CH 0 ACC Flashcards
Problem solving: processes involved
DEFINE problem
DESIGN IMPLEMENT solution
MONITOR effectiveness REVISE
What makes ACC Actuarial
- Estimation future unknown events
- Long term horizon
- Recognise stakeholder needs and risk profiles
- Decisions made in ST in light of likely future outcomes
- Models used to represent future outcomes
- Assumptions based on historical evidence
- Allow for GBE
- Interpretation of modelling results, develop strategies
- Monitoring experience
- Modifying models in light of experience
- Application personal judgement
List areas ACC used
- Risk management and investment
- Asset liabilioty management
- Level of solvency/profit. Estimate future solvency
- Need/calculations of provisions
- Contributions/premiums so benefits payable on future events
- Monitor mortality, expense assumptions for schemes, reserving for contracts
- Monitor effect of investment mismatching
Describe 5 processes of ACC
General economic and commercial environment
Specify the Problem
Develop the solution
Monitor the experience
General economic and commercial environment
CREATE GREAT LISTS Is there a need for product Capital available Investments available Risk appetite Reinsurance available
Specifying the problem
Details/features of product in question
Objectives
Stakeholders, their needs, risk appetite
Identify risks
Strategies for risk management (manage, mitigate, transfer)
Option for design of solution
Designing Solution
Examine models in use/adjust Select model most appropriate/ construct new (eg profit testing) Assumptions, sensitivity testing Run model, interpret results Implication of results on stakeholders Determine proposed solution and alternatives Formalise proposal Communicate
Monitoring experience
Models must be dynamic and reflect current experience
Monitor experience, update investigation
Analyze individual components, how actual compares to assumed
Use up to date info, revise assumptions
ID causes of departure, how likely to happen again
How regularly to monitor
Refine solution - feed back into cycle.
Professionalism
Compliance with relevant regulation
Professional guidance
Demonstrated throughout ACC
Give ways of mitigating risk
Avoid
Accept and minimise
Share
Transfer
What are the two main occurances of risk and types of risk causing
- Value of asset/asset proceeds not as expected:
- market risk: risks related to changes in investment mkt values
- Credit risk: risk of third party failure to repay debts - Value of liabilities/ liability outgo not as expected
- Inflation risk: real liabilities > expected
- Underwriting risk: insurer takes on risk at inadequate price
- Insurance risk: more claims due to higher mortality or morbidity rates
- Exposure risk: more claims from specific events due to inadequate diversification in portfolio- Finance risk: not obtain finance or at anticipated cost
- External risk: risk due to external events like change in legislation
- Operational risk: fraud/mismanagement within organization causing loss
- Finance risk: not obtain finance or at anticipated cost
How is risk measured
Prob*Impact
Reaction of stakeholders: varies due to risk appetite (age wealth and dependants) and objectives (eg charity vs investing in forest: high income)