Ch 2. National Accountability and macroeconomic aggregates Flashcards
1. GDP 1.1. Concept 1.2. Three ways to calculate GDP 1.3. Nominal, real and deflator 1.4. National Accountability 1.5. Investment and savings identity 2. Inflation 2.1. Definition 2.2. Measuring and indicators 3. Labour market indicators
What is GDP?
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the market value (m.u.) of the output of all final goods and services produced by domestic and foreign factors of production within a country (within a country’s border at a given time (flow variable)
Its the main economic indicator for measuring the level of economic activity and aggregate production (total output) of an economy
It is measured by INE quarterly in Spain
Point out activities not included in GDP
- What is not sold (household production: housework, child and elderly care)
- Underground economy (what is not declared)
- Illegal economy:(prostitution, drug trafficking and smuggling)
- Sale of second-hand goods
According to the total spending method to calculate GDP, Explain the components
- Consumption (C)= Expenditure on consumer goods and services
- Invesment (I)= Expenditure on newly produced capitak goods (incl. equipment, buildings, and inventories = unsold output
- Goverment spending (G)= Goverment expenditure on goods and services (excluding transfers to avoid double-counting)
- Net exports (trade balance)= Exports (X) minus imports (M)
GDP =C + I + G +X - I (also known as Y or aggregate demand)
How do we account for international transaction? And goverment?
Calculation of GDP (t.spending.meth)
- We include exports and exclude imports, so that GDP includes value added, income from, or consumption of, domestic production.
- Treat goverment as another producer - public services are “bought” via taxes. Also asume that cost of production captures the value added.
Commonly, what component of agreggate demand makes up the mayority of it?
In most countries private consumption makes up the largest share of GDP.
What is the nominal GDP? What is real GDP? How do you calculate them?
◈GDP nominal: Its the sum of the quantities of final goods produced and multiplied by their current price. This indicates nominal GDP increases over time for 2 reasons:
* The production of most goods rises over time
* The price of most goods also rises over time
GDP nominal (current prices)= Qt x Pt
◈Real GDP is the sum of the production of final goods multiplied by constant (rather than current) prices.
If our objective is to measure production and its evolution over time, it is convenient to eliminate the effect of inflation when measuring GDP.
GDP real (constant prices)= Qt x Pbase year
Qt= quantities
Differences between nominal GDP growth and real GDP growth?
Nominal GDP growth reflects changes in production (quantities) and the change in prices (inflation). In contrast the real GDP growth reflects only the change in output (quantities).
In addition:
* Nominal GDP Growth ≅ Production Growth + Price Growth.
* Real GDP growth = Production growth
* Nominal GDP growth - Real GDP growth ≅ Price growth.
* As long as there is inflation (positive price growth), nominal GDP growth will be greater than real GDP growth
Chained volume indexes
The methodology is based on valuing each year’s production using the previous year’s prices (“chained”).
This method improves on the calculation of GDP at “fixed” base year prices, since it was losing realism as we moved away from the base year.
A volume index does not provide information on the monetary value of GDP (in euros), it is merely an indicator of the evolution of production. It is therefore advisable to calculate the growth rate of chained volume indexes.
About deflators
A deflator is a price index. A price index collects the prices of a “basket of goods and services” produced in an economy (not imported) over a period of time.
Price index= P2016/P2010
In the base year the deflator by definition takes a value of 100.
* If the deflator is greater than 100 it means that prices have increased with respect to the base year (inflation).
* If the deflator is less than 100 it means that prices have decreased
compared to the base year
GDP deflator and its rate of change
- How it is calculated: it is the quotient between nominal GDP and
real GDP (in percent).
GDP deflator= Nominal GDP/Real GDP = (SumQ x Pt) / (SumQ x Pbase) → If we take out SumQ/SumQ= 1 →
GDP Deflator = Pt / Pbase
- Rate of change of the GDP deflator ≅ Rate of change nominal
GDP - Rate of change real GDP.
Personal income vs Personal disposable income
Personal income: Total earnings generated by individual.
Personal disposable income: Personal income after taxes have been payed.
Relation between savings and invesments
Mathematically
GDP = Y
Yd = C + Sp
Yd = Y – T + TR
Y = C + I + G + X – M
Replacing:
[C+I+G+(X–IM)] – T + TR= C + Sp
Sp = I + G + X – IM – T + TR
Sp + (T – G – TR) = I + XN
Sp + Sg = I + XN
Sp: private savings
Sg: public savings
(Sp – I) = Surplus (>0) or deficit (<0) of private sector
XN: X-M
What is inflation? How to calculate it?
- Inflation is the increase in the general price level. Inflation tends to be lower during recessions (high unemployment).
- To calculate a country’s inflation rate, we calculate the growth rate of a price index. There are many price indexes. The most common ones for measuring inflation are the GDP Deflator, the Private Consumption Deflator and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the latter being the most commonly
used. - The private consumption deflator is calculated as the ratio of private
consumption (current prices) to private consumption (constant prices). - In Spain, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is used to measure inflation. The CPI represents the cost of a basket of goods and services representative of a domestic economy (weights).
Measuring inflation
◈The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the general level of prices that consumers have to pay for goods and services, including consumption taxes.
* Based on a representative bundle of consumer goods – “cost of living”
* Common measure of inflation = change in CPI
◈GDP deflator = A measure of the level of prices for domestically produced output (ratio of nominal to real GDP)
* Tracks prices of components of GDP (C, I, G, NX)
* Allows GDP to be compared across countries and over time
Labour market indicators
Unemployment rate = Unemployed / Labour force
Activity rate = Labour force / active age population
Employment rate= Employed / active age population