Chapter 3 Flashcards

1
Q

Define a counting process

A

A counting process is a continuous-time stochastic process
{Xt , t ∈ R+} with values in natural number sand zero such that
X0=0
Xt is number of events occuring over (0,t]
Xt is non decreasing and right continuous

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2
Q

Explain independent increments for a counting process

A

A counting process Xt , t ≥ 0 has independent increments if the
number of events which occur in disjoint time intervals are
independent, i.e. Xtn − Xtn−1 , . . . , Xt2 − Xt1
are independent for 0 ≤ t1 ≤ . . . ≤ tn

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3
Q

Define stationary increments

A

A counting process Xt , t ≥ 0 has stationary increments if the
number of events on intervals of the same length has the same
distributions

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4
Q

Define a poisson process - 4 checks

A

A counting process Xt , t ≥ 0 is a Poisson process with rate λ if
1 X0 = 0
2 Xt , t ≥ 0 has independent increments
3 Xt , t ≥ 0 has stationary increments
4 The number of events in any interval of length t is Poisson
distributed with a parameter λt,

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5
Q

Explain what the rate outlines

A

In one time unti we expect lamda events

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6
Q

Define arrival times

A

Random variable Tk = inf{t ≥ 0 : Xt = k} (and by convention T0 = 0) are said to be arrival times

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7
Q

Define interarrival times

A

For any k ≥ 1, the random variables τk = Tk − Tk−1 are said to be
interarrival times.

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8
Q

How are the interarrival times distributed

A

The set of τk , k > 1 are i.i.d. random variables with the
exponential distribution with the parameter λ

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9
Q

What distribution that is continuous has the memoryless property

A

Exponential distirbutions

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10
Q

What is the distribution of the arrival times

A

Erlang distribution - special case of gamma distribution where the parameter k is a positive integer

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11
Q

How is T1 given Xt=1 distributed over the interval (0,t]

A

Unfiormly

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12
Q

What does it mean to consider the order statistics?

A

Considering: the order statistics Y(1) < · · · < Y(n) - random variables defined by sorting the values of Y1, . . . , Yn in increasing order.

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13
Q

Define a marked poisson process

A

A marked Poisson process is:
a Poisson process {Xt , t ≥ 0} with arrival times T1, T2, …
a collection of iid random variables M1, M2, … indep. of {Xt }

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14
Q

Give an example of Tk and Mk for a marked poisson process

A

Tk is the arrival time of the k-th customer.
Mk is the money spent by the k-th customer

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15
Q

In words how do we find the thinned poisson process?

A

In other words, {Yt } is obtained from {Xt } by erasing the arrivals
Ti with Mi = 0.

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16
Q

Explain the distribution of marks in thinned poisson process

A

Bernoulli RVs for each Mi. Probability Mi=1 is p

17
Q

Explain the distribution of marks in thinned poisson process

A

Bernoulli RVs for each Mi. Probability Mi=1 is p

18
Q

What occures when I add two poisson processes

A

Let {Xt } and {Yt } be two Poisson processes independent of each
other, with intensity given by λ and μ, respectively. Let us put
Zt = Xt + Yt . Then {Zt } is a Poisson process with intensity λ + μ

19
Q

What is an inhomogenous Poisson Process?

A

An inhomogeneous Poisson process has time-dependent with rate
λ(t) ≥ 0. The process has independent increments, but they are
not stationary. Inhomogeneous Poisson processes are widely used to model traffic
flows of variable intensity, season-dependent insurance claims