CFA III Flashcards
Active share
A measure of how similar a portfolio is to its benchmark. A manager who precisely replicates the benchmark will have an _____ of zero; a manager with no holdings in common with the benchmark will have an _____ of one.
Breadth
The number of truly independent decisions made each year.
Closet indexer
A fund that advertises itself as being actively managed but is substantially similar to an index fund in its exposures.
Expected shortfall
The average loss conditional on exceeding the VaR cutoff; sometimes referred to asconditional VaRorexpected tail loss.
Expected tail loss
Expected shortfall: The average loss conditional on exceeding the VaR cutoff; sometimes referred to asconditional VaRor _____.
Information coefficient
Formally defined as the correlation between forecast return and actual return. In essence, it measures the effectiveness of investment insight.
Transfer coefficient
The ability to translate portfolio insights into investment decisions without constraint.
Portfolio overlay
An array of derivative positions managed separately from the securities portfolio to achieve overall intended portfolio characteristics.
Back-fill bias
The distortion in index or peer group data which results when returns are reported to a database only after they are known to be good returns.
Survivorship bias
The exclusion of poorly performing or defunct companies from an index or database, biasing the index or database toward financially healthy companies.
Unsmoothing
An adjustment to the reported return series if serial correlation is detected. Various approaches are available to unsmooth a return series.
Home bias
Shortfall probability
The probability of failing to meet a specific liability or goal.
Business cycle
Fluctuations in GDP in relation to long-term trend growth, usually lasting 9-11 years.
Capital market expectations (CME)
Expectations concerning the risk and return prospects of asset classes.
Cross-sectional consistency
Diffusion index
An index that measures how many indicators are pointing up and how many are pointing down.
Econometrics
The application of quantitative modeling and analysis grounded in economic theory to the analysis of economic data.
Economic indicators
Economic statistics provided by government and established private organizations that contain information on an economy’s recent past activity or its current or future position in the business cycle.
Input uncertainty
Uncertainty concerning whether the inputs are correct.
Intertemporal consistency
A feature of expectations setting which means that estimates for an asset class over different horizons reflect the same assumptions with respect to the potential paths of returns over time. It is the internal consistency over various time horizons.
Leading economic indicators
Turning points that usually precede those of the overall economy; they are believed to have value for predicting the economy’s future state, usually near-term.
Model uncertainty
Uncertainty as to whether a selected model is correct.
Nonstationarity
A characteristic of series of data whose properties, such as mean and variance, are not constant through time. When analyzing historical data it means that different parts of a data series reflect different underlying statistical properties.
Parameter uncertainty
Uncertainty arising because a quantitative model’s parameters are estimated with error.
Re-base
With reference to index construction, to change the time period used as the base of the index.
Reduced-form models
Models that use economic theory and other factors such as prior research output to describe hypothesized relationships. Can be described as more compact representations of underlying structural models. Evaluate endogenous variables in terms of observable exogenous variables.
Regime
The governing set of relationships (between variables) that stem from technological, political, legal, and regulatory environments. Changes in such environments or policy stances can be described as changes in _____.
Structural models
Models that specify functional relationships among variables based on economic theory. The functional form and parameters of these models are derived from the underlying theory. They may include unobservable parameters.
Taylor rule
A rule linking a central bank’s target short-term interest rate to the rate of growth of the economy and inflation.
Total factor productivity
A scale factor that reflects the portion of growth unaccounted for by explicit factor inputs (e.g., capital and labor).
Grinold–Kroner model
An expression for the expected return on a share as the sum of an expected income return, an expected nominal earnings growth return, and an expected repricing return.
Shrinkage estimation
Estimation that involves taking a weighted average of a historical estimate of a parameter and some other parameter estimate, where the weights reflect the analyst’s relative belief in the estimates.
Time-series estimation
Estimators that are based on lagged values of the variable being forecast; often consist of lagged values of other selected variables.
Volatility clustering
The tendency for large (small) swings in prices to be followed by large (small) swings of random direction.
Liquidity budget
The portfolio allocations (or weightings) considered acceptable for the liquidity categories in the liquidity classification schedule (or time-to-cash table).
Liquidity classification schedule
A liquidity management classification (or table) that defines portfolio liquidity “buckets” or categories based on the estimated time necessary to convert assets in that particular category into cash.
Time-to-cash table
Liquidity classification schedule: A liquidity management classification (or table) that defines portfolio liquidity “buckets” or categories based on the estimated time necessary to convert assets in that particular category into cash.
Base
With respect to a foreign exchange quotation of the price of one unit of a currency, the currency referred to in “one unit of a currency.”
Basis risk
The possibility that the expected value of a derivative differs unexpectedly from that of the underlying.
Bid price
In a price quotation, the price at which the party making the quotation is willing to buy a specified quantity of an asset or security.
Carry trade
A trading strategy that involves buying a security and financing it at a rate that is lower than the yield on that security.
Cross hedge
A hedge involving a hedging instrument that is imperfectly correlated with the asset being hedged; an example is hedging a bond investment with futures on a non-identical bond.
Currency overlay programs
A currency overlay program is a program to manage a portfolio’s currency exposures for the case in which those exposures are managed separately from the management of the portfolio itself.
Delta hedging
Hedging that involves matching the price response of the position being hedged over a narrow range of prices.
Domestic asset
An asset that trades in the investor’s domestic currency (or home currency).
Domestic currency
The currency of the investor, i.e., the currency in which he or she typically makes consumption purchases, e.g., the Swiss franc for an investor domiciled in Switzerland.
Domestic-currency return
A rate of return stated in domestic currency terms from the perspective of the investor; reflects both the foreign-currency return on an asset as well as percentage movement in the spot exchange rate between the domestic and foreign currencies.
Dynamic hedge
A hedge requiring adjustment as the price of the hedged asset changes.
Foreign assets
Assets denominated in currencies other than the investor’s home currency.
Foreign currency
Currency that is not the currency in which an investor makes consumption purchases, e.g., the US dollar from the perspective of a Swiss investor.
Foreign-currency return
The return of the foreign asset measured in foreign-currency terms.
Forward rate bias
An empirically observed divergence from interest rate parity conditions that active investors seek to benefit from by borrowing in a lower-yield currency and investing in a higher-yield currency.
Funding currencies
The low-yield currencies in which borrowing occurs in a carry trade.
Hedge ratio
The proportion of an underlying that will offset the risk associated with a derivative position.
Home currency
Domestic currency: The currency of the investor, i.e., the currency in which he or she typically makes consumption purchases, e.g., the Swiss franc for an investor domiciled in Switzerland.
Intrinsic value
The amount gained (per unit) by an option buyer if an option is exercised at any given point in time. May be referred to as the exercise value of the option.
Investment currencies
The high-yielding currencies in a carry trade.
Knock-in/knock-out
Features of a vanilla option that is created (or ceases to exist) when the spot exchange rate touches a pre-specified level.
Minimum-variance hedge ratio
A mathematical approach to determining the optimal cross hedging ratio.
Non-deliverable forwards
Forward contracts that are cash settled (in the non-controlled currency of the currency pair) rather than physically settled (the controlled currency is neither delivered nor received).
Offer price
The price at which a counterparty is willing to sell one unit of the base currency.
Overbought
When a market has trended too far in one direction and is vulnerable to a trend reversal, or correction.
Put spread
A strategy used to reduce the upfront cost of buying a protective put, it involves buying a put option and writing another put option.
Oversold
The opposite of overbought; seeoverbought:When a market has trended too far in one direction and is vulnerable to a trend reversal, or correction.
Resistance levels
Price points on dealers’ order boards where one would expect to see a clustering of offers.
Seagull spread
An extension of the risk reversal foreign exchange option strategy that limits downside risk.
Static hedge
A hedge that is not sensitive to changes in the price of the asset hedged.
Stops
Stop-loss orders involve leaving bids or offers away from the current market price to be filled if the market reaches those levels.
Strangle
A variation on a straddle in which the put and call have different exercise prices; if the put and call are held long, it is a long _____; if they are held short, it is a short _____.
Support levels
Price points on dealers’ order boards where one would expect to see a clustering of bids.
Time value
The difference between an option’s premium and its intrinsic value.
Asset swap spread (ASW)
The spread over MRR on an interest rate swap for the remaining life of the bond that is equivalent to the bond’s fixed coupon.
Asset swaps
Convert a bond’s fixed coupon to MRR plus (or minus) a spread.
Authorized participants (APs)
A special group of institutional investors who are authorized by the ETF issuer to participate in the creation/redemption process. APs are large broker/dealers, often market makers.
CDS curve
Plot of CDS spreads across maturities for a single reference entity or group of reference entities in an index.
Conditional value at risk (CVaR)
Also known as expected loss The average portfolio loss over a specific time period conditional on that loss exceeding the value at risk (VaR) threshold.
Credit cycle
The expansion and contraction of credit over the business cycle, which translates into asset price changes based on default and recovery expectations across maturities and rating categories.
Credit default swap (CDS) basis
Yield spread on a bond, as compared to CDS spread of same tenor.
Credit loss rate
The realized percentage of par value lost to default for a group of bonds equal to the bonds’ default rate multiplied by the loss severity.
Credit migration
The change in a bond’s credit rating over a certain period.
Credit valuation adjustment (CVA)
The present value of credit risk for a loan, bond, or derivative obligation.
Default intensity
POD over a specified time period in a reduced form credit model.
Default risk
Credit Risk:The risk that a fixed-income investor may not receive contractual interest and principal cash flows as expected, which is comprised of default risk and loss given default.
Discount margin
The discount (or required) margin is the yield spread versus the MRR such that the FRN is priced at par on a rate reset date.
Duration Times Spread (DTS)
Weighting of spread duration by credit spread to incorporate the empirical observation that spread changes for lower-rated bonds tend to be consistent on a percentage rather than absolute basis.
Empirical duration
The use of statistical methods and historical bond prices to estimate the price–yield relationship for a specific bond or portfolio of bonds.
Excess spread
Credit spread return measure that incorporates both changes in spread and expected credit losses for a given period.
G-spread
The yield spread in basis points over an actual or interpolated government bond.
Green bonds
Innovative financial instruments where the proceeds are invested exclusively (either by specifying the use of the proceeds, direct project exposure or securitization) in green projects that generate climate or other environmental benefits.
Hazard rate
The probability that an event will occur, given that it has not already occurred.
I-spread (interpolated spread)
Yield spread measure using swaps or constant maturity Treasury YTMs as a benchmark.
Incremental VaR (or partial VaR)
The change in the minimum portfolio loss expected to occur over a given time period at a specific confidence level resulting from increasing or decreasing a portfolio position.
Loss severity
Portion of a bond’s value (including unpaid interest) an investor loses in the event of default.
Matrix pricing (or evaluated pricing)
Methodology for pricing infrequently traded bonds using bonds from similar issuers and actively traded government benchmarks to establish a bond’s fair value.
OAS duration
The change in bond price for a given change in OAS.
Option-adjusted spread (OAS)
A generalization of the Z-spread yield spread calculation that incorporates bond option pricing based on assumed interest rate volatility.
Probability of default
The likelihood that a borrower defaults or fails to meet its obligation to make full and timely payments of principal and interest.
Quoted margin
The yield spread over the MRR established upon issuance of an FRN to compensate investors for assuming an issuer’s credit risk.
Reduced form credit models
Credit models that solve for default probability over a specific time period using observable company-specific variables such as financial ratios and macroeconomic variables.
Relative VaR
Ex ante tracking error
Structural credit models
Credit models that apply market-based variables to estimate the value of an issuer’s assets and the volatility of asset value.
Value at risk (VaR)
The minimum loss that would be expected a certain percentage of the time over a certain period of time given the assumed market conditions.
Yield spread
The simple difference between a bond’s YTM and the YTM of an on-the-run government bond of similar maturity.
Z-score
Credit risk model that uses financial ratios and market-based information weighted by coefficients to create a composite score used to classify firms based on the likelihood of financial distress.
Zero-discount margin (Z-DM)
A yield spread calculation for FRNs that incorporates forward MRR.
Activist short selling
A hedge fund strategy in which the manager takes a short position in a given security and then publicly presents his/her research backing the short thesis.
Zero-volatility spread (Z-spread)
Calculates a constant yield spread over a government (or interest rate swap) spot curve.
Cross-sectional momentum
A managed futures trend following strategy implemented with a cross-section of assets (within an asset class) by going long those that are rising in price the most and by shorting those that are falling the most. This approach generally results in holding a net zero (market-neutral) position and works well when a market’s out- or underperformance is a reliable predictor of its future performance.
Dedicated short-selling
A hedge fund strategy in which the manager takes short-only positions in equities deemed to be expensively priced versus their deteriorating fundamental situations. Short exposures may vary only in terms of portfolio sizing by, at times, holding higher levels of cash.
Fulcrum securities
Partially-in-the-money claims (not expected to be repaid in full) whose holders end up owning the reorganized company in a corporate reorganization situation.
Fund-of-funds
A fund of hedge funds in which the _____ manager allocates capital to separate, underlying hedge funds (e.g., single manager and/or multi-manager funds) that themselves run a range of different strategies.
Hard-catalyst event-driven approach
An event-driven approach in which investments are made in reaction to an already announced corporate event (mergers and acquisitions, bankruptcies, share issuances, buybacks, capital restructurings, re-organizations, accounting changes) in which security prices related to the event have yet to fully converge.
Life settlement
The sale of a life insurance contract to a third party. The valuation of a _____ typically requires detailed biometric analysis of the individual policyholder and an understanding of actuarial analysis.
Multi-class trading
An equity market-neutral strategy that capitalizes on misalignment in prices and involves buying and selling different classes of shares of the same company, such as voting and non-voting shares.
Multi-manager fund
Can be of two types—one is a multi-strategy fund in which teams of portfolio managers trade and invest in multiple different strategies within the same fund; the second type is a fund of hedge funds (or fund-of-funds) in which the manager allocates capital to separate, underlying hedge funds that themselves run a range of different strategies.
Multi-strategy fund
A fund in which teams of portfolio managers trade and invest in multiple different strategies within the same fund.
Pairs trading
An approach to trading that uses pairs of closely related stocks, buying the relatively undervalued stock and selling short the relatively overvalued stock.
Quantitative market-neutral
An approach to building market-neutral portfolios in which large numbers of securities are traded and positions are adjusted on a daily or even an hourly basis using algorithm-based models.
Relative value volatility arbitrage
A volatility trading strategy that aims to source and buy cheap volatility and sell more expensive volatility while netting out the time decay aspects normally associated with options portfolios.
Short-biased
A hedge fund strategy in which the manager uses a less extreme version of dedicated short-selling. It involves searching for opportunities to sell expensively priced equities, but short exposure may be balanced with some modest value-oriented, or index-oriented, long exposure.
Soft-catalyst event-driven approach
An event-driven approach in which investments are made proactively in anticipation of a corporate event (mergers and acquisitions, bankruptcies, share issuances, buybacks, capital restructurings, re-organizations, accounting changes) that has yet to occur.
Single-manager fund
A fund in which one portfolio manager or team of portfolio managers invests in one strategy or style.
Stub trading
An equity market-neutral strategy that capitalizes on misalignment in prices and entails buying and selling stock of a parent company and its subsidiaries, typically weighted by the percentage ownership of the parent company in the subsidiaries.
Time-series momentum
A managed futures trend following strategy in which managers go long assets that are rising in price and go short assets that are falling in price. The manager trades on an absolute basis, so be net long or net short depending on the current price trend of an asset. This approach works best when an asset’s own past returns are a good predictor of its future returns.
Capture ratio
A measure of the manager’s gain or loss relative to the gain or loss of the benchmark.
Due diligence
Investigation and analysis in support of an investment action, decision, or recommendation.
Drawdown duration
The total time from the start of the drawdown until the cumulative drawdown recovers to zero.
Holdings-based style analysis
A bottom-up style analysis that estimates the risk exposures from the actual securities held in the portfolio at a point in time.
Key person risk
The risk that results from over-reliance on an individual or individuals whose departure would negatively affect an investment manager.
Returns-based style analysis
A top-down style analysis that involves estimating the sensitivities of a portfolio to security market indexes.
Stop-losses
A trading order that sets a selling price below the current market price with a goal of protecting profits or preventing further losses.
Risk premium
An extra return expected by investors for bearing some specified risk.
Accounting defeasance
Also called in-substance defeasance, _____ is a way of extinguishing a debt obligation by setting aside sufficient high-quality securities to repay the liability.
Cell approach
Stratified samplingA sampling method that guarantees that subpopulations of interest are represented in the sample. Also calledrepresentative samplingor _____.
Enhanced indexing strategy Method
investors use to match an underlying market index in which the investor purchases fewer securities than the full set of index constituents but matches primary risk factors reflected in the index.
Evaluated pricing
Matrix pricing: Process of estimating the market discount rate and price of a bond based on the quoted or flat prices of more frequently traded comparable bonds.
Key rate duration
A method of measuring the interest rate sensitivities of a fixed-income instrument or portfolio to shifts in key points along the yield curve.
Full replication approach
When every issue in an index is represented in the portfolio, and each portfolio position has approximately the same weight in the fund as in the index.
Immunization
An asset/liability management approach that structures investments in bonds to match (offset) liabilities’ weighted-average duration; a type of dedication strategy.
Passive investment
A buy and hold approach in which an investor does not make portfolio changes based on short-term expectations of changing market or security performance.
Matrix pricing
Process of estimating the market discount rate and price of a bond based on the quoted or flat prices of more frequently traded comparable bonds.
Present value of distribution of cash flows methodology
Method used to address a portfolio’s sensitivity to rate changes along the yield curve. This approach seeks to approximate and match the yield curve risk of an index over discrete time periods.
Stratified sampling
A sampling method that guarantees that subpopulations of interest are represented in the sample. Also calledrepresentative samplingorcell approach.
Smart beta
Involves the use of simple, transparent, rules-based strategies as a basis for investment decisions.
Total return swap
A swap in which one party agrees to pay the total return on a security. Often used as a credit derivative, in which the underlying is a bond.
Bear spread
An option strategy that becomes more valuable when the price of the underlying asset declines, so requires buying one option and writing another with alowerexercise price. A put _____ involves buying a put with a higher exercise price and selling a put with a lower exercise price. A _____ can also be executed with calls.
Bull spread
An option strategy that becomes more valuable when the price of the underlying asset rises, so requires buying one option and writing another with ahigherexercise price. A call _____ involves buying a call with a lower exercise price and selling a call with a higher exercise price. A _____ can also be executed with puts.
Structural risk
Risk that arises from portfolio design, particularly the choice of the portfolio allocations.
Surplus
The difference between the value of assets and the present value of liabilities. With respect to an insurance company, the net difference between the total assets and total liabilities (equivalent to policyholders’ _____ for a mutual insurance company and stockholders’ equity for a stock company).
Cash-secured put
An option strategy involving the writing of a put option and simultaneously depositing an amount of money equal to the exercise price into a designated account (this strategy is also called a fiduciary put).
Collar
An option position in which the investor is long shares of stock and then buys a put with an exercise price below the current stock price and writes a call with an exercise price above the current stock price. Collars allow a shareholder to acquire downside protection through a protective put but reduce the cash outlay by writing a covered call.
Calendar spread
A strategy in which one sells an option and buys the same type of option but with different expiration dates, on the same underlying asset and with the same strike. When the investor buys the more distant (near-term) call and sells the near-term (more distant) call, it is a long (short) _____.
Covered call
An option strategy in which a long position in an asset is combined with a short position in a call on that asset.
Implied volatility
The standard deviation that causes an option pricing model to give the current option price.