Ch10.2 Flashcards
What is Unstructured Clinical Judgment in risk assessment?
Characterized by professional discretion and lack of guidelines
This approach is subjective, has high variability, and does not follow specific rules or risk factors.
How does Actuarial/Mechanical Prediction differ from Unstructured Clinical Judgment?
Risk factors are selected and combined using empirical or statistical associations
It is based on studies and is generally more accurate than unstructured judgment.
What are the limitations of Actuarial/Mechanical Prediction?
Includes only static risk factors and cannot update risk based on behavioral change
Does not provide information relevant for interventions.
Define Structured Professional Judgment.
Guided by predetermined risk factors derived from research, accuracy still unclear
Judgment of risk level is based on professional judgment.
What are the components used across risk-assessment approaches?
- Identify risk factors
- Measure risk factors
- Combine scores of risk factors
- Produce risk estimate
These components vary across unstructured clinical judgment, actuarial, and structured professional judgment.
What are Static Risk Factors?
Factors that cannot be changed, such as age of first arrest
Also referred to as historical risk factors.
What are Dynamic Risk Factors?
Fluctuate over time and can be changed, such as attitudes
Also known as criminogenic needs.
What are the two types of Dynamic Risk Factors?
- Acute – change rapidly (e.g., negative mood)
- Stable – change over long periods (e.g., impulse control)
Factors can vary in how much they are subject to change.
What is a significant issue in current risk assessment research?
Most research has focused on attempting to predict violence
More attention is needed on why risk factors are linked to violence.
How do gender differences manifest in criminality?
- Women engage in less crime (~25%)
- Women arrested for different crimes
- Higher rates of conditional release for women
Childhood victimization and mental disorders are more prevalent in female offenders.
What are gender-specific risk factors for female offenders?
- History of self-injury
- Self-esteem problems
The LSI-R has predictive validity for reoffending in female offenders.
What percentage of sentenced women are Indigenous?
37%
Indigenous offenders show different predictive factors for recidivism.
What are protective factors in the context of risk assessment?
- Prosocial involvement
- Positive social orientation
- Strong social supports
- Strong attachments
- Intelligence
- Employment stability
These factors help mitigate the likelihood of antisocial acts or violence.
What is a key issue with actuarial instruments in risk assessment?
They only provide probability statements about group data
Evaluators may not agree on categorization of risk levels.
What is desistance from crime?
Process of ceasing to engage in criminal behavior
There is little research on why offenders stop committing crime.