Chapter 15- Commodities and Financial Futures Flashcards
Cash Market
- a market where a product or commodity changes hand s in exchange for a cash price paid when the transaction is completed
- takes place on location, not an exchange
Futures Market
- the organized market for the trading of futures contracts
Futures Contract:
a commitment to deliver a certain amount of some specified item at some specified date in the future at a negotiated price
Purpose of Futures Market-
- Price Discovery
- Risk Bearing/Sharing
Futures Participants
- Speculators: 80 to 90% of them lose money
- Hedgers: Users of the product or producers of the product
Futures Exchanges
- US exchanges use electronic trading and open cry auction”
- futures are mostly electronic
- options are mostly open outcry - the exchange serves to guarantee the credibility of the parties involved
Advantages of using a Futures Contract:
- potential for very high returns
- margin buying allows use of leverage ( the ability to obtain a given equity position at a reduced capital investment, thereby magnifying total return
- allows producers to hedge prices
- don’t have to sell crops at harvest time when prices are often low
Disadvantages of Futures Contract:
- high risk of losing more than the amount originally invested; no limit on exposure to loss
Options vs. Futures Contract
(Options)
- right to buy
- strike price specified in option contract
- loss limited to price paid for option
Options vs. Futures Contract
(Futures)`
Obligation to buy
Delivery price set by supply and demand
No limit on potential loss
Trading Mechanics:
- bought and sold through brokerage offices
- same types of orders are used as stocks
- market
- limit - long position- buying a contract
- investor wants contract price to go up - short position- selling a contract
- investor wants contract price to go down - long and short positions can be liquidated by executing and offsetting transaction
- about 1-4% of futures contracts are settled
Margin Trading:
- all futures contracts are traded on margin
- initial margin deposit is the
amount deposited with broker at time of commodity transaction to cover any loss in market value of futures contract due to price movements- usually $10- 20,000 to open an account
- margin requirements range from 2- 10% - maintenance deposit
- minimum amount of deposit requires at all times
- margin call occurs if value drops below allowed amount - mark- to- the- market occurs daily
Factors in commodity price behavior
- weather and crop forecasts
- economic factors
- Political factors
- international pressures
Components of a Commodities Contract
- the product
- the exchange
- size of the contract
- pricing units
- the delivery months
Factors in Commodity Price Behavior
Weather and crop forecasts
Economic factors
Political factors
International pressures