Brainscape's Knowledge GenomeTM

Browse over 1 million classes created by top students, professors, publishers, and experts.


See full index

Securities Analysis > Chapter 12 - Macroeconomic & Industry Analysis > Flashcards

Chapter 12 - Macroeconomic & Industry Analysis Flashcards

You may prefer our related Brainscape-certified flashcards:
SIE Exam flashcards
0
Q

What are the 2 broad-based aspects of fundamental analysis?

A
  1. Macroeconomics

2. Industry Analysis

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
1
Q

What is the analysis of determinants of firm value, such as prospects for earnings and dividends?

A

Fundamental Analysis

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

3 approaches to fundamental analysis (from notes)

A
  1. Global (and domestic) economic analysis
  2. Industry Analysis
  3. Company Analysis
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

True or False:
Top-down approach DOESN’T call for analysis of the economy with the goal of identifying industries and companies that will perform well in that economic environment.

A

FALSE!!!!

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

What international economic factors might affect a firm’s success?

A
  1. export prospects
  2. price competition from foreign competitors
  3. profits from investments abroad
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

the concept ‘it is harder for businesses to succeed in a contracting economy than in an expanding one is called _____?

A

country/region performance variability

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

3 GLOBAL economic considerations

A
  1. highly country/region performance variability (comparing against)
  2. Political risk
  3. Exchange rate risk (sales, profits, stock returns)
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

examples of political risk

A
  1. currency crisis (euro crisis - interplay btw politics and economics)
  2. government bailouts
  3. government budget deficit issues
  4. Protectionism
  5. Trade Policy
  6. Free Flow of capital
  7. Status of nation’s workforce
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

_____ is the rate at which domestic $$ can be converted into foreign $$$

A

Exchange Rate (p.374)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

appreciation vs depreciations (dollar for example)

A

less dollars needed vs. more dollars are needed

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

What are the 6 Key macroeconomic indicators (p.376)

A
  1. Gross Domestic Product
  2. Unemployment Rates
  3. Interest Rates
  4. Inflation
  5. Budget Deficit
  6. Consumer (public market) Sentiment
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

what is the measure of the economy’s TOTAL production of goods & services?

A

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

what another popular measure of economic activity more narrowly focuses on manufacturing side of the economy?

A

Industrial production

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

% of total labor force yet to find work. measures extent to which economy is at full capacity operation

A

unemployment rate

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

ratio of actual output from factories to potential output

A

capacity utilization rate (p.376)

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

______is the rate at which general level of prices is rising.

A

Inflation

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

‘overheated’ economies refer to what?

A

high rates of inflation

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

_____ reduces PV of cash flows & reduces attractive investment opportunities. also affects housing and auto financings.

A

high Interest Rates

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

____ is when government spends more than they earn (and must borrow for shortfalls). forces interest rates rise due to raising demand & ‘crowd out’ funds available to the private sector.

A

budget deficit

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

perhaps most important macroeconomic factor to consider in investment analysis

A

interest rates

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

4 fundamental factors of interest rate determinents

A
  1. Supply of funds (household savers)
  2. Demand for funds (businesses)
  3. Government net supply/demand for funds (Federal Reserves)
  4. Expected rate of inflation
How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

True or false.

At higher real interest rates, households will choose to save more than spend; opting to use later future disposal [supply curve rises]

A

True

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

True or False.

Lower real interest rates does NOT spur more business investments on physical capital. [demand curves up?]

A

False & FALSE!!!

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
23
Q

the point of intersection of the supply and demand curves, point ‘E’

A

Equilibrium interest rate

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
24
Q

“shifting” the actual supply and/or demand curves is done by?
thru fiscal & monetary policies

A

the government (Federal Reserves)

25
Q

if government is net borrower, it shift _____ curve and interest rates ____

A

demand; increases

26
Q

if government is net supplier, increases _____ curve and interest rates _______?

A

supply; decreases

27
Q

_____ = real interest rate + inflation

A

nominal interest rate (p. 378)

28
Q

______ is an even that affects demand for goods and services in the economy. i.e. - reduced tax rate, increased $$ supply, increase government spending, increase foreign export demand

A

Demand Shock

29
Q

_____ is an event that influences production capacity and costs.
i.e. - imported oil prices, natural disasters, workforce educational level, labor wage rates changes

A

Supply Shock

30
Q

T or F.

Demand shock moves same direction as interest rates & inflation

A

true

31
Q

T or F.

Supply shock moves in opposite direction of interest rates & inflation.

A

True

32
Q

demand-side policy include….

A

spending
tax levels
monetary policy (supply and interest rates)

33
Q

Supply-side policy include: 7

A 
capacity improvements
work incentives
innovation
education
infrastructure
R&D 
Marginal Tax rates?  (p. 382)
34
Q

Fiscal policy refers to _____ and ____. Most DIRECT and immediate impact on economy; but slow formation and implementation; rigid system.

A

gov spending; taxation actions

35
Q

Monetary policy targets ______ and ______. Largely focused on interest rates. more supply lowers SHORT-TERM interest rates, but may cause inflation. Easy to formulate and implement but LESS immediate impact. (Feds - Treasury securities, discount rates to banks, reserve requirements)

A

money supply; interest rates

36
Q

3 tools of monetary policy actions

A
  1. Treasury Securities
  2. Discount rate (to banks)
  3. Reserve requirements
37
Q

______ recurring cycles of recession and recovery? Also refers to periods of expansion and contractions.

A

business cycles

38
Q

what is the transition from the end of an expansion to start of contraction in the economy?

A

peak

39
Q

what is at the bottom of a recession to the beginning of recovery in the economy?

A

Trough

40
Q

_____ is the period from peak to trough.

A

Contraction

41
Q

______ is the period from trough to peak.

A

Expansion

42
Q

what’s it called when a business has above-average sensitivity to the state of the economy. (capital goods, autos, washing machines….) Stocks rise the most in good times but also falls most in bad, and tend to have HIGH BETA stocks.

A

cyclical industries

43
Q

firms having little sensitivity to the business cycles. (food producers, pharmacy, utilities, healthcare)

A

Defensive industries

44
Q

define ‘leading economic indicators’

A

economic series of events that rise and fall IN ADVANCE of the economy results.

45
Q

coincident indicators?

A

move in tandem with the economy

46
Q

lagging indicators

A

generally occurs after the broad economy

47
Q

*Average weekly hours of production workers
*Stock Market Price Index
Unemployment Claims
Yield curve (spread from 10yr Tbond and fed fund rate)
Money Supply growth rate
Consumer expectations
Company slow delivery reports…etc

A

Leading Indicators

48
Q

Average duration of unemployment
Ratio of trade inventories to sales
Average prime rate charged
Commercial & Industrial loans outstanding
*Ratio of consumer credit outstanding to personal income, etc

A

Lagging Indicators

49
Q

Just as it varies in macroeconomic factors, a firm’s performance may vary also in its given industry. This is the reason we must conduct ______ also?

A

Industry Analysis

50
Q

NAICS codes. What does it stand for and its meaning?

A
  1. North American Industry Classification System

2. it is a classification of firms into industry groups using numerical codes to identify industry.

51
Q

3 factors that determine sensitivity of firm’s earnings o business cycle

A
  1. Sensitivity of Sales (necessities vs. luxury)
  2. Operating Leverage (division btw fixed & variable costs)
  3. Financial Leverage (debt interest payments - form of fixed costs)
52
Q

firms with high fixed costs are said to have ______ operating leverage

A

high

53
Q

______ is an investment strategy that entails shifting the portfolio into industry sectors that are expected to outperform other based on macroeconomic forecasts (re-adjust investment portfolio holdings)

A

Sector Rotation

54
Q

Near peak or overheated economy, good to invest in _____

A

natural resource extraction and processing

55
Q

in contraction/recession conditions, one should invest in _______ industries such as pharmaceuticals, food, necessities. near end, lowered inflation & interest rates favor financial firms

A

defensive

56
Q

at trough point of cycle, poised for recovery & expansion. invest in ______ industries such as equipment, transportation, construction

A

Capital Goods

57
Q

In expansion point of cycle, rapid economic growth. investments in consumer _____ and ______ items such as designer companies, auto industries, high-tech firms…etc

A

durables; luxury

58
Q

what’s it called when firms experience stages through which they mature

A

industry life cycle

59
Q

4 stages of life cycle

A
  1. start-up (extreme rapid growth)
  2. consolidation (stability)
  3. maturity (slowing down, ‘cash cows’ w/stable dividends, low risk)
  4. Relative Decline (minimal or negative growth, obsolescence?)
60
Q

Lynch’s 6 life-cycle groups

A
  1. Slow Gro

Securities Analysis (5 decks)

Brainscape helps you reach your goals faster, through stronger study habits.
© 2024 Bold Learning Solutions. Terms and Conditions