Chapter 1 Flashcards
What is causality/a causal effect?
Provide an example
An action is said to cause an outcome if the outcome is the direct result, or consequence, of that action = causality.
Touching a hot stove causes you to get burned
A variable X has what kind of effect on Y, if,
holding all else equal, a change in X leads to a change in Y?
A causal effect
______ means that a specific action leads to a specific, measurable outcome.
Causality
What is the best way to measure causality?
Give an example
A Randomized Controlled Experiment
The causal effect of tomato yields after applying fertilizer
What is a randomized controlled experiment?
An experiment containing a control group and a treatment group that receives a treatment/intervention that is randomly assigned on a large scale to estimate causality between two variables.
What is a prediction?
Using information on some/one variable/s to make a statement about the values of another variable
What is a forecast?
A prediction about the value of a variable in the future
What are the 5 major types of data used in econometrics?
Experimental Observational Cross-Sectional Time Series Panel
What is Experimental Data?
What are some of the limitations to experimental data to econometrics?
Data gathered from an experiment
Getting reliable data can be very time consuming and expensive
What is observational data?
What are some of the limitations of observational data to estimating causal effects?
Data gathered from observing behavior outside an experiment
Real world levels of treatment/intervention is not assigned at random and can make it difficult to sort out treatments/interventions from other factors
What is Cross-Sectional Data?
Give an example
Data on different entities (workers, consumers, firms, etc.) for a single time period
California’s 420 school districts average test scores for the 1999 school year
What is Time Series Data?
Give an example
Data for a single entity (person, firm, country) collected at multiple time periods
GDP and the term spread growth of the US from 1960 to 2020
What is the Term Spread?
The difference between long-term and short-term interest rates
What are the benefits of Time Series Data?
-By tracking a single entity over time, time-series data can be used to study the evolution of variables over time and to forecast future values
What are the benefits of Cross-Sectional Data?
With cross-sectional data, we can learn about relationships among variables by studying differences across different entities during a single time period