Chapter 2: Utility Theory Flashcards

1
Q

What is Utility

A

The satisfaction that an individual receives from a particular course of action

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2
Q

Two important economic terms are non-satiation and risk aversion
Define each term

A

Non-satiation - preference of more to less
Risk aversion - Dislike of risk

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3
Q

State the expected utility theorem

A
  1. U(w) can be constructed representing an investor’s utility of wealth at some future date
  2. Decisions are to maximise expected utility given different probability outcomes
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4
Q

Expected utility is usually not the same as expected wealth, explain why this might be the case.

A

High expected wealth can come from high risk investments, which decrease utility for a risk averse investor.

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5
Q

True or False, explain

The utility function will determine whether utility increases or decreases with wealth

A

False, since we assume non-satiation, utility will always increase with an increase wealth, the type of utility function will only determine the rate of this increase.

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6
Q

State the expected utility theory axioms

A

**1. Comparibility **
Investos can make a choice between:
A>B, prefers A
B<A, prefers B
A=B, indifferent

2. Transivity
If U(A)>U(B) and U(B)>U(C), then U(A)>U(C)

3. Independence
If an invvestor is indifferent between A and B, then she is also indifferent between the gambles
pU(A)+(1-p)U(C) and
pU(B)+(1-p)U(C)

4. Certainty equivalance
If U(A)>U(B)>U(C), then there exists a unique p such that
pU(A) + (1-p)U(C) = U(B)

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7
Q

For non-satiation, risk aversion, risk-seeking and risk-neutral

  • State in terms of the utility function
  • State what each means about marginal utility of wealth under risk appetite
  • State what the investor will do when presented with a fair gamble
  • State the shape of the utility function
A

Non-satiation: U’(w) > 0 and increasing

Risk-aversion: U’’(w) < 0 and concave
Marginal utility decreases
Reject a fair gamble

Risk-neutral: U’’(w) = 0 constant U(w)
Marginal utility constant
Indifferent to a fair gamble

Risk-seeking: U’’(w) >0 Convex U(w)
Marginal utility increases
Accepted a fair gamble

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8
Q

Define the certainty equivalent of the gamble and the certianty equivalent of the portfolio

A

Cw - the certainty equivalent of the portfolio, consisting of the combination of existing wealth w and gamble x
U(Cw) = E[U(w+x)] for absolute gamble
U(Cw) = E[U(wy)] for propotional gamble
Cx - Certainty equivalent of the gamble x alone, which will depend on the current level of wealth (Cx = Cw -w)

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9
Q

Relate Cx and Cw to risk aversion

A

For a risk averse investor, Cw<w => Cx<0
Cx is a measure of risk aversion, a higher |Cx| implies higher risk-aversion

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10
Q

Relate cx to absolute risk aversion

A

If |Cx| decreases with an increase in wealth, then the investor exhibits decline absolute risk-aversion

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11
Q

Relate cx to relative risk aversion

A

If |Cx/w| decreases with an increase in wealth, then the investor exhibits declining relative risk-aversion

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12
Q

Write down the formula for A(w) and R(w)

state the relationship between them

A

A(w) = -U’‘(w)/U’(w)
R(w) = -w*U’‘(w)/U’(w)

R(w) = wA(w)

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13
Q

Tabulate the relationship between A’(w), R’(w) with relative and absolute risk aversion

A

Less than zero - declining
Equal to zero - constant
Greater than zero - increasing

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14
Q

State the quadratic utility function
* its form
* its limitation
* Absolute and relative risk-aversion

A
  • U(w) = w + dw^2
  • 0 < w < -1/2d, d < 0
  • Both increasing ARA and RRA
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15
Q

State the log utility function
* its form
* its limitation
* Absolute and relative risk-aversion

A
  • U(w) = ln(w)
  • w > 0
  • Declining ARA and cconstant RRA (iso-elastic, allows for myopic decisions)
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16
Q

State the power utility function
* its form
* its limitation
* Absolute and relative risk-aversion

A
  • U(w) = (w^r-1)/r
    ~~~
    w > 0 , r < 1, r =! 0

~~~
* Decliining ARA and constant RRA

17
Q

State the negative exponential utility function
* its form
* its limitation
* Absolute and relative risk-aversion

A
  • U(w) = -exp(-aw)
  • a > 0
  • Constant ARA and increasing RRA
18
Q

Two ways to construct an individual’s utility function

A
  • Direct questioning
  • Indirect questioning
19
Q

How can we construct utility functions by direct questioning

A
  • Series of questions that allow the shape of an individual’s utility function to be roughly determined.
  • A utility curve of a pre-determined functional form can then be fitted by a least squares method to the points determined by the answers to the questions
  • Constrain using economic properties - non-satiation, risk avaersion, declining absolute risk aversion, and (maybe) constant relative risk aversion
20
Q

How can one construct a utility function by indirect questioning

A
  • Fix two values for the utility function for the extreme values of wealth being considered.
  • Individual is asked to identify a certain level of wealth such that they would be indifferent between that certain level of wealth and a gamble that yield of the two extemes with particular probabilities
  • The process is repeated for various scenarios until a sufficient number of plots is found.
  • Can also use premiums that an individual is willing to pay
21
Q

How is utility theory applied in insurance

A

A risk averse investor will buy insurance if
E[U(w-L)] < E[U(w-P)]
where L is the random loss and
P is the premium

22
Q

Two ways to construct an individual’s utility function

A
  • Direct questioning
  • Indirect questioning
23
Q

Limitations of utility theory

A
  • We need to know the precise form and shape of the utility function.
  • The theorem cannot be applied seperately to each of the several sets of risky choices facing an individual.
  • May not be possible to consider the utility of a firm as though a firm was an individual