Ch 33-38 Flashcards

1
Q

Which types of financial coverage ratios are there?

a)
Debt and interest coverage

b)
Balance sheet ratios or income statement ratios

c)
EBITA- and EBITDA-coverage

d)
Debt and equity coverage

A

a)

Debt and interest coverage

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2
Q

What credit rating should a large company target?

a)
BB+ and B

b)
A+ and BBB-

c)
AAA and BBB

d)
BBB+ to BBB-

A

b)

A+ and BBB-

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3
Q
  1. Which are the typical most highly leveraged industries?

a)
Luxury goods and consumer staples

b)
The automobile industry and chemicals

c)
Packaged consumer goods and utilities

d)
Pharmaceuticals and luxury goods

A

The most highly leveraged industries are typically mature and asset intensive (think cement, packaged consumer goods, and utilities). Their stable profits enable high tax savings from interest deductibility, and their low growth calls for strong management discipline, given the likelihood of overinvesting. Because such companies have assets that can serve as collateral and be redeployed after bankruptcy, their expected costs of business erosion are lower.

C) Packaged consumer goods and utilities

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4
Q

What has happened with the credit ratings over the last decade?

a)
They have declined on average because new companies have taken the opportunity to issue new bonds.

b)
They have declined on average because new companies have taken the opportunity to buy back shares.

c)
They have declined on average because of the increased business risk after the bankruptcy in the bank Lehman Brothers .

d)
They have declined on average because of large acquisitions.

A

a)

They have declined on average because new companies have taken the opportunity to issue new bonds.

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5
Q
  1. What is the median debt coverage for companies in S&P BBB (approximately)?

a)
1,5-2

b)
2,5-3,5

c)
3,5-4

d)
2-2,5

A

d)

2-2,5

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6
Q
  1. What median interest coverage ratio has companies in the group S&P BBB rating (approximately)?

a)
14

b)
16

c)
10

d)
12

A

c)

10

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7
Q
  1. What is the default probability after ten years in BBB debt and what is the spread in basis points the companies pay?

a)
5-6 percent

b)
4-5 percent

c)
2-3 percent

d)
0-1 percent

A

c)

2-3 percent

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8
Q
  1. How many of the companies with revenue over 1 billion EUR in Standards & Poors population has credit ratings between A+ and BBB-?

a)
70 percent

b)
60 percent

c)
40 percent

d)
50 percent

A

B) 60%

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9
Q
  1. What level should dividends be set at?

a)
The company should aim at a somewhat higher pay-out ratio than for the market

b)
It should be set at a level that the company can keep at the bottom of the earnings cycle.

c)
It should be set at a level equal to the pay-out ratio for the market.

A

b)

It should be set at a level that the company can keep at the bottom of the earnings cycle.

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10
Q
  1. What are the major advantages of taking on more debt?

a)
Lower efficiencies from tax benefits and enhances management discipline

b)
Lowers the WACC

c)
Higher efficiencies from tax benefits and enhances management discipline

d)
Higher efficiencies from tax benefits and an increase in investment in PPE, due to accelerated depreciation for tax purposes.

A

c)

Higher efficiencies from tax benefits and enhances management discipline

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11
Q
  1. How should share repurchases be used?

a)
To return excess cash before the dividend is delivered.

b)
To return excess cash above the dividend level.

c)
To return excess cash in stock markets where the dividend is heavily taxed.

d)
The company should long-term aim at distributing as much cash in share repurchases as in dividends.

A

b)

To return excess cash above the dividend level.

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12
Q

What is the drawback with extraordinary dividends?

a)
It creates an administrative process which is more costly than buying back shares.

b)
The negative effect is illusive and has more to with the profile than economy. It is regarded as more “old fashioned” compared to buying back shares.

c)
The tax on dividend is higher than the tax on a share price increase (which is the effect from the buy-back program creates)

d)
It forces cash payment on all shareholders, regardless if they need cash or not.

A

The drawback of extraordinary dividends, compared with share repurchases, is that they offer no flexibility to shareholders and force the cash payout on all of them, regardless of their preferences for capital gains or dividends.

D) It forces cash payment on all shareholders, regardless if they need cash or not.

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13
Q
  1. What are the myths about creating value by repurchasing shares?

a)
Managers can create value by repurchasing shares because it signals a new and persistent low-point for the regular dividend.

b)
Managers can create value by repurchasing shares when they are undervalued, because they have insider information to help them with the timing.

c)
Managers can create value by repurchasing shares because it decreases the risk management will use the cash to do a large acquisition.

d)
Managers can create value by repurchasing shares to use for employee stock options, which is a spitive signal to investors.

A

b)
Managers can create value by repurchasing shares when they are undervalued, because they have insider information to help them with the timing.

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14
Q
  1. How is normally a dividend increases interpreted by investors, and are they right?

a)
As good news, which is a misstake, since a dividend increase has very little connection to earnings growth.

b)
As good news, which is doubtful, since a dividend increase normally comes after strong revenue growth.

c)
As good news, which is correct, since a dividend increase normally comes after strong earnings growth.

d)
As good news, which is a mistake, since a most companies have dividend increase more governed by excess cash, than performance.

A

C) As good news, which is correct, since a dividend increase normally comes after strong earnings growth.

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15
Q
  1. How large part of cash distributions to shareholders in 2018 were share repurchases?

a)
80 percent

b)
60 percent

c)
70 percent

d)
50 percent

A

b)

60 percent

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16
Q

The key-ratio GMV is recommended. Why is it better to use that as a starting point for valuation than revenue?

a)
Gross Merchant Value is a better key-ratio because it represents the value sold, not the net surplus.

b)
Grass Marginal Value is better suited because the value of the marginal transaction is a better indication of total value, than the surplus from the average transaction.

c)
Greenwich Mean Value refers to a benchmark valuation for a sector in which the company operates. If the company can for example take 10 percent of the GMV, that becomes the company value.

d)
Gross Margin Valuation is a better starting point, since most of the cost for R&D and marketing are more similar to investments.

A

Since a company’s take rate varies over time and across businesses, do not start your valuation with company revenue, but rather with gross merchandise value (GMV). GMV represents the value of goods sold. Since the company keeps only a portion of the gross merchandise value traded, revenue is limited to the portion retained. Many technology companies report both gross and net sales. For instance, ride-sharing companies report their gross bookings but net out driver payments before reporting revenue. Assess the market power of various stakeholders, like luxury boutiques or global luxury brands, to determine the future direction of take rates.

A) Gross Merchant Value is a better key-ratio because it represents the value sold, not the net surplus.

17
Q

Which are the four areas in the valuation process for high-growth companies? One of the following is NOT correct.

a)
Think about how the company will look in the future, when the steady state is reached.

b)
Focus on one of the developed scenarios. By focusing on way way forward, the communication becomes easier and it is more likely investors will understand the assumptions behind the model.

c)
Work backward to current performance. Is the estimation consistent with economic and industry principles.

d)
Develop different probability weighted scenarios. Critical assumptions become more transparent in several scenarios.

A

b)
Focus on one of the developed scenarios. By focusing on way way forward, the communication becomes easier and it is more likely investors will understand the assumptions behind the model.

18
Q
  1. In the first area of the valuation process, three examples of key-factors on operating performance are recognized – which?

a)
FCF individual years, continuing value, net debt

b)
ROIC, growth, investment rate

c)
Customer penetration rates, average revenue per customer, sustainable margin

d)
Capital investment to revenue, EBITA-margin, FCF during the expansion phase

A

c)

Customer penetration rates, average revenue per customer, sustainable margin

19
Q

What did surprise the authors, regarding analyst consensus estimates for cyclical companies?

a)
The consensus forecast did not predict the earnings cycle at all

b)
The consensus forecast for FCF did not predict the business cycle at all

c)
The consensus forecast did predict the earnings cycle surprisingly well

d)
The consensus forecast of ROIC did predict the earnings cycle surprisingly well

A

We examined equity analysts’ consensus earnings forecasts for cyclical companies to look for clues to these companies’ volatile stock prices. Consensus earnings forecasts for cyclical companies appeared to ignore cyclicality entirely. The forecasts invariably showed an upward-sloping trend, whether the companies were at the peak or trough of the cycle.

A) The consensus forecast did not predict the earnings cycle at all.

20
Q
  1. Explain why it can be stated that, in many cyclical industries, it is the companies themselves that drives the cyclicality?

a)
Companies are increasing the employee stock options and other bonuses, at the peak of the cycle.

b)
Companies are investing large amounts at the bottom of the cycle.

c)
Companies perform large acquisitions when prices and returns are high.

d)
Companies are investing large amounts when prices and returns are high.

A

d)

Companies are investing large amounts when prices and returns are high.

21
Q
  1. Describe the scenario approach for valuing cyclical companies Which of the following is NOT correct.

a)
Construct and value a normal cycle scenario

b)
Construct and value a new trend line scenario based on recent performance.

c)
Assign probabilities to the two scenarios.

d)
Calculate the value by the help of the average FCF for the last business cycle, normally at least 5-7 years.

A

d)

Calculate the value by the help of the average FCF for the last business cycle, normally at least 5-7 years.

22
Q

What is the reason volatility in earnings does not transfer into volatility in a DFC-calculated value?

a)
A substantial part of the DCF-value relies on the continuing value, which is a value calculated several years ahead. It is not likely the volatility in that value is as high, as if it was calculated on FCF closer to the valuation date.

b)
The valuation is performed using the same risk premium for the market in all companies.

c)
The valuation is performed using the same WACC all years

d)
The DCF-model reduces the the future cash flows to a singel number.

A

d)

The DCF-model reduces the the future cash flows to a singel number.

23
Q
  1. In practice, does the share prices follow the DCF-calculated value or earnings?

a)
Long-term: A combination of earnings (70 percent) and DCF-value.

b)
Earnings

c)
Short-term: Earnings

d)
The DCF-value

A

b)

Earnings

24
Q
  1. Which are the three types of activities that generate income in a bank?

a)
Net interest income, investment income, insurance net

b)
Net interest income, commission income, insurance net

c)
Net interest income, property income, investment income

d)
Net interest income, commission income, trading income

A

d)

Net interest income, commission income, trading income

25
Q

Why is it not possible to do an enterprise discounted cash flow valuation (DCF-valuation) on a bank?

a)
Financial cash flows are excluded from operations

b)
The cash flow statement is very difficult to interpret.

c)
There is no summarization for the operating result

d)
Isolating operations from financing is not possible, since the main operating income is the net interest income

A

D) Isolating operations from financing is not possible, since the main operating income is the net interest income

26
Q

In the book Valuation a large European bank is analyzed. What is the standardized RWA/loans (%) according to Basel II for the following asset classes; a) Other consumer loans; b) Residential mortgages; c) loans to corporations?

a)
103%, 48%, 48%

b)
95%, 70%, 60%

c)
35%, 35%, 35%

d)
75%, 35% and 35%

A

d)

75%, 35% and 35%

27
Q
  1. What is the capital requirement in Basel III (CET1) in percent of risk-weighted assets for a bank that is not globally systemically important bank?

a)
4,5%

b)
7%

c)
8-10,5%

d)
3,5-6%

A

B) 7%

28
Q
  1. In using the equity DCF-method the key-ratio ROIC is replaced by another key-ratio – which?

a)
ROCE, return on capital employed

b)
ROA, return on total assets

c)
ROE, return on equity

d)
The dividend yield

A

c)

ROE, return on equity

29
Q
  1. What is the difference between net earnings and cash flow to equity, when valuing banks?

a)
Hybrid capital

b)
Interest net and taxes

c)
Deductions from equity

d)
The dividend and share issues

A

Net income represents the earnings theoretically available to shareholders after payment of all expenses, including those to depositors and debt holders. However, net income by itself is not cash flow. As a bank grows, it will need to increase its equity; otherwise, its ratio of debt plus deposits over equity would rise, which might cause regulators and customers to worry about the bank’s solvency. Increases in equity reduce equity cash flow, because they mean the bank is issuing more shares or setting aside earnings that could otherwise be paid out to shareholders.

B) The dividend and share issues

30
Q

Rank the following loan types according to historical loan losses, from high to low: a) mortgage loans, b) business loans, c) consumer loans, and d) credit card loans.

a)
Credit cards, consumer loans, securitized loans

b)
Credit cards, consumer loans, mortgages

c)
Business loans, consumer loans, mortgages

d)
Credit cards, business loans, mortgages

A

b)

Credit cards, consumer loans, mortgages

31
Q
  1. If a bank grows its cash flow and simultaneously decreases its equity capital ratio (equity/asset ratio), what factor explains that the intrinsic equity value will not go up?

a)
The increase in the risk premium decreases the cost of capital and lowers the value.

b)
The increase in the risk premium increases the cost of capital and lowers the value.

c)
The decrease in the risk premium increases the cost of capital and lowers the value.

d)
The equity value will go up because the gearing increases.

A

b)

The increase in the risk premium increases the cost of capital and lowers the value.