Chapter 16: Fiscal Policy Flashcards
The use of government’s budget tools, government spending, and taxes to influence the macroeconomy. Specifically, to engage in counter-cyclical fiscal policy designed to counter the pernicious effects of the business cycle.
Fiscal Policy
Problem at the peak is usually ________.
Price Level Inflation
Fiscal policy tools are:
(1) Decrease Government spending
(2) Increase Taxes
Problem at the trough is ___________.
Unemployment
Government increases spending or decreases taxes to stimulate or expand the economy
Expansionary Policy
When is expansionary policy used?
Business Cycle Contraction
Government decreases spending or increases taxes to attempt to slow economy
Contractionary Policy
When is contractionary policy used?
Business Cycle Expansion
Expansionary Fiscal Policy : Increase Government Spending
Increasing government spending will increase AD (since government spending is one component of AD), which increases GDP
Expansionary Fiscal Policy : Decreasing taxes
Decreasing taxes will raise disposable income and consumption, which will also increase AD and GDP
Great Recession Fiscal Policy: Economic Stimulus Act of 2008
Signed by President Bush
Tax rebate for Americans
Totaled $168 billion
Typical family of four receives $1,800
Goal: Increase consumption, stimulate the economy
Goal of Economic Stimulus Act of 2008
Goal: Increase consumption, stimulate the economy
Goal of American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009
Goal: Increase aggregate demand
When government spending increases and taxes decrease, budget deficits increase
Expansionary Fiscal Policy and Budget Deficits
Real U.S. Outlays and Revenue, 1990-201
Expansionary fiscal policy inevitably leads to increase in budget deficits and the national debt during economic downturns
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
Decrease AD by decreasing government spending or increasing taxes in order to:
(1) Pay off debt that was accrued due to expansionary fiscal policy during bad times
(2) Slow down economy that is “overheated” from too much spending, leading to inflation
All else equal, an economy that grows at a consistent rate is preferable to an economy that grows in an erratic fashion
Countercyclical Fiscal Policy
Fiscal policy that seeks to counteract business cycle fluctuations
Countercyclical Fiscal Policy
Multipliers
The initial effects of fiscal policy can snowball over time
Two Central Concepts of Multipliers:
(1) Spending by one person becomes income to others
(2) Increases in income lead to increases in consumption
The portion of additional income spent on consumption
Marginal Propensity to Consumer (MPC)
MPC =
Change in consumption / Change in income
A formula to determine the equation’s effect on spending from an initial change of a given moment
Spending Multiplier
There are three reasons why fiscal policy does not always work:
(1) Time lags (3 of them)
(2) Crowding out
(3) Savings adjustment
It is difficult to determine when the economy is turning up or down
Recognition lag
It takes time to implement fiscal policy
Implementation Lag
It takes time for effects of policy to materialize
Impact Lag
Government programs that naturally implement countercyclical fiscal policy in response to economic conditions
Automatic Stabilizer
When private spending falls in response to increases in government spending.
This reduces the ability of government spending to stimulate aggregate demand.
Crowding Out
Implications of Crowding Out
(1) Overall spending may not increase
(2) Government now has higher deficit and debt
New Classical Critique
Increases in government spending and decreases in taxes are largely offset by increases in savings
When there is an increase in government spending or decrease in taxes…
(1) People recognize that the government has borrowed funds so…
(2) Individuals save to pay for higher future taxes, which reduces consumption
(3) Mitigates the initial purpose of the increase in government spending or decrease in taxes
The use of government spending and taxes to affect the production (supply) side of the economy
Supply Side Fiscal Policy
Supply Side Initiatives:
(1) R&D tax credits
(2) Education policies (subsidies or tax breaks)
(3) Lower corporate profit tax rates
(4) Lower marginal income tax rates
Income Tax Revenue =
Tax Rate x Income
In Region I, where tax rates are low, increases in tax rates increase tax revenue.
In Region II, where tax rates are high, increases in tax rates decrease tax revenue.
The Laffer Curve
Confirmation of the Laffer Curve’s Existence
During the 1980’s, marginal tax rates were cut
Tax revenues per taxpayer fell, suggesting that lower taxes decrease revenue.
However, taxes paid by the top 1% increased.
This data confirms the existence of the two regions of the Laffer curve.