Ch 9 & 10- Inflation Flashcards
What is CPI?
Consumer Price Index
The method of reporting the level of inflation in Australia.
As an index number, it summarizes the overall change in prices of a large number of goods and services
Define inflation
Inflation is the persistent and appreciable rise in the general level of prices. It applies to price increases that occur across time and across a range of goods.
Define the rate of inflation
The rate at which prices are changing
What are the two explanations of inflation?
Demand pull and cost push inflation
What are the indicators of demand pull inflation? (3)
- High levels of durable consumption spending
- excess demand labour (increase wages and thus prices)
- excess money supply (rate growth of money supply faster than rate growth of real output)
What are the indicators of cost push inflation? (4)
- wages increase more than productivity
- price of imports rise (perhaps depreciation of domestic currency)
- oil price rise
- gov charges and taxes rise
How does the business cycle affect inflation?
Periods of high aggregate demand associated with inflationary pressure. Too much money chasing too few goods.
Can happen for G&S and FOP (e.g. labour b/c scarce labour = rise wages)
How does international influences affect inflation?
Depreciation in exchange rate being inflation b/c imported goods more expensive. (Cost push inflation)
Strength of AUD kept pace with rise in fuel price
How does deregulation affect interest rates?
Removal of restrictions decrease costs, meaning producers will be able to sell for lower prices
What factors influence rate of inflation? (6)
- business cycle
- international influences
- structural and deregulation
- supply shocks
- expectations
- monetary conditions in the economy
How does expectations affect inflation?
If HH and F expect inflation to happen or continue, guarantees will b/c economic agents (e.g. Consumers, producers, government) build inflation into their econ plans for future.
Consumers will tend to bring forward their consumption decisions if they expect prices to rise. Increases demand.
How does monetary conditions affect inflation?
If prices rise continuously, must be accompanied by increase money supply. Money supply rise too fast will bring inflation as level of spending and availability of credit in economy create excess spending.
What are the inflation risks?
Currency depreciation-
If dollar fall, import more expensive
Drought and water prices-
Cost push
Rise fuel prices-
Cost push as well
What are the output effects of inflation?
- economic inefficiency. Diverts resources away from productive activities to speculative
- uncertainty
- capital for labour substitution
- lack of confidence
- international competitiveness
What are the redistribution effects?
- Borrowers benefit. Debt repayed after real value of payments fall.
- welfare payments increase
- social effects