Chapter 14 - Petroleum Trading Flashcards
Give a summary of Petroleum Trading.
A myriad of buyers, sellers, brokers, traders, shippers, and other parties seek to discover and act on information about the supply/demand and prices of a wide range of energy commodities—crude oil and raw natural gas, as well as products ranging from jet fuel and industrial lubricants to gasoline, LNG, butane, and petrochemicals.
Crude oil trading traditionally has involved oil from seven major regions:
The North Sea The Russian-Caspian region The Mediterranean West Africa The Arab Gulf The Asia-Pacific region The Americas
Petroleum trading takes place in two largely discrete by occationally intersecting worlds:
The first is the wholesale, or physical, trade of actual volumes of oil; the second involves more-speculative, future- oriented, or paper, trading by use of specialized financial instruments.
Physical Trading
In physical trading, one party agrees to purchase X barrels from a seller and then pays for and takes actual physical delivery of those X barrels (either right away or at a future date).
Paper Trading
Paper trading spells out the right or opportunity to buy or sell agreed-to quantities of oil by a specified date.
What are three common trading instruments?
futures contracts, options contracts, and swaps. These instruments allow buyers and sellers to hedge against possible future swings in oil prices.
Exchange
Futures and options are traded on an exchange, which is a marketplace where parties can buy or sell a commodity for delivery at some point in the future.
What are the two major exchanges for trading?
the NYMEX and the London subsidiary of Atlanta-based Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
What are other principal exchanges for trading?
Other principal exchanges are in Singapore and Tokyo. In addition, the Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME) in 2007 launched its Oman Crude Oil Futures Contract (OQD). DME reported almost 745 million barrels of crude traded in 2010 through the OQD.
Futures Contract
A futures contract obligates the buyer to purchase (and the seller to deliver) a specific quantity of oil at an agreed-to price at a specified future date.
Options Contract
The purchaser of an options contract has the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a specific amount of oil at a specified price, at any time during a specified period. If the option is not used (exercised), then it expires; no sale occurs and the money spent to buy the option is lost.An option trade can be conducted through an exchange or over the counter (OTC), meaning privately negotiated.
Swap Contract
In a swap agreement, a floating price for a specific amount of a specific type of oil is exchanged for a fixed price over a specified period. There is no transfer of physical oil; both parties settle their contractual obligations by a transfer of cash. The swap is an OTC transaction.
Netback Pricing
By 1985, Saudi production had plunged. In response, traders switched to an approach called netback pricing, in which crude prices were set by adding a normal refinery profit margin to the price of a collection, or basket, of refined products.
Term Supply Contracts
The majority of oil is traded today using the former, in which a seller agrees to supply a specific quantity of oil to the buyer for an agreed-to price at one or more future dates.
Spot Supply Contracts
In contrast, spot supply contracts are for delivery of a quantity of oil at a specific location as soon as possible (often, within a day or two).
Spot Price/Cash Price
When sold for immediate delivery, the price of oil is called the spot price or cash price
Forward Price
When sold for delivery at a specified future date, the price is called a forward price
How are benchmark oil prices set?
Benchmark oil prices (also called price markers) are set at the close of each business day on the basis of two sources of data: (1) exchanges (e.g., the NYMEX and the ICE) on which oil futures contracts are traded; and (2) a group of well-regarded oil trade journals (of which Platts Oilgram and Petroleum Argus are the two most widely used).
List some well-known benchmark oil prices:
NYMEX WTI (or Light Sweet) Crude Light Louisiana Sweet Crude NY Harbor Jet Fuel ICE Brent Crude Dated Brent Crude Rotterdam Barges Fuel Oil Dubai Crude Singapore Gas Oil
OPEC Reference Basket
Also notable is OPEC’s collection of price data on a basket of crude oils (and blends) and their calculation of average prices for these oil streams to develop an OPEC Reference Basket price to monitor world oil market conditions.
As of October 2011, the OPEC Reference Basket was made up of the following:
Saharan Blend (Algeria) Girassol (Angola) Oriente (Ecuador) Iran Heavy (Iran) Basra Light (Iraq) Kuwait Export (Kuwait) Es Sider (Libya) Bonny Light (Nigeria) Qatar Marine (Qatar) Arab Light (Saudi Arabia) Murban (United Arab Emirates) Merey (Venezuela)
How are prices established for nonbenchmark grades of oil?
Prices established in contracts for nonbenchmark grades of oil are set at a premium or discount to one or more of the benchmark grades, based on quality differences, transportation costs, and taxes for the oils being compared.
Prices for physical oil are often quoted in relation to a certain point in the delivery chain.The crude oil price, established early in the process, accounts for most of the price charged for the final product (e.g., gasoline), but each step in the refining and transportation chain adds to that final price. Not all grades of oil follow the delivery sequence shown below, or they may move through the steps noted in a different order; nonetheless, the details are informative:
Wellhead Price Cargo Price Refinery Gate Price Barge Price Pipeline Price Rack Price Dealer-tank-wagon Price Retail Price
Wellhead Price
The price of crude at the point of production
Cargo Price
The price of crude or product on a large oceangoing tanker
Refinery Gate Price
The price of crude entering a refinery or of finished products leaving a refinery
Barge Price
The price of oil on a barge vessel typically used on a river or close to shore, with a typical capacity of 8,000–50,000 barrels
Pipeline Price
The price of oil at a specified point in a pipeline