Chapter 2 - Utility Theory Flashcards
Utility
Utility is the satisfaction that an individual obtains from a particular course of action
Utility function (Preference function)
In the application of utility theory to finance and investment choice, it is assumed that a numerical value called the utility can be assigned to each possible value of the investor’s wealth by what is known as a preference function or utility function.
This is the key assumption underlying the application of utility theory to finance.
The expected utility theorem
- The expected utility theorem states that a function, U(w), can be constructed representing an investor’s utility of wealth, w, at some future date
- Desicions are made on the basis of maximising the expected value of utility under the investor’s particular beliefs about the probability of different outcomes
4 axioms underlying utility theory
The expected utility theorem can be derived formally from the following four axioms.
- Comparability
- Transitivity
- Independence
- Certainty equivalence
Comparability
An investors can state a preference between all available certain outcomes.
Transitivity
If A is preferred to B and B is preferred to C, then A is preferred to C.
Independence
If an investor is indifferent between two certain outcomes, A and B, then he is also indifferent between the following two gambles
(i) A with probability p and C with probability (1-p)
(ii) B with probability p and C with probability (1-p)
Certainty equivalence
Suppose that A is preferred to B and B is preferred to C. Then there is a unique probability, p, such that the investor is indifferent between B and a gamble giving A with probability p and C with probability (1-p).
B is known as the certainty equivalent of the above gamble.
Non-satiation
It is usually assumed that people prefer more wealth to less. This is known as the principle of non-satiation and can be expressed as:
U’(w) > 0
(marginal utility of wealth)
Risk-averse investor
A risk-averse investor values an incremental increase in wealth less highly that an incremental decrease and will reject a fair gamble.
The utility function condition is:
U’‘(w) < 0.
Concave utility function.
Risk aversion = diminishing marginal utility of wealth
Fair gamble
A fair gamble is one that leaves the expected wealth of the individual unchanged. Equivalently it can be defined as a gamble that has an overall expected value of 0.
Risk-seeking investor
A risk-seeking investor values an incremental increase in wealth more highly that an incremental decrease and will seek a fair gamble. The utility function condition us U’‘(w) > 0.
Convex utility function.
Risk-neutral investor
A risk-neutral investor is indifferent between fair a fair gamble and the status quo. In this case U’‘(w) = 0.
Certainty equivalent of a fair gamble for a risk-averse investor
For a risk-averse investor this is negative, ie the investor would have to be paid to accept the gamble.
Absolute risk aversion
If the absolute value of the certainty equivalent decreases with increasing wealth, the investor is said to exhibit declining absolute risk aversion.
If the absolute value of the certainty equivalent increases, the investor exhibits increasing absolute risk aversion.
Investors who hold an increasing absolute amount of wealth in risky assets as they get wealthier exhibit declining absolute risk aversion.