Chap 7 - Measures of Risk and Performance Flashcards
What is Variance and standard deviation ?
Definition
* Classic measure of total risk
* Not necessarily the best measure for alternative investments
What is Variance ?
Variance, as a symmetrical calculation, is an expected value of the squared deviations, including both negative and positive deviations.
What is semmi-variance ?
The semivariance uses a formula otherwise identical to the variance formula except that it considers only the negative deviations inside the summation. Semivariance provides a sense of how much variability exists among losses or, more precisely, among lower-than-expected
outcomes.
How to calculate Semistandard deviation ?
Semistandard deviation, sometimes called semideviation, is the square root of semivariance.
What is semivolatility ?
Semivolatility has been proposed as an improved measure of risk compared to semistandard deviation. Semivolatility is similar to semistandard deviation except that
it is unambiguously based on only the number of observations below the mean or
threshold (T*) and it subtracts 0.5, rather than 1.0, from that number.
where T∗ is the number of observations less than the mean (or threshold).
What is Shortfall risk ?
Shortfall risk is simply the probability that the return will be less than the investor’s target rate of return.
What is Target semivariance ?
Target semivariance is similar to semivariance except that target semivariance
substitutes the investor’s target rate of return in place of the mean return. Thus, target semivariance is the dispersion of all outcomes below some target level of return
rather than below the sample mean return.
How to callculate Target semistandard deviation (TSSD) ?
Target semistandard deviation (TSSD) is
simply the square root of the target semivariance.
When the target is the mean, target semivariance equals semivariance. A very high target return eliminates only the highest outcomes, whereas a very low target eliminates most of the outcomes. The target should typically be set equal to the investor’s target rate of return, such as the minimum return consistent with achieving
the investor’s goals.
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What is Tracking error ?
Tracking error indicates the dispersion of the returns of an investment relative to a benchmark return, where a benchmark return is the contemporaneous realized
return on an index or peer group of comparable risk. Although tracking error is sometimes used loosely simply to refer to the deviations between an asset’s return and the benchmark return, the term tracking error is usually defined as the standard
deviation of those deviations.
Since tracking error is formed based on deviations from a benchmark
rather than deviations from its own mean, it is an especially useful measure of the dispersion of an asset’s return relative to its benchmark. Therefore, whereas standard
deviation of returns might be used for an asset with a goal of absolute return performance, tracking error might be used more often for an asset with a goal of relative return performance.
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What is a Drawdown ?
Drawdown is defined as the maximum loss in the value of an asset over a specified time interval and is usually expressed in percentage-return form rather than currency.
What is a Maximum drawdown ?
Maximum drawdown is defined as the largest decline over any time interval within the entire observation
period.
For example, an asset might be
said to have experienced a maximum drawdown of 33% since 1995 (for example,
between 2000 and 2002), with individual drawdowns of 23% in 2000 and 14% in
2007.
What is Value at riskk (VaR) ?
Value at risk (VaR) is the loss figure associated with a particular percentile of a cumulative loss function. In other words, VaR is the maximum loss over a specified time period within a specified probability.
What are the two parameters for the Value at Risk ?
The specification of a VaR requires two parameters:
1. The length of time involved in measuring the potential loss
2. The probability used to specify the confidence that the given loss figure will not be exceeded