Chapter 15 Flashcards
What do banks try to do with market risk (systematic risk)
Try to figure out what the potential losses can be
What is market risk
A systematic risk that affects everyone and can’t be hedged. This risk is from outside the bank
What is the Volcker rule?
That banks need to act in the fiduciary duty of their customers
Name the 4 ways of calculating market risk exposure
1) Risk metrics
2) Historic or back simulation
3) Monte Carlo
4) Expected shortfall
What is risk metric
DEAR which is always expressed as a currency that is done as an exercise on portfolio assets that tells you based on market movements (interest rates, etc) how much the bank is exposed to which is done on a daily basis. Once this is done, the bank looks at the number and see if it falls within the 95% confidence interval. If yes, they leave it as is. If no, the bank looks at how they can start taking action which might be getting more reserves, etc.
When is DEAR mostly used
For foreign exchange
What is a portfolio aggregation problem
Term that states that you have to weight and take into account the variance and covariance of the securities according to the portfolio to find DEAR, you cannot simply add them up
What is historic back testing approach
Looking at the past to try to predict the future using the same asset class portfolio
What are some advantages of historic back testing
1) Simple to use
2) Directly shows the worst case scenario
What is the biggest weakness with historical back testing
Hard to know how far back in the past to go in order to help us better predict the future
What is the Monte Carlo simulation
Where a bank determines all the variables that could affect their loan portfolio (unemployment rate, inflation rate, etc) which creates many regression lines and run it over and over again to give many different scenarios telling you how much the bank could lose given the scenario
What is a major advantage of Monte Carlo simulation versus historical back testing
Monte Carlo uses “fake” and real data that allows the bank to draw out more scenarios compared to historical only uses the past
What is a big benefit of having a standardized framework?
That all FI’s can use it and compare between each other
What is Basel 3
A way of managing risk in financial institutions