Chapter 13 - Portfolio Theory Flashcards
Performance Measurement
- Holding period return: difference between end and start values
- Money Weighted rate of return (MWRR): Equivalent of IRR. Takes into account inflows and outflows - but not timing and size of flows. Therefore, can overstate/understate returns.
- TWR - Gives equal weighing to the return in each period - hence enables comparisons of funds that have inflow and outflow at different times
Risk and Reward
- Systematic AKA market Risk: Economic, political and global events that impact the market (hard to predict)
- Unsystematic (micro - can be eliminated by diversification)
- business
- industry
- management
- financial (debt financing)
Total risk= systematic + Unsystematic risk
Measuring Risk
- Standard deviation (volatility/distance between the mean). Measures TOTAL risk. High Sd=riskier.
Adv-based on every item of the distribution. Dis-volatility not complete measure of risk, measures both upside and downside risk. Is upside risk bad??
- Beta Coefficient: can measure the volatility of an individual stock vs the market - slope of stock return(Y-axis) and market return (X axis) graph
- Drawdown risk: measures worst case risk
Pricing Models
- Capital asset pricing (CAPM): Calculates expected returns given systematic risk
Can use with expected and actual returns data
Assumptions:
-no tax or transactional costs
- investors have same expectations and want maximum return with minimum risk. They have diversified portfolios
- risk free rate equal for all - Arbitrage pricing theory
Performance Measures
- Jensen’s Alpha: Actual return of portfolio - expected returns (CAPM)
- Sharpe Ratio: uses total risk (portfolio standard deviation) as assumes portfolio is not diversified
- Treynor ratio: uses systematic risk only (beta of portfolio) as assumes portfolio is diversified
- Information ratio: measures risk taken to gain alpha/excess returns
Bond Portfolios
Passive
Cash matched/dedicated portfolios: bonds generate cash flows of same time and size of liabilities (CDI)
Immunization: match duration of bonds with duration of liabilities
Bullet - ALL bonds have close duration to liabilities
Barbell - weighted average durations match liabilities
Active
Policy switch: different bonds switch
Anomaly switch: similar bonds switch
- Riding yield curve
LDI- looks at:
Plan surplus, surplus volatility and surplus tracking error (shortfall)
Questions????
- Time weighted rate of return - if high than market return fund has been managed well???