Challenges of Pop. Growth & Migration Flashcards
The Global Compact for Safe, Orderly, and Regular Migration
Seeks to promote national and international policies with respect to migration that follow the rule of law and promote sustainable development and human rights
What is a key challenge of aging populations?
Smaller cohorts of young people coming into the labor force to support elderly populations
Urbanization
Growth in the size of cities
Immigration
International migration into a country
Refugee
A person who is outside their country of origin because of well-founded fears of being persecuted
Internally Displace Persons
People displaced within their own countries
Emigration
International migration out of a country
In 2019, the number of people living as refugees or internally displaced people worldwide was estimated by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) at:
79.5 million
Which of the following is true about population and population growth
- Patterns of population growth differ significantly between more- and less-developed regions of the world
- Fertility rates in the least developed countries are declining but still very high
population change (P) equation
P = (+) births (–) deaths (+) in-migration (–) out-migration
Demography
the study of population change and characteristics
A population can change in size and composition as a result of 3 demographic processes:
- fertility, mortality, and migration
- P (pop. change) = (+) births (–) deaths (+) in-migration (–) out-migration
On the global level, the world’s population grows as the result of
natural increase=the relative balance between births and deaths
zero population growth
- a termination of population growth
- advocated by some seeking a sustainable development advocate
- short term: balancing the components of the population equation to yield zero change in population size during a period of time
- long term: stationary population=constant patterns of childbearing interact with constant mortality and migration to yield zero population change
What is replacement fertility?
Avg in births per woman in low mortality countries?
- when one generation of parents is just replacing itself in the next generation
- About 2.1 children per woman
“momentum” of population growth
The lag from large groups of persons of childbearing age, reflecting earlier eras of high fertility, results in large numbers of births even with replacement-level fertility
Using medium assumptions of future population growth
United Nations Population Division estimates that by 2030, world population lev els will grow to 8.5 billion, and projects a global population of up to 9.7 billion by 2050,
population pyramid
the proportions of persons in different age groups in a population
despite large additions to the world’s population
- the rate of population growth is actually decreasing
- the average annual rate of global population growth reached an all-time high, of about 2.2 percent, between 1962 and 1964.
- since then, the pace of growth of the world’s population has decreased to the current rate of approximately 1.1 percent per year
The rapid population growth that occurred in the post–World War II era reflected
- significant declines in mortality that resulted in large part from public health advances
- and the transfer of medical technology from more to less developed countries.
The total fertility rate
- measures the average number of births per woman of childbearing age and is a strong indicator of overall population growth
- In the period 2015–2020, the total fertility rate for the world is estimated at 2.47 births per woman, representing a significant decline from 4.47 for 1970–1975
- in high-income countries, as defined by the World Bank, has been below replacement since 1975 and is estimated at 1.67 births per woman for 2015–2020
- in middle-income countries the current level of fertility is estimated as 2.35 births per woman
- in low-income countries, the total fertility rate has dropped from 6.68 for 1970–1975 to 4.52 for 2015–2020, a significant decline, but well above replacement level
Global decline in fertility due to
- the aggressive fertility-control campaign in China
- and significant declines in fertility throughout Southeast Asia and in Latin America
- TF in China declined from 4.85 for 1970–1975 to 1.69 for 2015–2020; fertility in India has also declined, from 5.41 for 1970–1975 to 2.24 for 2015–2020
Why is it important today to think about the relationship between population growth and food supply even though the rate at which the global population increases has slowed?
Because of the additional problem of carbon emissions and climate change
When did the world’s population reach one billion people?
At the beginning of the 19th century
When looking at the population pyramid for The Netherlands, which of the following are correct statements
- More than 50% of the Dutch population is of working age (15-64 years of age)
- About 11% of the population is under ten years of age
What were some negative consequences of the original green revolution
- People around the world eat the same few things
- Local knowledge that was built over thousands of years of agricultural history was almost loss
- Loss of local food diversity
What is the relationship between expected population growth over the next two decades and climate change?
The vast majority of people (75%) are going to be born in regions hardest hit by climate change
What are some of the reasons why the world’s population drastically increased over the past 70 years
- Major public health advances
- Reduced mortality rates
- Improved food production and distribution
When looking at Niger’s population pyramid, which of the following are correct statements
- More than 35% of Niger’s population are under 10 years of age
- Niger has a youthful population
- Less than 5% of Niger’s population is over over the age of 65
Thomas Malthus
argued that the inescapable human desire to reproduce would lead to starvation, poverty, and human misery if not halted by the “positive checks” of famine, war, and epidemics
Perspectives on Population
- Neo-Malthusian perspective= has remained much the same
- Cornucopian perspective= emphasizes the role of technological innovations and market forces which through economics will manage the use of natural resources
- New Perspective= focuses on the structural dimensions of social change, including processes such as population displacement, health and disease, food security, and environmental issues as outcomes of broader social and economic structural processes and institutions. With this perspective, pop. growth thus becomes more of a consequence than a cause of slow economic development and restricted social and economic opportunities
Commons themes which connect the Pop. Perspectives for reducing Pop. Growth:
-reduction of poverty
-improvement of life choices
-the status of women, particularly educational opportunities for girls
-reduction of infant and child mortality
-increasing sustainability of food production
-improvement in water quality
-and other aspects of social welfare all become strategies for reducing population growth.
The reduction of barriers to effective fertility-regulation methods is consistently associated with rapid fertility decline which is consistent with improvement of standards of living, stabilization of food supplies, and reducing environmental degradation
Demographic Transition Model
- relies heavily upon the differences between developed and developing nations
- predicts that as societies undergo industrialization and urbanization, death rates will fall, followed by a lag of declining fertility, during which population growth continues to occur until norms and values shift from large-family to small-family ideals
- has been widely criticized and revised, particularly in recognition of the fact that it depends on the experiences of non-Western societies mirroring or converging with those of Europe and North America
Second Demographic Transition Model
- created by Ronald Lesthaeghe in 2010
- Once nations achieve low levels of fertility and mortality in the first demographic transition, they are able to achieve a second transition that involves a change in values that are often characterized by secularization, egalitarianism, and individuality
If we all lived as densely as people in Manhattan, every human could fit inside
Norway
population projections
theories of population change guide analyses of future population growth
“cohort-component” methodologies
following theory and research on population dynamics, fertility, mortality, and migration are considered as individual sources of demographic change that vary within populations by age and sex
medium-fertility projection
represents a probabilistic-model fertility decline based upon past trends at the global and national levels, thus incorporating two scales of modeling
By the end of the 21st century, which of the following regions will see their share decrease while still holding the largest share of the world’s population?
Asia
Which of the following are correct statements about the world’s population
- By 2050, India is projected to be the most populous country in the world
- Projections of the world’s population in 2050 vary between 7.3 billion and 15.6 billion people, depending on the fertility rate.
- By 2050, India’s population is projected to reach 1.6 billion people
- China’s population is projected to peak by 2030 at 1.5 billion and decline to about 1.4 billion by 2050
According to the UN Population Division’s 2020 analyses, what is the medium variant projection for the world’s population by 2100?
10.9 billion people by 2100
Which of the following variants project that the world’s total population will surpass 9 billion people by 2100
Constant Fertility Variant
Which countries will continue to hold the largest share of the world’s population?
countries in Asia
What has the Human Genome Project found that tells us that variations in health outcomes based on race and ethnicity are linked to something other than DNA
- DNA shows that all humans are 99.9% the same
- There’s more variation within a like group than between single individuals of different groups
What are some of the uneven effects brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic felt by people of color in London?
- When looking at survival at 30 days, patients of Black and Asian ethnicity had an increased risk of death
- A significant gap in health outcomes between White, Asian, and Black communities admitted to hospital with complications from COVID-19
- Those of Asian and Black ethnicity were younger and fitter and were dying from COVID-19
According to the UN’s 2020 projections, the two countries with the largest populations will continue to see growth, but where ___________ is projected to peak in size at 1.5 billion in 2030, _____________ is projected to soon overtake it, reaching an estimated 1.6 billion by 2050.
China/India
population policy
a deliberately constructed or modified institutional arrangement or specific program through which a government influences demographic change, directly or indirectly
How many people do you think are currently living away from their place of birth?
216 Million=3% of pop.
There are two ways in which population challenges and human rights are connected:
- One is when people leave their origin countries behind due to persecution, in other words, when their human rights are violated.
- The other connection is when the fears in destination countries lead to increasingly restrictive migration policies which then also lead to the violation of human rights.
How are refugees’ human rights violated
-stopped from entering countries through agencies like Fortex and U.S ICE even though they’re allowed to leave countries for fear of persecution
Since the Civil War in Syria
More than 22,500 migrants have reportedly died or disappeared globally since 2014 – more than half of them perishing while attempting to cross the Mediterranean