess mortality rismk increases with each duration that the policy remains in force.
- assumed that most disease process exhibits a mortality multiple pattern of excess mortality risl

38
Q

When is a flat extra an appropriate method of excess mortality cost on one or more impairements?

A

if the excess mortality is thought to remain constant.

ie. occupation, avocation, foreign travel

39
Q

When is a temporary flat extra appropriate?

A

when a excess mortality risk decreases with time.
This is trypically exprtessed in terms of the average cost of extra premium per 1K of coverage and the duration in years over which the risk is expected to be present.

40
Q

How is cancer rated?

A
  1. pp’d during time of tx to assess tx results.
  2. excess mortality risk is calculated on a basis that many cancers exhibit a decreasing pattern of excess mortality.
  3. when cancer appears to have been cured the flat extra premium is usually dropped.
41
Q

The strategy of creating a table for cancer ratings with postponed time since date of dx prior to adding flat extra, as well as calculations for years it takes for the risk to return to 0 is designed to achieve what 3 objectives?

A
  1. PP period avoids assuming speculative risk during the earliest duration when the mortality is very high.
  2. a finite period over which a more modest temporary flat extra premium is charged allows most individuals to purpose insurance at affordable prices when the risk diminishes.
  3. returning to STD pricing at the later duration is designed to minimize the anti- selection that would otherwise result from selective lapsation, if extra premium were charged beyond the time when the mortality risk had returned to baseline levels.
42
Q

Is it appropriate to convert temporary flat extra ratings into table ratings?

A

No, but it is appropriate at times to convert perm flat extras into tables ratings.

43
Q

Define select factors

A

scalar factors applied to life tables to reduce projected mortality rates to levels thought to be attractive to potential life insurance buyers while remianing achievable through the combination of target martket selection/u/w/ancitipacted secular mortality improvements.

44
Q

what is a select period?

A

the period from life insurance policy issue to the time at which the effect of u/w has been assumed to no longer be effective in slecting STD or better risk from amoung the entire pool of insured persons (20-25 yrs)

45
Q

define the ultamate period

A

the period after the select period during which the effect of u/w is assumed to no longer be effective in selecting STD or better risk from the entire pool insured persons (period beyond 20-25 years after u/w)

46
Q

“Post death” method

Issues associated with this method

A

Funding death benefits in which each member of the society agreed to pay a specific amount of money when a fellow member died.

  1. contributions were voluntary and thus the death benefit could not be guaranteed.
  2. unless a new member was recruited to the society, the group gradually diminished d/t continued deaths and death benefits.
  3. the # of claims increased each year b/c the group aged
47
Q
A