chapter 12 - fiscal policy and the budget framework Flashcards
what is fiscal policy ?
fiscal policy refers to any action taken by the government to impact the timing, magnitude and structure of the governments current revenue and expenditure
what is fiscal policy for the Irish government ?
for the Irish government policy involves decisions related to how it collects and spends money in order to achieve specific economic goals. this could include strategies to stimulate economic growth, control inflation, reduce unemployment or to manage public finances
Budget 2024 - taxation
-standard PAYE cut off rate increased from 40000 to 42000 which increases take home pay
- USC drops from 4.5% to 4% which also increases take home pay
Budget 2024 - min wage
€11.30 to €12.70 per hour an increase of €1.40
an increase of 12.39%
increases cost of business and reduces business competitiveness
inflationary - cost push inflation
Budget 2024 - purpose
an expansionary budget
-to help the cost of living crisis
-help the most vulnerable eg lower earners, children/parents, renters/house buyers, interest rate hikes - variable/tracker mortgage holders, business have high costs, high energy costs and high inflation 5.2%
by saying the actions is inflationary ( leads to higher demand ), so higher prices - demand pull inflation
Budget 2024 - expansionary policy
any action taken by the government that leads to an increase in aggregate demand/ stimulate economic growth i.e cut taxes ( increase demand), increase expenditure ( increased social welfare )
it conflicts with the ECB’s current contractionary monetary policy
Budget 2024 - housing
-extended first time buyer scheme ( helps new entrants/ younger persons to buy a home)
- reduced rental income tax on landlords - should increase the supply of rental property’s
- mortgage interest relief to mortgage holders whose interest has increased due to ECB hikes
Budget 2024 - children
-increased SNA’s in classrooms
- 1 in 8 in danger of poverty
-free school books for kids
- reduced third level fees
Budget 2024 - social welfare
to help deal with cost of living crisis
- €12 increase in weekly payments - pensions, jobseekers
- X2 welfare payment for xmas and child benefit (one-off)
Budget - what is current revenue
day to fay revenue collected by the government
tax revenue - customs , excise, PAYE, VAT, Corp tax
non tax revenue - lotto surplus, profits from state owned companies eg dublin bus
Budget - what is capital revenue
one-off revenue received by the government
eg borrowing on the bond market ( issuing Irish bonds to raise finance)
grants from the EU
sale of state owned assets eg aerlingus ,10% sale of Dublin bus
Budget - what is current expenditure ?
money spent on items that get used up during the year on day-to-day items
- public sector works eg teachers, nurses
-interest on out National Debt
transfer payments - a payment by the government where no factors of production is offered in returns eg social welfare payments, pensions and national debt
Budget - capital expenditure
money spent on items not used up within the year. long term or one-off spending, which increases the productive capacity of the country
-social housing
-new schools/housing
-new roads
it is justifiable to borrow to fund capital expenditure if long term returns outweigh the cost
what are the advantages of a current budget surplus (5)
- decreased inflationary pressures- a surplus will mean more is leaked (taxation) than injected(expenditure) in the economy, which should dampen demand, and lead to lower price levels, so a surplus can help to control/ lower higher price levels
2.financial management- having a budget surplus shows that the government is effectively managing its finances, which can instil confidence in the economy and increase investment
3.EU guideline compliance - a budget surplus indicates that the country is meeting the EU guidelines without difficulty, avoiding negative attention on Irish government economic policy
- scope for taxation reforms - the existence of a surplus suggests room for tax system improvements, such as widening tax bands, or removing USC as a tax
- increased government revenue use - with more revenue available, the government can invest in current projects like increasing number of employees in state services and long term projects like infrastructure development eg children’s hospital
what are the disadvantages of a current budget surplus ? (4)
1.conflicting expectations - citizens may demand improvements in state services when they see a budget surplus, but their expectations may conflict with one another
- public sector worker wage demands - public sector workers may see the surplus as an opportunity for wage negotiations or an increase in the workforce, potentially leading to budgetary challenges
- tax reduction demands - taxpayers who feel they are paying too much tax may demand reductions or increased equity in the tax system as there is excess tax
- opportunity costs - achieving a budget surplus may involve reducing expenditure on essential services like health and education which could lead to deterioration in these areas
what is the exchequer ?
this is the main treasury account held by the Irish government at the central bank of Ireland. all governments receipts and expenditures are recorded in the central fund on a cash basis. the difference between receipts and expenditures is called the exchequer balance
what is Fiscal Drag ?
the tendency of revenue from taxation to rise as a share of GDP in a growing economy without any need for government action. It occurs due to inflation or income growth pushing taxpayers into higher tax brackets. it acts as an automatic stabiliser
what is revenue buoyancy ?
it is when the tax collected is greater than what has been planned for. this has a deflationary effect on the economy
what is national debt ?
it is the value of total outstanding debt/ borrowing owed by the state
what is the relationship between a government budget deficit and the national debt
a government budget deficit exists when total government expenditure exceeds total government revenue
a budget deficit is financed by increasing government borrowing
national debt is the total amount (cumulative) of government borrowing which is outstanding (due/owed)
a budget deficit will result in an increased national debt in absolute terms and a higher cost of servicing the national debt
what are the 3 functions of (NTMA) the national treasury management agency
the NTMA manages national debt
1. they borrow on behalf of the government by issuing government bonds eg IOU notes
- they manage our National Debt -try to lower overall interest rates we pay back the loan at by fixing low interest rates/ hedging against shocks to the market
3.manage our pension reserve fund on behalf of the government - in order to have adequate money to pay for future pensions
how to make out National debt more sustainable ? (3)
- debt write off - if the government can convince the ECB/ EU commission to write off some of our national debt that we took on during the Great recession, this would reduce the amount we have to repay making it more manageable
- negotiate lower interest rates - if the NTMA were able to convince investors that Ireland is a safe place to invest in bods, they may be able to auction off bonds at lower interest rates, thus reducing the amount that has to be repaid every year
- ensure debt is “self- liquidating” - the government should only take on debt if they are certain that it will improve the economy’s ability to repay said debt. eg it should be used to improve infrastructure, build schools or hire more doctors
what are the disadvantages of having a high national debt ? (5)
- future costs of repayments - the national debt must be repaid at some point. this puts pressure on future generations as they already have to repay hundreds of billions of euro which they saw little benefit
- the opportunity cost of interest - the NTMA must repay the annual interest yield on the bonds it issues. this leas to the government spending more of its revenue on interest repayments and may lead to a reduction in the quality of state services due to lower funding
- borrowing for current spending - the government may be borrowing money to help repay debt which it has already incurred. this leads to no reinvestment in the economy (eg improving infrastructure) and a reduced likelihood that the government will be able to pay off this debt without increasing taxation rates.
- a high level of debt makes the country vulnerable to economic shocks - when a country has a large national debt, investors see it as a riskier investment. this can make it very difficult for governments to raise funds during economic downturns and they may have to accept higher bond yields as a result
5.reduced credit rating - higher debt may reduce our credit rating on the bond market. this will have an impact on the ability of the Irish government to get private external funding in the bond market
what are the functions of taxation in an economy ? (5)
- fund public services and infrastructure development - taxes collected from individuals, business and other entities contribute to the governments income, which they can then use as expenditure to improve public services/ infrastructure and provide essential services such as education, healthcare, transportation, defence and law enforcement
- redistribution of wealth and income - taxation can be used as a tool to promote income and wealth redistribution. progressive tax systems, where higher income individuals pay a higher percentage of their income in taxes, can help reduce income inequality and create a more equitable society
- stabilise economic cycles - during times of economic expansion, governments may increase tax to curb inflationary pressure, while during economic downturns, they may reduce taxes to stimulate spending and investment. used as part of their fiscal policy to achieve their current objectives.
- discouraging negative externalities - certain taxes, such as excide taxes on tobacco and carbon taxes on greenhouse gas emissions, are designed to discourage activities that have negative impacts on public health or the environment( reduce the consumption of demerit goods)
- create employment/investment - they can also positively influence positive behaviour eg governments may offer tax incentives to encourage investment in specific industries or technologies deemed beneficial for the economy or the environment