Chap 7 Flashcards
Definition of security analysis ?
Process of gathering information, organizing it into logical framework and then using it to determine the intrinsic value of common stock
Definition of intrinsic value ?
A mesure of of the underlying worth of a share of stock
Depend of future cash flow
The discount rate
Risk associated with futures performance
How is “Top-Down” approach to security analysis ?
Step 1 : economics analysis
Step 2 : industry analysis
Step 3: fundamental analysis
The efficient market hypothesis asserts :
- securities are rarely, if ever, substantially mispriced in the market place
- no security analysis in capable of consistently finding mispriced securities
Gross domestic product (GDP):
market value of all goods and services produced in a country over a given period
Key Economic Factors (economics analysis )
The state of the economy is affected by a wide range of factors: Government Fiscal Policy –Taxes –Government Spending –Debt management
Monetary Policy
–Money supply
–Interest rates
Other Factors –Inflation –Consumer spending –Business Investments –Foreign trade and foreign exchange rates
Industrial production:
an indicator of the output produced by industrial companies.
–Normally, GDP and index of industrial production move up and down with the business cycle.
Key in Industry Analysis:
In analyzing an industry, look at such things as its makeup and basic characteristics, the key economic and operating variables that drive industry performance, and the outlook for the industry.
Step 1: establish the competitive position of a particular industry in relation to other industries.
Step 2: Identify companies within the industry that hold particular promise.
–Look for strong market positions, pricing leadership, economies of scale, etc.
Growth cycle:
an industry’s growth cycle reflects the vitality of the industry over time.
–Initial Development: industry is new and risks are very high.
–Rapid Expansion: product acceptance is growing and investors become very interested.
–Mature Growth: expansion comes from growth in the economy and the long-term nature of the industry becomes more apparent.
–Stability or Decline: demand for the industry’s products is diminishing and companies are leaving the industry
Fundamental analysis:
the study of the financial affairs of a business for the purpose of understanding the company that issued the common stock
Company analysis:
a historical analysis of the financial strength of the firm, using financial statements of the firm.
The competitive position of the company is determine by:
The types of assets owned and growth rate of sales
Profit margins and dynamics of earnings
Composition and liquidity of assets (asset mix)
Capital structure (financing mix)
Balance Sheet contain …
Assets:
Liabilities:
Stockholders’ equity:
Income Statement
provides a financial summary of the operating results of the firm over a period of time such as a quarter or a year.
Revenues (i.e. sales)
Expenses
Profit/Loss
The income statement shows how successful the firm has been in using the assets listed on the balance sheet
Ratio analysis:
study of the relationships between various financial statement accounts