Ch. 3 - National Income: Where It Comes From and Where It Goes Flashcards

1
Q

Let’s update our circular flow diagram to include firms, households, markets for goods and services, markets for factors of production, financial markets and governments. Let’s look at the flow of dollars from the viewpoint of these economic actors. Households:

A

Households receive income and use it to
-pay taxes to the government
-consume goods and services
-save through financial markets
Both households and firms borrow in financial markets to buy investment goods, such as housing, and factories.

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2
Q

Let’s update our circular flow diagram to include firms, households, markets for goods and services, markets for factors of production, financial markets and governments. Let’s look at the flow of dollars from the viewpoint of these economic actors. Firms:

A

Firms receive revenue from the sale of goods and services and use it to pay for the factors of production.
Both households and firms borrow in financial markets to buy investment goods, such as housing, and factories.

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3
Q

Let’s update our circular flow diagram to include firms, households, markets for goods and services, markets for factors of production, financial markets and governments. Let’s look at the flow of dollars from the viewpoint of these economic actors. Government:

A

The government receives revenue from taxes, uses it to pay for government purchases.

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4
Q

What is public saving?

A

Any excess of tax revenue over government spending. Budget surplus if positive, budget deficit if negative.

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5
Q

What does an economy’s output of goods and services - its GDP - depend on? (2)

A
  • Its quantity of inputs, called factors of production

- Its ability to turn inputs into outputs, as represented by the production function.

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6
Q

What are factors of production?

A

The inputs used to produce goods and services.

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7
Q

What are the 2 most important factors of production?

A
  • Labor

- Capital

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8
Q

What is capital?

A

The set of tools that workers use. K

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9
Q

What is labor?

A

The time people spend working. L

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10
Q

What do we write if K or L is fixed?

A

K or L with an overbar. (line on top) the

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11
Q

What do we assume in our model for now?

A

That factors of production are fully utilized - that is, that no resources are wasted.

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12
Q

What determined how much output is produced from given amounts of capital and labor?

A

The available production technology.

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13
Q

Which equation states that output if a function of the amount of capital and the amount of labor?

A

Y = F(K,L)

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14
Q

What does the production function reflect?

A

The available technology for turning capital and labor into output.

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15
Q

What is it that alters the production function?

A

Technological change.

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16
Q

When does a production function have constant returns to scale?

A

When an increase of an equal percentage in all factors of production causes an increase in output of the same percentage.
zY = F(zK,zL)

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17
Q

Why is it that factors of production and the production function determine nation income?

A

Because the factors of production and the production function together determine the total output of goods and services.

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18
Q

What is the neoclassical theory of distribution based on?

A

It’s based on the (18th century) idea that prices adjust to balance supply and demand (applied here to the markets for the factors of production) together with the more recent (19th century) idea that the demand for each factor of production depends on the marginal productivity of that factor.

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19
Q

In this model, what is the distribution of national income determined by?

A

Factor Prices

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20
Q

What are factor prices?

A

The amounts paid to the factors of production - the wage workers earn and the rent the owners of capital collect.

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21
Q

What is the rental price each factor of production receives for its services determined by?

A

The supply and demand for that factor.

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22
Q

What are properties of a competitive firm?

A

A competitive firm is small relative tot he markets in which it trades, so it has little influence on market prices.

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23
Q

What is Y, K, L P, W, and R?

A
Y = Total Output
K = Capital stock
L = Work force
P = Price
W = Wage
R = Rental rate of capital
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24
Q

What is the goal of a firm?

A

To maximize profit.

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25
Q

What is profit?

A
Profit = Revenue - Labor Costs - Capital Costs
Profit = PY - WL - RK
Profit = PF(K,L) - WL - RK
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26
Q

What does the equation Profit = PF(K,L) - WL - RK show in general?

A

That profit depends on the product price P, The factor prices W and R, and the factor quantities L and K.

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27
Q

What does the equation Profit = PF(K,L) - WL - RK say about how competitive firms operate?

A

The competitive firm takes the product price and the factor prices as given and chooses the amounts of labor and capital that maximize profit.

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28
Q

What property do most production functions have?

A

Diminishing marginal product.

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29
Q

What is diminishing marginal product of labor?

A

Holding the amount of capital fixed, the marginal product of labor decreases as the amount of labor increases.

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30
Q

What is the marginal product of labor graphically for a production function which holds K constant?

A

MPL = Slope of this production function

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31
Q

The increase in revenue from an additional unit of labor depends on which 2 variables?

A
  • MPL

- Price of output

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32
Q

How does the increase in revenue from an additional unit of labor depends on MPL and Price of output?

A

Because an extra unit of labor produces MPL units of output and each unit of output sells for P dollars, the extra revenue is PXMPL.

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33
Q

Where does the increase in cost from an additional unit of labor come from?

A

The extra cost of hiring one more unit of labor is the wage W.

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34
Q

How does profit change from one additional unit of labor?

A

change in profit = change in revenue - change in cost

change in profit = (PXMPL) - W

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35
Q

How much labor does a firm hire?

A

The firm’s management knows that if the extra revenue PXMPL exceeds the wage W, an extra unit of labor increases profit. Therefor, the manager continues to hire labor until the next unit would no longer be profitable - that is, until the MPL falls to the point where the extra revenue equals the wage.

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36
Q

What is the competitive firm’s demand for labor determined by?

A

PXMPL = W
equivalently
MPL = W/P
where W/P is the real wage

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37
Q

What is a real wage?

A

The payment to labor measured in units of output rather than in dollars.

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38
Q

How do competitive firms hire labor?

A

To maximize profit, the firm hires up tot he point at which the marginal product of labor equals the real wage.

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39
Q

What does the MPL depend on?

A

The amount of labor employed.

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40
Q

How does a figure graphing units of output per units of labor look like?

A

The figure graphs the MPL schedule. Because the MPL diminishes as the amount of labor increases, the curve slopes downward. For any given real wage, the firm hires up tot he point at which the MPL equals the real wage. Hence, the MPL schedule is also the firm’s labor demand curve.

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41
Q

What is the marginal product of labor?

A

The extra amount of output the firm gets from one extra unit of labor, holding the amount of capital fixed.

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42
Q

What is the marginal product of capital?

A

The extra amount of output the firm gets from one extra unit of capital, holding the amount of labor fixed.

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43
Q

What is MPK?

A

MPK = F(K+1,L) - F(K,L)

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44
Q

What is MPL?

A

MPL = F(K,L+1) - F(K,L)

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45
Q

What is diminishing marginal product of capital?

A

Holding the amount of labor fixed, the marginal product of capital decreases as the amount of capital increases.

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46
Q

How does profit change from one additional unit of capital?

A

change in profit = change in revenue - change in cost

change in profit = (PXMPK) - R

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47
Q

How much capital does a firm rent?

A

The firm’s management knows that if the extra revenue PXMPK exceeds the rental rate R, an extra unit of capital increases profit. Therefore, the manager continues to rent capital until the next unit would no longer be profitable - that is, until the MPK falls to the point where the extra revenue equals the rental rate of cpaital.

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48
Q

What is the competitive firm’s demand for capital determined by?

A

MPK = R/P

where R/P is the real rental price of capital.

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49
Q

What is the real rental price of capital?

A

The rental price measured in units of goods produced rather than in dollars.

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50
Q

To sum up the competitive, profit maximizing firm follows a simple rule about how much labor and how much capital to rent. What is it?

A

The firm demands each factor of production until that factor’s marginal product falls to equal its real factor price.

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51
Q

Having analyzed how a firm decides how much of each factor to employ, explain how the markets for the factors of production distribute the economy’s total income if all firms in the economy are competitive and profit-maximizing.

A

Each factor of production is paid its marginal contribution to the production process. The real wage paid to each worker equals the MPL, and the real rental price paid to each owner of capital equals the MPK. The total real wages paid to labor are therefore MPLxL, and the total real return paid to capital owners is MPKxK

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52
Q

What is economic profit?

A

The income that remains after the firms have paid the factors of production.

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53
Q

What’ the real economic profit equation?

A

Economic profit = Y - (MPLxL) - (MPKxK)

Y = (MPKxL) + (MPKxK) + Economic Profit

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54
Q

How is total income divided among the economy?

A

Total income is divided among the return to labor, the return to capital, and economic profit.

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55
Q

How large is economic profit in an economy?

A

If the production function has the property of constant returns to scale, then economic profit must be zero. Thai is, nothing is left after the factors of production are paid.

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56
Q

The conclusion that there is 0 economic profit comes from Euler’s theorem. What does it state about the production function with constant returns to scale?

A

F(K,L) = (MPKxK) + (MPLxL)
If each factor is paid its marginal product, the the summ of these factor payments equal total output. In other words, constant returns to scale, profit maximization, and competition together imply that economic profit is zero.

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57
Q

If economic profit is zero, how can we explain the existence of “profit” in the economy?

A

The term “Profit” as normally used is different from economic profit. We’ve been assuming that there are three types of agents: workers, owners of capital, and owners of firms. Total income is divided among wages and return to capital, and economic profit. In the real world however, most firms own rather than rent the capital they use. Because firm owners and capital owners are the same people, economic profit and the return to capital are often lumped together.

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58
Q

In the real world, most firms own rather than rent the capital they use. Because firm owners and capital owners are the same people, economic profit and the return to capital are often lumped together. If we call this alternative definition accounting profit, what is accounting profit?

A

Accounting profit = Economic profit + (MPKxK)

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59
Q

Under our assumptions - constant returns to scale, profit maximization, and competition - economic profit is zero. If these assumptions approximately describe the world, where does the “profit” in the national income accounts come from?

A

The “profit” in the national income accounts must mostly return to capital.

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60
Q

Give a Grand Summation of how the income of the economy is distributed from firms to households.

A

Each factor of productions is paid its marginal product, and these factor payments exhaust total output. Total output is divided between the payments to capital and the payments to labor, depending on their marginal productivities.

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61
Q

According to the neoclassical theory of distribution, why does a change in the quantity of any one factor alter the marginal product of all the factors?

A

According to the neoclassical theory of distribution, factor prices equal the marginal product of the factors of production. Therefore, a change in the quantity of any one factor alter the marginal product of all the factors because the marginal product depends on the quantities of the factors. Therefore, a change in the supply of a factor alters the equilibrium prices.

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62
Q

The outbreak of the bubonic plague in 1348 reduced the population of Europe by about one-third within a few years. Describe how fourteenth-century Europe provides a vivid example of how factor quantities affect factor prices.

A

Because the marginal product of labor increases as the amount of labor falls, this massive reduction in the labor force raised the marginal product of labor. Real wages did increase substantially during the plague years. The peasants who were fortunate enough to survive he plague enjoyed economic prosperity.

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63
Q

How did the reduction in the labor force caused by the plague also affect the other major factor of production?

A

The reduction in the labor force also affected the return to land. With fewer workers available to farm the land, an additional unit of land produced less additional output. This fall in marginal product of land let to a decline in real rents. Thus, while the peasant class prospered, the landed classes suffered reduced incomes.

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64
Q

What production function describes how actual economies turn capital and labor into GDP?

A

Cobb-Douglass Production Function

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65
Q

What surprising fact did Paul Douglas notice when he was still a professor of economics?

A

That the division of national income between capital and labor has been roughly constant over a long period. In other words, as the economy grew more prosperous over time, the total income of worker and the total income of capital owners grew at almost exactly the same rate.

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66
Q

What did Paul Douglas’ observation cause him to wonder?

A

What conditions lead to constant factor shares.

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67
Q

What did Paul Douglas ask Charles Cobb?

A

What production function, if any, would produce constant factor shares if factors always earned their marginal products.

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68
Q

Which 2 properties would a production function that produced constant factor shares if factors always earned their marginal products have to have?

A

Capital Income = MPKxK = αY
Labor income = MPLxL = (1-α)Y
where a is a constant between zero and one that measures capital’s share of income. That is, α determines what share of income goes to capital and what share goes to labor.

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69
Q

Which equation did Cobb show had the required properties desired by Douglas?

A

Y = F(K,L) = Ak^(α)L^(1-α)

where A is a parameter greater than 0 that measures the productivity of the available technology.

70
Q

What is the first important property of the Cobb-Douglas production function?

A

It has constant returns to scale. That is, if capital and labor are increased by the same proportion, then output increases by that proportion as well.

71
Q

Consider the marginal products for the Cobb-Douglas production function.
MPL = (1-α)AK^αL^(-α)
MPK = αAK^(α-1)L^(1-α)
Explain how we can see what causes the marginal products of the two factors to change, recalling that α is between 1 and 0.

A

An increase in the amount of capital raises the MPL and reduces the MPK. Similarly, an increase in the amount of labor reduces the MPL and raises the MPK. A technological advance that increases the parameter A raises the marginal product of both factors proportionately.

72
Q

How can the marginal products for the Cobb-Douglas production function also be written as?

A
MPL = (1-α)Y/L
MPK = αY/K
73
Q

What does our new way of writing the marginal products for the Cobb-Douglas production function as
MPL = (1-α)Y/L
MPK = αY/K
show about output relative to capital and labor?

A

The MPL is proportional to output per worker and the MPK is proportional to output per unit of capital.

74
Q

What is Y/L?

A

Average labor productivity

75
Q

What is Y/K?

A

Average capital productivity

76
Q

What does our new way of writing the marginal products for the Cobb-Douglas production function as
MPL = (1-α)Y/L
MPK = αY/K
show about productivity?

A

If the production function is Cobb-Douglas, then the marginal productivity of a factor is proportional to its average productivity.

77
Q

How can we now verify that if factors earn their marginal products, then the parameter α indeed tells us how much total income goes to labor and how much goes to capital?

A

The total wage bill, which we have seen is MPLxL, equals (1-α)Y. Therefore, (1-α) is labor’s share out output. Similarly, the total return to capital, MPKxK, is αY, and α is capital’s share out output. The ration of labor income to capital income is a constant (1-α)/α. The factor shares depends only on the parameter α, not on the amoutns of capital or labor or on the state of technology as measured by parameter A.

78
Q

How does the neo-classical suggest that workers should enjoy a rapidly rising living stantards when labor productivity is growing robustly?

A

Because the neo-classical theory of distribution tells us that the real wage W/P equals the MPL, and the Cobb-Douglass production function tells us that the MPL is proportional to average labor productivity Y/L.

79
Q

Provide the simplest description of the aggregate consumption behavior of all households.

A

Households receive income from their labor and their ownership of capital, pay taxes to the government, and then decide how much of their after-tax income to consume and how much to save.

80
Q

What is disposable income?

A

Income after the payment of all taxes: Y - T

81
Q

How do households divide their disposable income?

A

Between consumption and saving.

82
Q

What do we assume about consumption here?

A

That the level of consumption depends directly on the level of disposable income. The higher is disposable income, the greater is consumption. Thus,
C = C(Y-T)

83
Q

What does the equation C = C(Y-T) state?

A

That consumption is a fraction of disposable income.

84
Q

What is the relationship between consumption and disposable income called?

A

The consumption function.

85
Q

What is MPC?

A

The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is the amount by which consumption changes when disposable income increases by one dollar.

86
Q

What are the possible values of MPC?

A

The MPC is between 0 and 1: an extra dollar of income increases consumption, but by less than one dollar.

87
Q

What does it mean for households to have a MPC of 0.7?

A

Households spend 70 cents of each additional dollar of disposable income on consumer goods and services and save 30 cents.

88
Q

How can we find the MPC graphically?

A

The MPC is the slope of the consumption function.

89
Q

How do both firms and households buy investment goods?

A

Firms buy investment goods to add to their stock of capital and to replace existing capital as it wears out. Households buy new houses, which are also a part of investment.

90
Q

The quantity of investment goods demanded depends on many things. give some examples. (4)

A
  • The rate of increase in new knowledge.
  • The expectations firms have about the likelihood that households are ready to spend.
  • The level of taxes.
  • The interest rate.
91
Q

Why does the interest rate matter in determining the quantity of investment goods demanded?

A

The interest rate matters since it measures the cost of the funds used to finance investment. For an investment to be profitable, its return (the revenue from increased future production of goods and services) must exceed its cost (the payments for the borrowed funds). If the interest rate rises, fewer investments are profitable, and the quantity of investment goods demanded falls.
A person wanting to buy a new house faces a similar decision. The higher the interest rate, the greater the cost of carrying a mortgage.

92
Q

Throughout this book, we will talk about “the”interest rate, as if there were only one interest rate. The only distinction we will make is between the nominal interest (which is not corrected for inflation) and real interest (which is). The newspaper report so many interest rates. When you see two different interest rates, you can almost always eplain the difference by considering 3 things. In which 3 ways do the various reported interest rates differ?

A

-Term
-Credit Risk
Currency Denomination

93
Q

Some loans in the economy are for short periods of time. Others are for 30 years or even longer. How does the interest rate on a loan depend on its term?

A

Long-term interest rates are usually, but not always, higher than short-term interest rates.

94
Q

In deciding whether to make a loan, a lender must take into account the probability that the borrower will repay. The law allows borrowers to default on their loans by declaring bankruptcy. How does credit risk affect the interest rate?

A

The higher the perceived probability of default, the higher the interest rate. The safest credit risk is the government, and so government bonds tend to pay a low interest rate. At the other extreme, financially shaky companies can raise funds only by issuing junk bonds, which pay a high interest rate to compensate for the high risk of default.

95
Q

How does currency denomination affect credit risk?

A

A lender must be concerned about possible changes in international exchange rates. For example, an American who lends money to a provincial government by buying a bond denominated in CAD will for expectations concerning the likely change in the value of the CAD over the period he is making this loan. If the CAD is expected to fall in value, Canadian borrowers have to pay a higher interest rate than do borrowers in the US. Thus, the spread between Canadian and American interest rates widens whenever the Canadian dollar is perceived as “weak”.

96
Q

Although there are many different domestic interest rates, why do macroeconomists usually ignore these distinctions?

A

The various interest rates tend to move up and down together, For many purposes, it is acceptable to assume that there is only one interest rate.

97
Q

What are nominal interest rates?

A

The interest rate as usually reported: it’s the rate of interest investors pay to borrow money.

98
Q

What are real interest rates?

A

The nominal interest rate corrected for the effects of inflation.

99
Q

What do assume here about interest rates?

A

We assume here that the real interest rate measures the true cost of borrowing and, thus, determined the quantity of investment.

100
Q

Government spending are of which 2 types?

A
  • Purchases of goods and services

- Transfer payments to households

101
Q

Why aren’t transfer payments included in the variable G?

A

Unlike government purchases, transfer payments are not made in exchange for some of the economy’s output of goods and services.

102
Q

How do transfer payments affect the demand for goods and services indirectly?

A

Transfer payments are the opposite of taxes: they increase households’ disposable income, just as taxes reduce disposable income. Thus, an increase in transfer payments financed by an increase in taxes leaves disposable income unchanged.

103
Q

How can we now revise our definition of T?

A

T is equal to taxes minus transfer payments. Disposable income, Y-T, includes both the negative impact of taxes and the positive impact of transfer payments.

104
Q

When does the government have a balanced budget?

A

When government purchases equal taxes minus transfers, then G = T.

105
Q

When does the government have a budget deficit?

A

When government purchases surpass taxes minus transfers, then G > T.

106
Q

When does the government have a budget surplus?

A

When government purchases are surpassed by taxes minus transfers, then G < T.

107
Q

What does it mean for here to take G as exogenous?

A

Here, we don’t try to explain the political process that leads to a particular fiscal policy - that is, to the level of government purchases and taxes.

108
Q

How do we denote G and T as exogenous.

A

By putting an overbar over the G and the T

109
Q

What are the endogenous variables here in our equation C + I + G

A

The endogenous variables here are consumption, investment, and the interest rate.

110
Q

What is the interest rate in the classical model?

A

The price that has the crucial role of equilibriating supply and demand.

111
Q

Which 2 ways can we think about the role of the interest rate in the economy?

A
  • We can consider how the interest rate affects the supply and demand for goods and services.
  • We can consider how the interest rate affects the supply and demand for loanable funds.
112
Q
Summarize this 
Y = C + I _ G
C = C(Y - T)
I = I(r)
G = G'
T = T'
where ' means overbar.
A
  • The demand for the economy’s output comes from consumption, investment, and government purchases.
  • Consumption depends on disposable income.
  • Investment depends on the real interest rate.
  • Government purchases and taxes are the exogenous variables set by fiscal policymakers.
113
Q
Earlier we saw that Y = F(K,L) = Y'. Now, combine this equation with our other equations 
Y = C + I _ G
C = C(Y - T)
I = I(r)
G = G'
T = T'
A

Y = C(Y - T) + I(r) + G
Because the variables G and T are fixed by policy, and the level of output Y is fixed by the factors of production and the production function, we can write
Y’ = C(Y’ - T’) + I(r) + G’
where ‘ means overbar.
Notice that r is the only variable not already determined.

114
Q

What does the equation
Y’ = C(Y’ - T’) + I(r) + G’
say?

A

That the supply of output equals its demand. which is the sum of consumption, investment, and government purchases.

115
Q

Notice that r is the only variable not already determined in the previous equation Y’ = C(Y’ - T’) + I(r) + G’. Why is this?

A

Because the interest rate still has a key role to play: it must adjust to ensure that the demand for goods equals the supply. The greater the interest rate, the lower the level of investment, and thus the lower the demand for goods and services, C + I + G.

116
Q

What happens if the interest rate is too high?

A

If the interest rate is too high, investment is too low, and the demand for output falls short of the supply.

117
Q

What happens if the interest rate if too low?

A

If the interest rate if too low, investment is too high, and the demand exceeds the supply.

118
Q

When is the interest rate in equilibrium?

A

At the equilibrium interest rate, the demand for goods and services equals the supply.

119
Q

Why can we better understand the role of the interest rate in the economy by thinking about the financial markets?

A

Because the interest rate is the cost of borrowing and the return to lending in financial markets.

120
Q

How can we better understand the role of the interest rate in the economy?

A

Rewrite the national accounts identity as Y - C - G = I

The term Y - C - G is the output that remains after the demands of consumers and the government have been satisfied.

121
Q

What is national savings?

A

Y - C - G

also called simply, savings (S)

122
Q

In this form, what does Y - C - G = I show?

A

That savings equals investment

S = I

123
Q

Which 2 parts can we split national savings into to better understand the identity S = I?

A

A part representing the saving of the private sector and a part representing the saving of the government.
(Y - T - C) + (T - G) = I
National saving is the sum of private and public saving.

124
Q

What is the term (Y - T - C)?

A

Private savings, which is disposable income minus consumption

125
Q

What is the term (T - G)?

A

Public saving, which is government revenue minus government spending.

126
Q

What is public savings when the government runs a deficit?

A

Negative

127
Q

What is public savings when the government runs a surplus?

A

Positive

128
Q

Which interpretation of the equation
(Y - T - C) + (T - G) = I
does the circular flow diagram mentioned earlier reveal?

A

This equation states that the flows into the financial markets (private and public saving) must balance the flows out of the financial markets (investment).

129
Q

What’s the first step to seeing how the interest rate brings financial markets into equilibrium?

A

Substitute the consumption function and the investment function into the national accounts identity:
Y - C(Y - T) - G = I(r)

130
Q

What’s the second step to seeing how the interest rate brings financial markets into equilibrium?

A

Note that G and T are fixed by public policy and Y is fixed by the factors of production and the production function:
Y’ - C(Y’ - T’) - G’ = I(r)
S’ = I(r)
The left-hand side of this equation shows that national savings depends on income Y and the fiscal policy variable G and T. For fixed values of Y, G, and T, national saving S is also fixed. The right hand side of the equation shows that investment depends on the interest rate.

131
Q

Why is the saving function graphed as a vertical line here?

A

Because in this model, saving doesn’t depend on the interest rate (we relax this assumption later).

132
Q

Why is the investment function graphed as an downward sloping curve?

A

The higher the interest rate, the fewer investment projects are profitable.

133
Q

How can we think of saving and investment as supply and demand?

A

In this case, the “good” is loanable funds, and its “price” is the interest rate.
Savings is the supply of loanable funds
Investment is the demand for loanable funds.

134
Q

How is saving the supply of loanable funds?

A

Households lend their saving to investors or deposit their saving in a bank that then loans the funds out.

135
Q

How is investment is the demand for loanable funds?

A

Investors borrow from the public directly by selling bonds or indirectly by borrowing from banks.

136
Q

What follows, in the financial markets, from the fact that investment depends on the interest rate

A

The quantity of loanable funds demanded also depend on the interest rate.

137
Q

How does the interest adjust to reach equilibrium?

A

The interest adjusts until the amount that firms want to invest equals the amount that households want to save.

138
Q

What happens in the financial markets if the interest is too low?

A

If interest is too low, investors want more of the economy’s output than households want to save. Equivalently, the quantity of loans demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. When this happens, the interest rate rises.

139
Q

What happens in the financial markets if the interest is too high?

A

If interest is too high , households want to save more of the economy’s output than households want to save more than firms want to invest. Because the quantity of loans supplied is greater than the quantity demanded, the interest rate falls..

140
Q

When is the financial market in equilibrium?

A

The equilibrium interest rate is found where the two curves cross. At the equilibrium interest rate, households’ desire to save balances firms’ desire to invest, and the quantity of loans supplied equals the quantity demanded.

141
Q

if we look within labor income, we find that that gap between the earnings of high-wage workers has grown substantially since the 1970’s. As a result, income inequality is greater today than it was four decades ago; the same pattern is found in many western countries. Although economists do not have a definitive answer to the question of what has caused this growing income disparity between rich and poor, what is one diagnosis presented by Claudia Goldin and Lawrence Katx in their book The Race Between Education and Technology?

A

Their bottom line is that “the sharp rise in inequality was largely due to an educational slowdown.”
According to them, for the past century, technological progress has been a steady force that has not only increased average living standards, but has also increased the demand for skilled workers relative to unskilled workers. Skilled workers are needed to apply and manage new technologies, while less skilled workers are more likely to become obsolete.

142
Q

Why did skilled workers not benefit disproportionately from economic growth in the analysis of the results of Goldin’s and Katz’s findings?

A

For much of the 20th century, skill-biased technological change was outpaced by advances in educational attainment. In other words, while technological progress increased the demand for skilled workers, our educational system increased the supply of them even faster. As a result, skilled workers did not benefit disproportionately from economic growth.

143
Q

Why are skilled workers starting to benefit disproportionately from economic growth in the analysis of the results of Goldin’s and Katz’s findings?

A

Recently things have changed. Over the last several decades, technological advance has kept up its pace, while educational advancement has slowed down. Because growth in the supply of skilled workers has slowed, their wages have grown relative to those of the unskilled.

144
Q

What are the implication of the analysis by Goldin and Katz for public policy?

A

The implication of this analysis for public policy is that reversing the rise in income inequality will likely require putting more of society’s resources into education (which economists call human capital).

145
Q

What are the implication of the analysis by Goldin and Katz for personal decision making?

A

The implication for personal decision making is that college and graduate school are investments well worth making.

146
Q

How can we use our model to show how fiscal policy affects the economy?

A

When the governments changes its spending or the level of taxes, it affects the demand for the economy;s output of goods and services and alters national saving, investment, and the equilibrium rate.

147
Q

Using our model to show how fiscal policy affects the economy, consider first the effects of an increase in government purchases by an amount ΔG. What is the immediate impact of the increase in government purchases?

A

The immediate impact is to increase the demand for goods and services by ΔG. But since total output is fixed by the factors of production, the increase in government purchases must be met by a decrease in some other category of demand. Since disposable income Y - T is unchanged, consumption C is unchanged as well. The increase in government purchases must be met by an equal decrease in investment.

148
Q

How can fiscal policy induce investment to fall?

A

To induce in vestment to fall, the interest rate must rise. Hence, the increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to increase and investment to decrease. Government purchases are said to crowd out investment .

149
Q

To grasp the effect of an increase in government purchases, consider the impact on the market for loanable funds.

A

Since the increase in government purchases is not accompanied by an increase in taxes, the government finances the additional spending by borrowing - that is, by reducing public saving. Since private saving is unchanged, this government borrowing reduces national saving.

150
Q

How is a reduction in national saving represented graphically?

A

A reduction in national saving is represented by a leftward shift in the (vertical) supply of loanable funds available for (downward sloping) investment. At the initial interest ate, the demand for loans exceeds the supply. The equilibrium interest rate rises to the point where the investment schedule crosses the new saving schedule.. Thus, an increase in government purchases causes the interest rate to rise.

151
Q

Why do wars provide a natural experiment with which economists can test their theories?

A

Because the economic changes accompanying them are often large we can learn about the economy by seeing how in wartime the endogenous variables respond to the major changes in the exogenous variables.

152
Q

What is one exogenous variable that changes substantially during wartime?

A

The level of Government Purchases.

153
Q

What does out model predict about the increase in government spending during wartime?

A

Our model predicts that this wartime increase in government purchases - and the increase in government borrowing to finance the wars - should have raised the demand for goods and services, reduces the supply of loanable funds, and raised the interest rate.

154
Q

How does the data on the interest rate on long-term government bonds, called consols in the UK, in wartime compare to the predictions made by our model?

A

A positive association between military purchases and interest rates is apparent in the data which supports the models prediction: interest rates do tend to rise when government purchases increase.

155
Q

What is one problem with using wars to test economic theories?

A

Many economic changes may be occurring at the same time. Economic models predict what happens when one exogenous variable changes and all the other exogenous variables remain constant. In the real world, however, many exogenous variables may change at once.

156
Q

Give 2 examples how other changing exogenous variables could have had an impact during WWII.

A

In WWII, while government purchases increased dramatically, rationing also restricted consumption of many goods.
In addition, the risk of defeat in the war and default by the government on this debt presumably increased the interest rate the government must pay.

157
Q

Using our model to show how fiscal policy affects the economy, consider a reduction in taxes ΔT. What is the immediate impact of the tax cut?

A

The immediate impact of the tax cut is to raise disposable income and thus to raise consumption. Disposable income rises by ΔT, and consumption rises by an amount equal to ΔT times the marginal propensity to consume MPC. The higher the MPC, the greater the impact of the tax cut on consumption.

158
Q

Why must the increase in consumption caused by a reduction in taxes be met by a decrease in investment?

A

Since the economy is fixed by the factors of production and the level of government purchases is fixed by the government, the increase in consumption must be met by a decrease in investment. For investment to fall, the interest rate must rise. Hence, a reduction in taxes, like an increase in government spending, crowds out investment and raises the interest rate.

159
Q

Analyze the effect of a tax cut by looking at saving and investment.

A

Since the tax cut raises disposable income by ΔT, consumption goes up by MPCxΔT. National saving s, which equals Y - C - G, falls by the same amount as consumption rises. The reduction in saving shifts the supply of loanable funds to the left, which increases the equilibrium interest rate and crowds out investment.

160
Q

One of the most dramatic economic events in recent history was the large change in fiscal policies of most Western countries in the latter three decades of the twentieth century. How was fiscal policy before these changes?

A

Before this period, all governments had run deficits during numerous short intervals of time. But governments had often run surpluses as well, so that, over the long-run, there was not a large increase in their national debts.

161
Q

One of the most dramatic economic events in recent history was the large change in fiscal policies of most Western countries in the latter three decades of the twentieth century. How was fiscal policy after these changes?

A

Starting in the mid-1970’s, the excess of government spending over tax revenues increased by a wide margin, and this gas became a permanent fixture of fiscal policy. It was not until the mid-1990’s that deficits were worked down.

162
Q

One of the most dramatic economic events in recent history was the large change in fiscal policies of most Western countries in the latter three decades of the twentieth century. How do the results of this action relate to our predictions?

A

As our model predicts, this change in fiscal policy led to higher world interest rates and lower levels of saving.

163
Q

We can use our model to examine how how changes affect investment. One reason why investment might increase is technological innovation. How would technological innovation cause investment to rise?

A

Suppose that someone invents a new technology, such as the railroad or computer. Before a firm or household can take advantage of the innovation, it must buy investment goods. The invention of the railroad had no value until railroad cars were produced and tracks were laid. The idea of the computer was not productive until computers were manufactured. Thus, technological innovation leads to an increase in investment demand.

164
Q

We can use our model to examine how how changes affect investment. One reason why investment might change is because the government encourages or discourages investment through tax laws. How would the government use tax laws to increase the demand for investment goods?

A

For example. suppose that the government increases personal income taxes and uses the extra revenue to provide tax cuts for those who invest in new capital. Such a change in the tax laws makes more investment projects profitable and, like a technological innovation, increases the demand for investment goods.

165
Q

What is the graphical effect of an increase in investment demand?

A

At any given interest rate, the demand for investment goods (and also for loans) is higher, This increase in demand is represented by a shift in the investment schedule to the right. The economy moves from the old Eq. to the new Eq.

166
Q

What is the surprising implication of the graphical effect of an increase in investment demand?

A

That the equilibrium amount of investment is unchanged. Under our assumptions, the fixed supply of saving determines the amount of investment; in other words, there is a fixed supply of loans. An increase in investment demand merely raises the equilibrium interest rate.

167
Q

The surprising implication of the graphical effect of an increase in investment demand was that the equilibrium amount of investment is unchanged. How would we reach a different conclusion, however, if we modified our simple consumption function?

A

We would we reach a different conclusion if we modified our simple consumption function and allowed consumption (and its flip side, saving) to depend on the interest rate. Because the interest rate is the return to saving (as well as the cost of borrowing), a higher saving schedule would be upward sloping rather than vertical.

168
Q

How would we reach a different conclusion about investment changes not increasing investment if we modified our simple consumption function to allow consumption to depend on the interest rate?

A

With an upward-sloping saving schedule, an increase in investment demand would raise both the equilibrium interest rate and the equilibrium quantity of investment. The increase in the interest rate causes households to consume less and save more. The decrease in consumption frees resources for investment.

169
Q

In this chapter we have developed a model that explains the production, distribution, and allocation of the economy’s output of goods and services. Because the model incorporates all the interactions illustrated in the circular flow diagrams in the beginning, what is it sometimes called?

A

The General Equilibrium Model.

170
Q

Summarize the General Equilibrium Model.

A

The model emphasizes how prices adjust to equilibrate the supply and demand. Factor prices equilibrate factor markets. The interest rate equilibrates the supply and deman for goods and services (or, equivalently, the supply and demand for loanable funds).

171
Q

In our model, investment depends on the interest rate. Economists who look at economic data, however, usually fail to find an obvious association between investment and interest rates. Should we discard our model? Luckily, we do not have to discard our model. Why is that?

A

The inability to find an empirical relationship between investment and interest rates is an example of the identification problem.

172
Q

What is the identification problem?

A

The identification problem arises when variables are related in more than one way. When we look at data, we are observing a combination of these different relationships, and it is difficult to “identify” any one of them.