change of the IMF role Flashcards
Introduction
• The question:
o IMF was profoundly criticised by academia during the 2008-2009 financial crisis due to its inability to foresee, prevent or respond to the crisis
Lead to great structural changes that lead to a change in the role it now has in economic governance
can be explained through neoliberal insitutionalism
• The answer:
o Its role as a whole has remained the same but it has become more efficient in carrying out thanks to new structures, more resources and new techniques
• The Plan:
o Will look at them in turn
It has picked up the role of protecting economic stability
• Especially in developed countries through the Financial Stability Board
Has become the first responder to economic crisis
• Can be seen in Europe
It has become the major coordinator of macroeconomic policies
point 1
one way it has changes is that it has strengthen its role in watch over economic stability
o Making its role more legitimate and more valuable
• The role was already in place before during the 1990s and 2000s financial crises, however it lacked resources, capacity and efficiency
o Used the conditionality principle and basically recycled debt for developing countries
Lost legitimacy and found to be irrelevant
• Since the 2008 financial crisis this has greatly change
o Ban and ghallager: increasing its efficiency as watch over economic stability
o
example economic stability
In a G20 meeting countries agreed that the IMF should oversee stability and economic surveillance
Economic Stability Board
Financial Sector Assessment Programs
• every five years of 29 countries whose financial sectors are deemed systemically important
Financial Stability Board
• Created in 2009
• Evolved from the Financial Stability Forum
• Implemented new rules for greater financial regulation
• Back to question: its role has been accredited more legitimacy and more valuable
point 2:
another way its role has changed is by becoming the first responder to economic crisis
o Before it did have the role of lender of last resort, however
As mentioned by Momani before it would simply finance the balance of payments deficit with very out of touch conditional principles
o Was criticised of basically recycling debt in the poor countries rather than aiding in dept repayment
• Learning from the experience of the 2008 financial crisis it reformed it ways of facing a financial crisis
example first responder of economic crisis
o Increased its resources to do so
• In 2008 it established the short-term Liquidity Facility to ensure its ability to provide financial assistance
• Moreover it created the Flexible Credit Line in order to provide pre-emptive financial assistance in order to prevent crisis
• Conditionality principle is still in place but with stricter and more efficient adjustments policies that not only look at economic growth but at maintaining stability
Becoming more effective in responding to crisis
• trust worthy among countries
o allowed it to be the first responder to crisis rather htan the lender of last resort
• Example: during the Greece government-debt crisis the IMF intervened
o Three adjustment programs
Originally IMF agreed to a three-year €110 billion loan, paying 5.5% interest, conditional on the implementation of austerity measures.
• Greece brought down its primary deficit from €25bn (11% of GDP) in 2009 to €5bn (2.4% of GDP) in 2011
point 3
become the coordinator of economic policies
Crisis was caused by a deregulated interconnectedness of financial markets and market more in general
• So to avoid future crisis the imf has picked up the role of coordinator of economic policies
• Before: the IMF was more a promoter of microprudential policies
o Traditional microprudential regulation seeks to enhance the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions
This shifted greatly after the Financial crisis
• As the interconnectedness of financial crisis can overtake microprudential polices
example of coordiantor of macroeconomic policies
o Focused in particular with the Macroprudential regulation (MPR)
seeks to ‘curb the credit cycle’ through regulatory interventions that impose constraints on private institutions.
• Capital account liberalisation wasn’t promoted anymore but capital controls were requested
focuses on the procyclical behavior of the financial system in the effort to foster its stability.
o Dresses the interconnectedness of the financial markets
o Can be seen through the establishment of Basel III
Basel III
• Bolster of bank capital adequacy and liquidity requirements
• Decrease bank leverage
theoretical debate on stability
• Neoliberal institutionalism: institutions can be reshaped to make them more effective in achieve common goals
o Mitigate anarchy better
What happened to the IMF: Created stronger regulations
• However, Momani: ‘it has effectively failed to predict and warn of looming crisis’
o This doesn’t change the new role it has picked up, rather confirms it (by confirming its failure in doing so it confirms the role it has)
Role has changed by becoming more important in the economic stability surveillance
theoretical debate on first response
• Neoliberal institutionalism:
o Institutions are built to aid states in achieving what they wouldn’t be able to do alone
Enable states
• This is what it does by being the responder to financial crisis it enables states to achieve stability again
• Conditionality is highly criticised
o As mentioned by Khan conditionality is
too strict
undermines domestic political institutions
• doesn’t lead to stability
• However it doesn’t imply that the IMF is not the first responder to crisis
o Although its methods are still criticised it has still been successful in improving conditions of countries suffering financial crisis like Greece
After the 2008 financial crisis it has reformed its ways showing how it strengthen its role as responder of economic crisis
theoretical debate on coordinator
• Neo-insitutionalliberalism: insitutions can successfully protect states from the consequences of globalisation
o Haveem: the creation of institutions has been pushed by the efforts of states to cope with a pervasive globalisation
Which can be seen with the financial crisis in which the globalisation fo financial markets have lead to the collapse of the world economy
• However, Horváth and Wagner (2015) argue that countercyclical policies have the potential to increase cross-sectional risk.
insulate banks from economy-wide fluctuations
but they do not insulate banks from fluctuations in bank-specific, idiosyncratic, conditions
• increase the incentives for banks to correlate with each other. Systemic risk may thus increase, rather than fall.
• However, this doesn’t mean that the IMF hs not change its role in economic coordinator after the fiancnial crisis
neoliberal insitutional scholars
Schweller-Priess: enables state
Haveem: respond to globalisation
Sterling-Folker: can be reformed to better address common interest
scholars economic stability
Ban and Ghallagher: increased it efficiency in watching econ stability
Momani: was unable to ensure econ stability although changes
scholars response to econ crisis
Momani: before, it had balanced the payment depth but useless
Khan: conditionality too strict
scholars macro econ policies
Rawling: credity sycle correlated to bank crisis
Horvath and Wagner: idyosincratic risk not isolated