Chapter 24 Flashcards

1
Q

describe an overview of the short and long runs and the adjustment of factor prices

A

Short Run:
determine Y–> factor prices and technology constant

Adjustment process:
Y eventually returns to Y* –>factor prices adjust
and technology remains constant

Long run:
changes in Y* determine changes in Y –>factor prices have adjusted and technology changes

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2
Q

What happens when Y> Y*

A

the demand for labour (and other factor services) is relatively high
• an inflationary output gap

During an inflationary output gap there are high profits for firms
and unusually large demand for labour
• wages and unit costs tend to rise

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3
Q

What happens to close the inflationary gap (describe process)?

A

This increase in factor prices will increase firms’ unit costs–> As unit
costs increase firms will require higher prices in order to supply any given level of output –> AS shifts up

Y moves back towards Y* –> inflationary gap begins to close

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4
Q

What happens when Y < Y*?

A

the demand for labour (and other factor services) is relatively low
• recessionary output gap

During a recessionary gap there are low profits for firms and low
demand for labour
• wages and unit costs tend to fall

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5
Q

What happens to close the recessionary gap? (describe process)

A

This reduction in factor prices will reduce firms’ unit costs –> As unit
costs decrease firms will require lower prices in order to supply any given level of output –> AS shifts down

Y moves back towards Y* –> recessionary gap begins to close

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6
Q

Describe adjustment asymmetry:

A

• inflationary output gaps typically raise wages rapidly
• recessionary output gaps often reduce wages only slowly
(downward wage stickiness)

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7
Q

The general adjustment process is summarized by what?

A

This general adjustment process—from output gaps to factor

prices—is summarized by the Phillips curve.

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8
Q

describe the Philips curve

A

The Phillips curve was originally drawn as a negative relationship
between the unemployment rate and the rate of change in nominal
wages.
Y > Y* => excess demand for labour => wages rise
Y < Y* => excess supply for labour => wages fall
Y = Y* => no excess supply/demand => wages constant

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9
Q

describe Y* as an “anchor” for output

A

Suppose an AD or AS shock pushes Y away from Y* in the short run.

As a result, wages and other factor prices will adjust, until Y returns
to Y. => Y is an “anchor” for output

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10
Q

what does the economy’s adjustment process do with expansionary AD shocks?

A

The economy’s adjustment process eventually eliminates any boom caused by a demand shock, returning Y to Y*.

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11
Q

describe an expansionary AD shock and the economy’s response

A

There is an increase in autonomous expenditure
• AD shifts up: price increases and level of GDP increases
•An inflationary gap opens up

  • Wages increases
  • AS begins to shift up
  • Prices increase and GDP reduces – back to Y*
  • The inflationary gap is being removed
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12
Q

T or F: The economy’s adjustment process works following negative demand shocks typically faster than following positive demand shocks

A

False:
it may be
slower because of
“sticky wages”

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13
Q

describe speed of the adjustment: if wages are flexible

A

wages will fall rapidly whenever there is

unemployment, the resulting shift in the AS curve could quickly eliminate recessionary gaps.

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14
Q

describe speed of the adjustment: if wages are sticky

A

AS curve shifts more slowly. In such cases the recessionary gap may have to be closed with an expansion in AD (increase in private sector demand or government stabilization
policy).

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15
Q

describe a negative supply shock and the adjustment process

A

After a negative supply shock, the adjustment of factor prices reverses the AS shift and returns real GDP to Y*

Assume there is an increase in the price of oil.
•AS shifts up, prices increase and GDP falls (stanflation).
•A recessionary gap opens
up.

•Excess	supply	of	labour:	
eventually	pushes	wages	
down	(speed?)	
•AS	shifts	back towards	its	 starting	point.	
•NOTE:	Relative	prices have	 changed!!
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16
Q

what does the speed that output returns to Y* depend on with either a demand or supply shock?

A

wage flexibility

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17
Q

flexible wages provide an adjustment process that _______

A

quickly pushes

the economy back toward potential output.

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18
Q

if wages are slow to adjust, the economy’s adjustment process is ___________

A

sluggish and thus output gaps tend to persist

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19
Q

Describe the business cycle dynamics and their role in bringing the economy back to Y=Y*

A

When Y > Y* => shortages eventually arise and restrict further expansion
=> revision of firm’s expectations, reduce desired investment => Reduction of consumer’s confidence, reduce desired consumption
==> Real GDP tends to move back toward Y*

When Y < Y* =>consumer’s durable goods become obsolete =>normal
replacement expenditure recover. Firm’s replacement investment also recover => Revival of favorable expectations
==>Real GDP rises back toward Y*

20
Q

when is the economy in a state of long-run equilibrium?

A

when factor prices are no longer adjusting to output gaps:

==> Y=Y*

21
Q

what is the vertical line at Y* sometimes called?

A
  • the long-run aggregate supply curve, or

* the classical aggregate supply curve

22
Q

T or F: there is no relationship in the long run between the price level and potential output

A

True

23
Q

in the long run, Y is determined only by
____________ —
aggregate demand
determines _______

A

determined only by potential output

AD determines P

24
Q

For a given AD curve,
long-run growth in Y*
results in a _______
price level

A

lower

25
Q

what is the motivation for fiscal stabilization policy?

A

to reduce the volatility of aggregate outcomes

26
Q

when an AD or AS shock pushes Y away from Y*, what are the alternatives?

A

use fiscal stabilization policy
• wait for the recovery of private sector demand
=> a shift in the AD curve
• wait for the economy’s adjustment process
=> a shift in the AS curve

27
Q

How may a recessionary gap be closed?

A

A recessionary gap may be closed by a (possibly slow) rightward shift in the AS curve or by a rightward shift in AD.

28
Q

how may an inflationary gap be removed?

A

An inflationary gap may be removed by a leftward shift of AS or
by a leftward shift in AD.

29
Q

Describe the basic theory of fiscal stabilization

A

A recessionary gap may be closed by:

  1. a rightward shift in AD due to recovery of private sector demand
  2. a (possibly slow) rightward shift in the AS curve
  3. a rightward shift in AD due to an expansionary fiscal policy
30
Q

what is the main advantage of fiscal stabilization?

A

: it may shorten what might otherwise be a long recession

31
Q

what is the main disadvantage of fiscal stabilization?

A

may stimulate the economy before private-sector

recovery and economy may overshoot its Y*=> creating instability

32
Q

describe the paradox of thrift

A

In the short run, an increase in desired saving leads to a reduction in GDP (shift AD to the left and reduce GDP).
==> What may be good for any individual when viewed in isolation ends up being undesirable for the economy as a whole.
==>Major and persistent recession can be battled by encouraging
governments, firms and households to increase their spending.

33
Q

does the paradox of thrift apply in the long run?

A

NO

==> In the long run AD does not influence the level of GDP.
==>The increase in savings has the long-run effect of increasing investment and therefore increasing potential output

34
Q

def. discretionary fiscal stabilization policy

A

occurs when the government

actively changes G and/or T in an effort to steer real GDP.

35
Q

def. automatic fiscal stabilization

A

occurs because of the design of the tax
and transfer system:
• as Y changes, net tax revenue changes
• the size of the simple multiplier is reduced
• the output response to shocks is dampened

The marginal propensity to spend on national income is:
z = MPC(1 – t) – m
The simple multiplier is:
Simple multiplier = 1/ (1 – z)

**The lower is the net tax rate (t), the larger is the simple multiplier
and thus the less stable is real GDP in response to shocks to
autonomous spending.

36
Q

what are the main limitations of discretionary fiscal policy

A
  • long and uncertain lags
  • temporary versus permanent changes in policy
  • the impossibility of “fine tuning”
37
Q

describe uncertain lags with regards to discretionary fiscal stabilization policy

A

• Decision lags: the period of time between perceiving some
problem and reaching a decision on what to do about it.
• Execution lag: the time that it takes to put policies in place after a
decision has been made.
• And when the new policies are in place it can still take time for
their economic consequences to be felt.

==>It is possible that by the time a given policy decision has any
impact on the economy, circumstances will have changed such that
the policy is no longer appropriate

38
Q

______ changes in taxation are generally less effective than
measures that are expected to be ____

A

temporary less than permanent

39
Q

more ______ are households, the smaller will be the effects of what are perceived to be temporary changes in taxes

A

forward-looking

40
Q

def. fine tuning

A

: the attempt to maintain output at its potential level by

means of frequent changes in fiscal policy.

41
Q

def. gross tuning

A

: the use of macroeconomic policy to stabilize the economy such that large deviations from potential output do not persist for extended periods of time

42
Q

what will an increase in G do with regards to economic growth

A

• An increase in G temporarily increases real GDP
• Adjustment: Y will return to Y* but at a higher prices
• GDP composition will be altered: Y = Ca +Ia +Ga +NXa
–Problem if investment is lower in the new long-run equilibrium
• Slower rate of accumulation of capital. This may reduce the rate of
growth of potential output.

43
Q

what will a decrease in t do with regards to economic growth

A

• A decrease in t temporarily increases real GDP
• Adjustment: Y will return to Y* but at a higher prices
• Long-run effect: e.g: lower corporate income-tax rates make
investment more profitable to firms
• Any increase in investment will tend to increase the future growth
rate of potential output.
• It appears to be no trade-off between short and long run

44
Q

Fiscal policy : increase in G general effects/considerations

A

The short-run stimulative benefits of the fiscal
expansion need to be weighted against the possible long-run costs of lower
growth.

But, some of the rise in G may be government investment. Then, the overall effect on the path of Y* depends on the productivity of public investment compared with the private investment that was crowded out.

45
Q

fiscal policy: decrease in t general effects/ considerations

A

It appears to be no trade-off between short and long run.
But, this means less public spending on many of the things that citizens
value: national parks, public education, health care, roads, etc