Chapter 1 Flashcards

The meaning of risk

1
Q

When did the concept of measuring risk originate

A

the concept of measuring risk dates from the middle of the 17th century

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2
Q

Who first proposed the theory of probability

A

two mathematicians, Fermat and Pascal, first proposed the theory of probability

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3
Q

When did we first start expressing the severity of a risk in numerical terms

A

in the thirteenth century. Previously the numbers 0-9 where not widely used in the Western world.

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4
Q

when did basic algebra originate.

A

basic algebra originated in 1565.

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5
Q

who created basic algebra.

A

a mathematician and physician called Cardano, who produced a mathematical analysis of games of chance.

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6
Q

what significant development took place in 1662.

A

The publication of an analysis of records of births and deaths in London. This was compiled by businessman called John Graunt .

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7
Q

What are Renn and Rohrmann’s four levels of risk perception

A

Renn and Rohrmann’s Framework for risk perception is structured around the following four levels: cultural influences, Media influence, emotional factors and common sense.

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8
Q

What are the key elements of risk perception

A
  • voluntariness
  • controllability
  • delay
  • man-made and natural risks
  • familiarity
  • expected benefits
  • media
  • dread and unknown risks
  • other influences of risk perception
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9
Q

what are dread risks

A

dread risks are characterised by perceived lack of control, catastrophic potential, inequitable distribution of risks and benefits and dreadful consequences

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10
Q

what are unknown risks

A

unknown risks are those less generally known, with limited knowledge of the risk, perhaps with delayed effect and where the risk type is new

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11
Q

what is the first level in Renn and Rorhmann’s structured framework of risk perception

A

Common sense

collective reasoning strategies

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12
Q

what is the second level in Renn and Rorhmann’s structured framework of risk perception

A

Emotional factors

Knowledge of risk

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13
Q

what is the third level in Renn and Rorhmann’s structured framework of risk perception

A

Media influence

Social, political and economic culture

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14
Q

what is the fourth level in Renn and Rorhmann’s structured framework of risk perception

A

Cultural influences

Personal identity and views

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15
Q

what is speculative risk

A

speculative risk is where someone deliberately chooses to place money or resources at risk in the hope of obtaining a positive outcome

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16
Q

what is pure risk

A

pure risk is a category of risk in which loss is the only possible outcome: there is no beneficial result

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17
Q

Strategic risk - define

A

associated with long-term objectives of an organisation.

closely related but not the same as speculative risks

18
Q

operational risk - define

A

operational risk is defined as risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems or from external events

19
Q

Types of operational risk

A
  • management of fraud (internal and external)
  • damage to physical assets
  • business disruption
  • system failure
  • employment practices
  • workplace safety
  • outsourcing
  • supplier disruption
  • customer service issues
20
Q

market risk - define

A

market risk, also referred to as systemic risk, is concerned with the risk of losses in trading positions arising from movements in market prices

21
Q

what is credit risk

A

credit risk is risk that a counterparty will suffer real or perceived deterioration of financial strength, or be unable to pay amounts when full due.

22
Q

what is liquidity risk

A

liquidity risk is the risk of running out of cash when it is needed to meet financial obligations (e.g. the payment of valid insurance claims)

23
Q

what is business risk

A

business risk is the probability of loss inherent to an organisation’s operations and environment, such as competition and adverse economic conditions that may impair its ability to provide returns on investment

24
Q

what is insurance risk

A

insurance risk associated with any one insurance contract is twofold: uncertainty that an insured event will occur, and uncertainty of the amount of any resulting claim

25
Q

what is reputation risk

A

reputation risk is the possible loss of an organisation’s reputation. it is closely associated with brand management

26
Q

what are regulatory risks

A

regulatory risks are associated with factors an organisation needs to consider because of the regulatory environment in which it operates

27
Q

what are legal risks

A

legal risks are associated with alleged or actual breach of contract between an organisation and a counterparty

28
Q

what does the EU gender directive 2012 require from insurers

A

that they reconsider the use of gender-based pricing and cover

29
Q

what is every risk associated with

A

cause and effect

30
Q

how can we classify risk consequences

A

once a risk has been evaluated, its consequences can be classified according to whether:

  • they can be tolerated
  • they can be tolerated with financial compensation (insurance), or
  • they are totally unacceptable
31
Q

when did modern risk management originate

A

modern risk management is a new discipline, effectively dating from the latter part of the 20th century

32
Q

what is risk management based on

A

risk management is based on fundamental mathematical concepts of risk perception and measurement developed by mathematicians and scientists during the last three hundred years.

33
Q

how far back can we trace mathematical analysis of games of chance

A

we can trace mathematical analysis of games of chance back to the 16th century. analysis of historical life expectancy data and shipping records can be traced back to the 17th century

34
Q

what did the use of statistics allow which was previously unfeasible

A

statistics from past data allowed people to judge what may happen in the future and formed the basis of insurance business

35
Q

what developments took place in the 18th and 19th centuries that allowed the development of insurance

A

The 18th and 19th centuries saw developments saw developments in statistical analysis, analysis of distributions and theorems based on these advances, such as regression to the mean

36
Q

what was first recognised in the 20th century, which was previously adopted as an axiom

A

by the early 20th century it was recognised that history was not always a reliable guide to future events. Emphasis was placed on dealing with uncertainty and making decisions with a range of possible outcomes

37
Q

when did the discipline of risk management develop as we recognise it today

A

the discipline of risk management as we recognise it today developed after World War II and was accelerated by technology advances such as the availability of computers.
People stopped relying on insurance and concentrated on preventing or mitigating the effects of risk incidents

38
Q

In addition to the development of risk management, what else developed after WW2

A

health and safety measures became commonplace. continuity plans came into existence, ensuring business continuity in the event of disaster.

39
Q

how has Government regulation evolved in recent decades

A

Government regulation has widened and there is growing emphasis on responsibility and accountability for not controlling risk

40
Q

People are more willing to accept risks…

A

…they think they can control

41
Q

Man-made and natural risks are perceived differently…

A

…with the latter being more accepted than the former