Chapter 11 - managing bond portfolios Flashcards
Propositions of bond prices and YTM
- prices and yields are inversely related
- more price sensitive to decreases in YTM than increases
- longer maturity = more sensitivity
- The sensitivity of bond prices to changes in yields increases at a decreasing rate as maturity increases
- Interest rate risk is inversely related to the bond’s coupon rate
- price sensitivity to changes in yield is inversely related to the YTM
Macaulay’s duration
- measure of the effective maturity
- the weighted average of the time until each payment, with weights proportional to the present value of the payment
what is the relationship between interest rate changes, duration, and price?
When interest rates change, the percentage change in a bond’s price is proportional to its duration
modified duration and formula
Macaulay’s duration divided by 1 + YTM
Measures interest rate sensitivity of a bond
D* = D / (1+y)
ΔP/P = -D x Δy
what determines duration?
Rule 2: duration and interest rate sensitivity are higher when the coupon rate is lower
Rule 3: duration and interest rate sensitivity increase with time to maturity
Rule 4: duration and interest rate sensitivity of a coupon bond is higher when the bond’s YTM is lower
passive bond management view
take bond prices as fairly set and seek to control the risk of their portfolios
immunization
- shielding net worth from interest rate movements
- by matching interest rate exposure of assets and liabilities
- When portfolio duration equals the investor’s horizon date, the accumulated value of the investment fund at the horizon fate will be unaffected by interest rate fluctuations
- must proactively update and monitor their positions
rebalancing
Realigning the proportions of assets in a portfolio as needed
cash flow matching
Matching cash flows from a fixed-income portfolio with those of an obligation
dedication strategy
Multiperiod cash flow matching
convexity and formula
The curvature of the price-yield relationship of a bond
ΔP/P = (-D x Δy) + (½ x Convexity x (Δy)2)
horizon analysis
- Analysis of bond returns over a multiyear horizon, based on forecasts of YTM and the reinvestment rate of coupons
- Form of Interest rate forecasting
- Coupon income earned over the period is added to the predicted capital gain/loss to obtain a forecast of the total return on the bond over the holding period
active bond management sources of potential profit
- horizon analysis
- identification of relative mispricing within the fixed-income section
substitution swap
Exchange of one bond for a bond with similar attributes but more attractively priced
inter-market spread swap
Switching from one segment of the bond market to another