Chapter 16 - Probability Flashcards

1
Q

Probability (chance)

A

Way of describing the likelihood of different possible outcomes occurring as a result of some experiment

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2
Q

Trial

A

Another word for experiment; used to describe the binomial situation where there are just two possible outcomes

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3
Q

Event

A

Describes several outcomes put together e.g. a die lands on an even number has three possible outcomes; can also describe a single outcome

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4
Q

Expectation (expected frequency)

A

Given by np, where n is the population size and p the probability

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5
Q

Mutually exclusive

A

P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) as there is no overlap between the two Venn circles

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6
Q

Independent (not mutually exclusive)

A

P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A n B) as there is an overlap between the Venn circles, so this must be done to prevent including doubles

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7
Q

Sample space diagram

A

Can show all the possible outcomes; makes it hard to miss out possible outcomes

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8
Q

Tree diagram

A

Alternative to sample space diagram to reduce writing; can find combined probabilities by multiplying along the branches

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9
Q

Probability distributions

A
  • ‘The random variable _____ is denoted by X and the possible values it can take by x.’
  • sum of P(X=x) = 1
  • E(x) expectation or mean = sum of x * P(X=x)
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10
Q

Discrete uniform distribution

A

All possible values of the variable have the same probability

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