Ch6: Human Resource Planning Flashcards
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
Main
- External
- Organisational
- Workforce
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
list External factors??
- Economics
- Social political legal
- Technology
- Competitors
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
List Organisational factors??
- Strategic plans
- Budgets
- Sales & production forecast
- New ventures
- Organisation and job design
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
List Workforce factors??
- Retirement
- Resignation
- Termination
- Deaths
- Leaves of absence
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
External factors
Discuss economics & social political legal
- Economics factors difficult to predict in short run
- Inflation, unemployment are difficult to forecast
- social political legal are easy to predicts
Eg changes in laws & wars
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
External factors
Discuss technological & competitors
- Technology develops increases unemployment.
- one department decrease and increase in other department makes HR more complicated
- ROBOTS
- Competitors forces downsizing to reduce cost and gain edge
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
Organizational Decision
Discuss Strategic plans, Budgets & Sales and Production forecasts
- Strategic Long term plan; long range HR Plans for future employment.
- Strategic Short term plan; by using budget increase or cut in HR plans.
- More short term strategic plan: checking against sales and production forecast and act accordingly
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
Organizational Decision
Discuss New Ventures & Organisation Job design
- New Venture from Scratch: Immediate HR Demands and HR Planners workout long and short term plan.
- If acquisition or Merger: Redesign of jobs
Causes of DEMAND OF HR
Organizational Decision
Discuss All Workforce factors
Monitor Past Experience carefully to analyse the trend and work out accordingly.
What is Forecasting Techniques
to predict future demand for employees in an organisation
List main heads of Forecasting Techniques
- expert
- trend
- other like budget and planning analysis , new venture analysis and computer models
Forecasting Techniques
List expert`
- Formal and instant decision
- Formal expert survey
- Nominal group technique
- Delphi Technique
Forecasting Techniques
List trend`
- Extra-pola-tion
- Index-a-tion
- statistical analysis
Forecasting Techniques
List other`
- Budget and Planning analysis
- New venture analysis
- Computer models
Forecasting Techniques expert Discuss 1. Formal and instant decision 2. Formal expert survey
- Expert forecasts are based on the judgments of those who are knowledgeable about future HR needs. e.g line manager, HR planners
- In larger organisation survey (infomal) those managers who are the ultimate experts in the future staffing needs of their departments.
Forecasting Techniques
expert
Discuss
3. Nominal group technique
formal survey pool, a written questionnaire of focus discussion using NGT.
- INTRO and explanation
- Silent generation of ideas.
- Sharing ideas.
- Group discussion
- Voting and Ranking
Forecasting Techniques
expert
Discuss
4. Delphi Technique
Facilitator to solicit and collate written, expert opinion on labor forecast.
After answer are received, a summary of the information is developed and distributed to the expert,
who are than requested to submit revised forecast.
Expert never meet face-to-face, but rather communicate through the facilitator.
Forecasting Techniques
trend
Discuss 1. Extra-pola-tion
forecast employment demands by estimating past employment change
20 workers hired on average each month for last two years….
Forecasting Techniques trend Discuss 2. Index-a-tion 3. statistical analysis
Index-a-tion estimate future employment:
1. past rate
2. organisational growth
other factors constant remain unstable for long run.
more sophisticated statistical analysis is to be used for better projection.
Forecasting Techniques other Discuss 1. Budget and Planning analysis 2. New venture analysis 3. Computer models
- Budget and Planning analysis
Budget and Extra-pola-tion is to be study for estimate. - New venture analysis
HR planners compare with other new ventures organisation for similar work - Computer models
Forecasting Techniques
other
Discuss
3. Computer models
- Computer models
series of mathematical formulas simultaneous used with Extra-pola-tion, Index-a-tion, survey results are used to compute future staffing needs
Components for the future demands of Human Resource
External - Organisational - Workforce
> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >
Experts - Trend - Other
> > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > >
Demand for Human Resource
Short Range
Long Range
Stages of Complexity and Sophistication in Human Resource Forecasting
More better way for practical forecasting in real world
Stage 1
- mangers discuss goals, plans and drive numbers of people needed in short run
- Highly informal and subjective
Stages of Complexity and Sophistication in Human Resource Forecasting
More better way for practical forecasting in real world
Stage 2
- annual budgeting and planning includes human resource needs
- specify quality and quantity of talend required.
- identify problem that needs a solution
Stages of Complexity and Sophistication in Human Resource Forecasting
More better way for practical forecasting in real world
Stage 3
- using computer generated analysis examine causes of problems and future trends regarding flow of talent.
- relieve managers for forecasting tasks
Stages of Complexity and Sophistication in Human Resource Forecasting
More better way for practical forecasting in real world
Stage 4
- modeling and computer simulation of talent needs, cost of hiring, plans and goals of organisation
- provide best possible information for decision making
- Exchange data with other companies and government.
Staffing Table
Metropolis
City Government
Stafing Table
Date Completed:__________
Budget code No | Job Title | Department |Anticipated openings by month of the year
Anticipated openings by month of the year
Total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |…. | 12 |
Replacement Chart
A Ready for promotion
B Need more experience
C Not suitable for job
1 Outstanding Performance
2 Acceptable Performance
3 Poor Performance
4 Unacceptable Performance