Ch. 3 Structure of Interest Rates Flashcards
“Unfavorable” characteristics = _____ VS “Favorable” characteristics = _____
higher yields to attract investors; lower yields since it is safer
Lower liquidity = _____ VS Higher liquidity = _____
higher risk premium; lower risk premium
Credit (default) Risk
-check the creditworthiness of the security issuer.
-Especially for longer-term securities.
-Treasuries don’t have default risk
-Difference (our debt-treasuries) is called the risk premium
Use of Rating Agencies to Assess Credit Risk
-bonds ratings are changes over time, based on the changes in the firm’s financial conditions
-ratings are opinions which not guarantee
-low credit rating bonds default more often compared to high credit rating bonds
Financial Reform Act of 2010
-established an Office of Credit Ratings within the SEC (Sec Exch Comm)
-regulate credit agencies
-internal control
what are the 2 rating agencies?
Moody
-Ex: Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B
S&P
-Ex: AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B
How does the credit agencies take part in the financial crisis of 2008-2009?
-debt agencies gave the highest rating (AAA) to mortgage loans of homebuyers with bad credit and undocumented income
-all the AAA securities were downgraded to junk rating and written off as losses
-led to the disappearance of major investment banks and Fed Gov. bought billions of bad debt from distressed financial institutions
The lower a security’s liquidity = _____ VS The higher a security’s liquidity = _____
the higher the yield preferred by an investor; the lower the yield investor will get
what securities and markets have higher liquidity?
Debt securities with a short-term maturity or an active secondary market have greater liquidity.
Liquidity
-Investors like liquidity.
-When you need the money will drive your need for liquidity and the returns you are willing to accept.
-MM = very liquid.
Pure Expectations Theory
the term structure of interest rates is determined by expectations of interest rates.
upward slope = _____
flat = _____
downward slope = _____
higher than today’s interest rate
same as today’s interest rate
lower than today’s interest rate
what’s going to happen If investors think rates will go up in the future?
they will prefer the short term now, so they can reinvest for more returns in the future = causing more money supply to go into the short-term securities market = lower interest rate
what’s going to happen if corporate borrowers who need to issue debt think rates will go up in the future?
lock in today’s lower rates and pay a lower rate on their debt forever = issuing long term-bonds means There is no demand for short-term funds = D for ST goes down.
how’s the sudden decrease in rates going to affect ST and LT?
Supply for LT goes up (you want a higher return longer) = Supply for ST goes down
Demand for LT goes down (I am going to issue debt at lower rates) = Demand for ST goes up