Chapter 16 - Probability Flashcards
Probability (chance)
Way of describing the likelihood of different possible outcomes occurring as a result of some experiment
Trial
Another word for experiment; used to describe the binomial situation where there are just two possible outcomes
Event
Describes several outcomes put together e.g. a die lands on an even number has three possible outcomes; can also describe a single outcome
Expectation (expected frequency)
Given by np, where n is the population size and p the probability
Mutually exclusive
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) as there is no overlap between the two Venn circles
Independent (not mutually exclusive)
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A n B) as there is an overlap between the Venn circles, so this must be done to prevent including doubles
Sample space diagram
Can show all the possible outcomes; makes it hard to miss out possible outcomes
Tree diagram
Alternative to sample space diagram to reduce writing; can find combined probabilities by multiplying along the branches
Probability distributions
- ‘The random variable _____ is denoted by X and the possible values it can take by x.’
- sum of P(X=x) = 1
- E(x) expectation or mean = sum of x * P(X=x)
Discrete uniform distribution
All possible values of the variable have the same probability