Ch 10 - General Probability rules Flashcards
Two events are independent if
knowing that one event is true or has happened does not change the probability of the other event.
Sampling without replacement
Conditional probabilities reflect
how the probability of an event can be different if we know that some other event has occurred or is true.
The conditional probability of event B, given event A is
(provided that P(A) ≠ 0)
When two events A and B are independent, P(B | A) =
P(B).
No information is gained from the knowledge of event A.
General multiplication rule:
The probability that any two dependent events, A and B, both occur is
Tree diagrams are used to
represent probabilities graphically and facilitate computations.
P(man and head)=
P(head/man)
positive predictive value
If a person gets a positive test result, it is the probability that he/she actually has the disease?
PPV = P(disease | positive test)
Bayes’s theorem
describes the probability of occurrence of an event related to any condition. It is also considered for the case of conditional probability.