Chapter 11: Risk and Return Flashcards
Expected Returns
based on the probabilities of possible outcomes
Portfolios
=collection of assets
Portfolio Expected Returns
- the expected returns of a portfolio is the weighted average of the expected returns for each asset in the portfolio
- weights= % of portfolio invested in each asset
Portfolio Risk
-portfolio standard deviation is NOT a weighted average of the standard deviation of the component securities’ risk
Returns
Total returns= expected return+ unexpected return
- Unexpected return=systematic portion (m)+ unsystematic portion (e)
- total return= expected return+systematic portion+ unsystematic portion
Systematic Risk
- factors that affect a large number of assets
- interest rates represent sources of systematic risk
Unsystematic Risk
- risk factors that affect a limited number of assets
- risk that can be eliminated by combining assets into portfolios
- can be reduced through appropriate diversification
Principles of Diversification
- can substantially reduce risk without an equivalent reduction in expected returns
- reduces variability of returns
- caused by the offset of worse-than-expected returns from one asset by better-than -expected returns from another
Portfolio Conclusions
- as more stocks are added, each new stock has a smaller risk-reducing impact on the portfolio
- forming well-diversified portfolios can eliminate about half of the risk of owning a single stock
Total Risk=Stand-Alone Risk
Total Risk= systematic +unsystematic
-total risk for a diversified portfolio is essentially equivalent to the systematic risk
Systematic Risk Principle
- there is a reward for bearing risk
- there is NO reward for bearing risk unnecessarily
- the expected return (market required return) on an asset depends ONLY on that asset’s systematic or market risk
Interpretation of Beta
-if beta=1.0, stock has average risk
-if beta> 1.0, stock is riskier than average
-if beta < 1.0, stock is less risky than average
-most stocks have betas in the rage of .5-1.5
-beta of the market= 1.0
beta of a T-bill=0
Portfolio Beta
Bp= weighted average of the beats of the assets in the portfolio
-Weights (wj)= % of portfolio invested in asset j
Beta and Risk Premium
- risk Premium= E(R) - Rf
- the higher the beta, the greater the risk premium should be
Reward to Risk Ratio
= [E(Rj)-Rf/Bj]
- in equilibrium ratio should be the same for all assets
- when E(R) is plotted against beta for all assets, the result should be a straight line