Chapter 16: Random Variables Flashcards
Define ‘Random variable’.
Assumes any of several different values as a result of some random event. Random variables are denoted by a capital letter, such as X.
Define ‘Discrete random variable’.
A random variable that can take one of a finite number of distinct outcomes.
Define ‘Continuous random variable’.
A random variable that can take on any of an uncountably infinite number of outcomes, typically, an interval of values on the real line.
Define ‘Probability model or probability distribution’.
A function that associates a probability P with each value of a discrete random variable X, denoted P(X =x) or P(x), or with any interval of values of a continuous random variable, using a density curve.
Define ‘Expected value’.
A random variable’s theoretical long-run average value, the centre of its model. Denoted μ or E(X), it is founf (if the random variable is discrete) by summing the products of variable values and their respective probabilities.
μ = E(X) = ∑xP(x)
Define ‘Standard deviation of a random variable’.
Describes the spread in the model and is the square root of the variance, denoted SD(X) or σ.
σ = sqrt( Var(X) ) = sqrt( ∑ (x - μ)^2 P(x) )
Define ‘Variance’.
The expected value of the squared deviations from the mean. For discrete random variables, it can be calculated as
σ^2 = Var(X) = ∑ (x - μ)^2 P(x)
Define ‘Changing a random variable by a constant’.
E(X ± c) = E(X) ± c Var(X ± c) = Var(X) SD(X ± c) = SD(X) E(aX) = aE(X) Var(aX) = a^2Var(X) SD(aX) = |a| SD(X)
Define ‘Addition rule for expected values of random variables’.
E(X ± Y) = E(X) ± E(Y)
Define ‘Addition rule for variances of random variables’. (Pythagorean Theorem of Statistics)
If X and Y are independent: Var(X ± Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y), and SD(X ± Y) = sqrt( Var(X) + Var(Y) ).
How do probability models relate probabilities to outcomes?
- For discrete random variables, probability models assign a probability to each possible outcome.
- For continuous random variables, areas under density curves assign probabilities to intervals of outcomes.