Chapter 11 - Financial risk Flashcards
What is financial risk?
Financial risk is a risk of a change in financial condition such as an exchange rate, interest rate, credit rating of a customer or price of a good.
What are the types of financial risk?
- Credit risk
- Political Risk
- Interest rate risk
- Currency risk
What is credit risk?
Credit risk is a risk of non-payment or late payment of receivables. Credit risk will always exist in businesses that make credit sales and therefore it needs to be managed.
What are the most common methods used to manage and control credit risk?
- Strong credit control procedures, including:
a) policies regarding credit checks
b) credit limits and terms
c) debt collection activities such as aged debtor analysis, statements and reminders - Insuring against the risk - it is possible to take out credit risk guarantees to act as insurance against debtor default
- Debt factoring without recourse - the debts can be sold to a factoring business but without the obligation to buy back those debts in the event of default
What kind of controls may the government impose to control their political stability?
- Exchange control regulations, which will ration the supply of foreign currencies which restricts residents from buying goods abroad; or banning the payment of dividends to foreign shareholders such as holding companies in multinationals, who will then have the problem of blocked funds.
- Import quotas
- Import tariffs
- Insist on a minimum shareholding, i.e. that some equity in the company is offered to resident investors
- Company structure may be dictated by the host government - requiring, for example, all investments to be in the form of joint ventures with host country companies
How to manage political risk?
Companies cannot prevent political risk, but they should seek to minimise it whenever the risk appears significant. Before undertaking a FDI, a company needs to assess its exposure to political risk by:
- Using political ranking tables such as Euromoney magazine tables;
- Evaluating the country’s macro-economic simulation - balance of payments, unemployment levels, per capita income, inflation, exchange rate policy, rate of economic growth;
- Evaluating the current government’s popularity, stability and attitude to foreign investment, together with the attitude of opposition parties;
- Looking at the historical stability of the political system;
- Looking at changing religious and cultural attitudes;
- Taking advice from the company’s bank, and etc.
How to manage economic risk?
- Diversification of production and sales (e.g. foreign production and/or sales)
- Diversification of suppliers
- Diversification of financing
- Marketing