CFA Fundamentals - Chapter 2 Economics Flashcards
Law of Supply
When the selling price does not provide revenues sufficient to cover all costs and provide a profit, the item is not supplied.
This leads us to the law of supply, which states that as the price of a product moves higher, more of that product will be supplied. The higher price will make it more attractive for producers to produce and deliver more of the product.
Law of Demand
Substitutes
Elasticity
Complements
The law of demand states that consumers will buy more of a good as the price of that good declines.
Demand will be a function of how many potential buyers there are for a product, as well as whether there are other products that could serve the same purpose.
The selling price will usually affect demand, but not always.
Substitutes
- The demand for soft drinks would probably change if the price changed very much. If the price went up, consumers would shift to other brands of soft drinks, or possibly to juice or water. If the price declined, consumers would likely purchase more.
- However, demand for a good like milk would be less subject to changes in price. Increases in price may not affect demand much because there are no good substitutes for milk.
- Similarly, a decrease in price might not create more demand for milk.
Elasticity
- Above difference in sensitivity of demand to price changes is called elasticity.
- Elasticity = % Change in Quantity / % Change in Price
- Inelastic goods are often described as necessities, while elastic goods are considered luxury items.
- The elasticity of a good will be labelled as perfectly elastic, relatively elastic, unit elastic, relatively inelastic, or perfectly inelastic.
Complements
- With complements, an increase in demand for one product leads to an increase in demand for another.
Equilibrium
From our discussions of supply and demand, we can see that the interaction of these two economic conditions sets prices. Neither supply nor demand alone is sufficient. Regardless of whether a product is expensive or cheap to produce, if no market exists (no demand for the product), it won’t sell at any price. If a strong market exists for the product, it will sell. However, profits depend on the price received. That price, in turn, depends on the number of buyers relative to the number of sellers (i.e., the demand relative to the supply).
Equilibrium and Pressure of Supply and Demand
Without resorting to too much economic jargon to explain equilibrium, let’s just leave it as meaning equal forces. In our example, the demand and supply for gold are equal.
Suppliers are willing to provide the amount of gold that consumers are willing to purchase (i.e., the upward pressure on price caused by demand and the downward pressure on price caused by supply are perfectly balanced). Prices are stable because there is no pressure to push them higher or lower.
Distortions to Equilibrium
- Price Controls
- Price Ceiling
- Price Floor
Price Ceiling
A maximum price is a price ceiling
For example, when rents begin to rise rapidly in a city—perhaps due to rising incomes or a change in tastes—renters may press political leaders to pass rent control laws, a price ceiling that usually works by stating that rents can be raised by only a certain maximum percentage each year.
Let’s expand this example by thinking about a hypothetical town. Rent was fairly stable. But then, the town was featured on a top-ten-places-to-live article in a popular magazine. Eventually, rent control laws were passed.
In the beginning, before the article was published, the equilibrium, corresponding to an equilibrium price of $500 and an equilibrium quantity of 15,000 units of rental housing. In the new market, at the new equilibrium, the price of a rental unit rose to $600 and the equilibrium quantity increased to 17,000 units.
RENT CONTROL
- Price $400
- Original Quantity Supplied = 12,000 units
- Original Quantity Demanded = 18,000 units
- New Quantity Demanded = 23,000 units
- Price $500
- Original Quantity Supplied = 15,000 units
- Original Quantity Demanded = 15,000 units
- New Quantity Demanded = 19,000 units
- Price $600
- Original Quantity Supplied = 17,000 units
- Original Quantity Demanded = 13,000 units
- New Quantity Demanded = 17,000 units
- Price $700
- Original Quantity Supplied = 19,000 units
- Original Quantity Demanded = 11,000 units
- New Quantity Demanded = 15,000 units
- Price $800
- Original Quantity Supplied = 20,000 units
- Original Quantity Demanded = 10,000 units
- New Quantity Demanded = 14,000 units
Now, let’s suppose that a bunch of residents were pretty unhappy with paying a 20% increase in their rent. They pressured local politicians to pass a rent control law to keep the price at the original equilibrium of $500 for a typical apartment.
In the demand and supply model above, the horizontal line at the price of $500 shows the legally fixed maximum price set by the rent control law. However, the underlying forces that shifted the demand curve to the right are still there. At the fixed maximum price of $500, the quantity supplied remains at the same 15,000 rental units, but the quantity demanded is 19,000 rental units. In other words, the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied, so there is a shortage of rental housing.
Price ceilings are enacted in an attempt to keep prices low for those who demand the product—be it housing, prescription drugs, or auto insurance. But when the market price is not allowed to rise to the equilibrium level, quantity demanded exceeds quantity supplied, and thus a shortage occurs.
Those who manage to purchase the product at the lower price given by the price ceiling will benefit, but sellers of the product will suffer, along with those who are not able to purchase the product at all. Quality is also likely to deteriorate.
Price Floor and Price Supports
A price floor is the lowest legal price that can be paid in a market for goods and services, labor, or financial capital. Perhaps the best-known example of a price floor is the minimum wage, which is based on the normative view that someone working full time ought to be able to afford a basic standard of living. The federal minimum wage at the end of 2014 was $7.25 per hour, which yields an income for a single person slightly higher than the poverty line. As the cost of living rises over time, Congress periodically raises the federal minimum wage.
Price floors are sometimes called price supports because they support a price by preventing it from falling below a certain level. Around the world, many countries have passed laws to create agricultural price supports. Farm prices, and thus farm incomes, fluctuate—sometimes widely. So even if, on average, farm incomes are adequate, some years they can be quite low. The purpose of price supports is to prevent these swings.
- The most common way price supports work is that the government enters the market and buys up the product, adding to demand to keep prices higher than they otherwise would be.
In the absence of government intervention, the price of wheat would adjust so that the quantity supplied would equal the quantity demanded at the equilibrium points, however policies to keep prices high for farmers keep the price above what would have been the market equilibrium level. The result is a quantity supplied in excess of the quantity demanded. When quantity supplied exceeds quantity demanded, a surplus exists.
What is the effect of a price ceiling on the quantity demanded of the product? What is the effect of a price ceiling on the quantity supplied? Why exactly does a price ceiling cause a shortage?
A price ceiling—which is below the equilibrium price—will cause the quantity demanded to rise and the quantity supplied to fall. This is why a price ceiling creates a shortage.
Does a price ceiling change the equilibrium price?
A price ceiling is just a legal restriction. Equilibrium is an economic condition. People may or may not obey the price ceiling—the actual price may be at or above the price ceiling—but the price ceiling does not change the equilibrium price.
What would be the impact of imposing a price floor below the equilibrium price?
A price ceiling is a legal maximum price, but a price floor is a legal minimum price and, consequently, it would leave room for the price to rise to its equilibrium level. In other words, a price floor below equilibrium will not be binding and will have no effect.
So, consider minimum wage case…
If the government increments the minimum wage above the equilibrium, that would result in lower quantity demanded but higher quantity supplied (by saying quantity of course I mean the labor force). What do you think this would mean? Well some people would enjoy their increased wages, but, due to the contraction in quantity demanded brought about by the increased minimum wages, SOME ACTUALLY WOULD LOSE THEIR JOB.
Now approach this problem from the demand (of labor) side. Visualize employers who are now forced to pay more wages to their employees. Obviously, this would indicate decrease in their revenues! Well if the problem further develops and the revenue fails to cover up the increased wages, employers would probably consider firing some of their employees. This would result in decreased production and consequently more decreased revenue, which are not any beneficial to the producer!
Black Market
Sometimes, artificial pricing for a good will give rise to a black market that operates outside legal channels. Items that are illegal or heavily taxed often develop black markets, as do items with controlled prices set artificially high or low.
Illegal drugs are traded in a black market, and there are black markets for copyrighted materials such as music and software. Because black markets operate outside the law, the risks are higher for buyers and sellers alike. Buyers must be wary of poor quality goods, and sellers face criminal prosecution if they are caught. Also, because there are no legal remedies, any disputes between buyer and seller must be settled in other ways, often involving violence. A black market sacrifices economic efficiency and rewards the parties willing and able to use the most force to support their position.
Effect of Taxes
Equilibrium prices are also distorted by taxes. Taxes that are imposed on a good can affect both the buyer and the seller
Tax incidence
Tax incidence measures how the tax actually paid is allocated between buyers and sellers.
Buyers will probably pay a higher price for a good that is taxed, and sellers will probably receive less from selling the good.
The statutory incidence of a tax
The statutory incidence of a tax identifies the party responsible for paying the tax. This may or not be the party who bears the true economic burden of the tax.
Example of Tax Incidence
For example, assume that the government imposes a 2% tax on house paint to help cover the negative environmental impact of disposing of old paint. The producer of paint would like to pass the entire tax along to consumers by raising the price of paint by 2%.
It is quite possible, however, that raising all prices by 2% would reduce demand for paint. Consumers might seek substitutes, such as stains, or they might postpone painting jobs. Consumer resistance to higher prices may allow the producer to raise prices by only 1%. In this case, the tax burden would be borne equally by producers and consumers. Consumers would pay 1% more for paint, and producers would receive 1% less. A gallon of paint that cost $10.00 before the imposition of the tax would now sell for $10.10. If a producer made a profit of $1.00 on each gallon, the profit would be reduced by $0.10 to $0.90 per gallon.
Elasticity of Demand
In economics, elasticity refers to the responsiveness of the demand or supply of a product when the price changes.
Elasticity = % change in supply or demand / % change in price.
For elastic demand,
- when the price of a product increases the demand goes down.
- Elastic products are usually luxury items that individuals feel they can do without.
- An example would be forms of entertainment such as going to the movies or attending a sports event.
- A change in prices can have a significant impact on consumer trends as well as economic profits.
- For companies and businesses, an increase in demand will increase profit and revenue, while a decrease in demand will result in lower profit and revenue.
For inelastic demand
- For inelastic demand, the overall supply and demand of a product is not substantially impacted by an increase in price.
- Products that are usually inelastic consist of necessities like food, water, housing, and gasoline. Whether or not a product is elastic or inelastic is directly related to consumer needs and preferences. If demand is perfectly inelastic, then the same amount of the product will be purchased regardless of the price.
An elastic demand curve shows that an increase in the supply or demand of a product is significantly impacted by a change in the price. An inelastic demand curve shows that an increase in the price of a product does not substantially change the supply or demand of the product.
Inelastic Demand: For inelastic demand, when there is an outward shift in supply and prices fall, there is no substantial change in the quantity demanded.
Elastic Demand: For elastic demand, when there is an outward shift in supply, prices fall which causes a large increase in quantity demanded.
What doe the Tax Incidence depend on?
The tax incidence will depend on how sensitive supply and demand are to changes in price. The sensitivity of supply and demand to changes in price is called elasticity, which is discussed in the microeconomics section. The more elastic the demand (or supply) is, the more sensitive quantity demanded (supplied) will be to changes in price.
GDP
How does it measure?
is the most commonly used measure of economic performance. It is the total market value of all domestically produced final goods and services during a given year. GDP is designed to measure the market value of production that flows through the economy
Measure?
- GDP includes only goods and services purchased by their final or ultimate users, so GDP measures final production. Intermediate stages of production are not included. For example, the price of flour sold to a baker is not included in GDP. Value added during the intermediate steps (i.e., harvesting, milling, and baking) are all included in the final selling price of the baked goods sold by the baker.
- GDP counts only the goods and services produced within the country’s borders during the year, whether by citizens or foreigners. Therefore, goods produced at a factory in the United States and sold in the United States would be included in GDP, regardless of whether the factory was owned by a U.S. company or a Japanese company. Sales of used or secondhand goods are excluded, but sales commissions charged on the sale of used products are included.
- GDP excludes financial transactions and transfer payments since they do not represent current production. For example, stock and bond sales along with welfare and social security payments are excluded.
- Household goods and services: domestic chores such as cleaning, washing the car, or gardening are not captured in GDP unless someone is paid to do them. This may distort historical GDP comparisons if, for example, over time more households employ outsiders to perform these tasks.
- Black market activities: these goods and services sold in illegal markets are not captured in GDP
- Quality of Life:GDP does not reflect productivity or the quality of goods produced and sold. A computer produced in 1980 and sold for $5,000 counts the same in GDP as a computer produced in 2005 and sold for $5,000, despite the fact that the 2005 computer was considerably more powerful. GDP also does not reflect that the 1980 computer may have taken 50 hours to assemble, while the 2005 computer may have taken only 6 hours.
- Pollution—GDP does not adjust output for any damaging side effects, such • as air or water pollution. Cleaning up pollution will add to GDP as it occurs, but there is no adjustment to current GDP for creating the problem in the first place.
Expenditure Approach vs Income Approach
GDP may be measured using either the expenditure approach or the income approach. Both approaches yield the same results because aggregate expenditures must equal aggregate income
The expenditure approach
The expenditure approach considers total spending on all final goods and services produced during the year. The expenditure approach is a demand-based concept measured by summing the following expenditure items:
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Personal Consumption - This represents household purchases for consumption and represents the largest component of GDP. Over two-thirds of GDP is accounted for by personal consumption. This category of expenditures includes durable goods, nondurable goods, and services.
- Examples of consumer durable goods: include automobiles, books, household goods (home appliances, consumer electronics, furniture, tools, etc.), sports equipment, jewelry, medical equipment, firearms, and toys. Nondurable goods or soft goods (consumables) are the opposite of durable goods.
- Examples of nondurable goods include fast-moving consumer goods such as cosmetics and cleaning products, food, condiments, fuel, beer, cigarettes and tobacco, medication, office supplies, packaging and containers, paper and paper products, personal products, rubber, plastics, textiles, clothing, and footwear.
- Gross Private Investment (expenditures of business) - This is an important component of GDP because it provides an indicator of the future productive capacity of the economy. Fixed investment (investment in capital goods) is a key component of future economic growth. GDP includes replacement purchases plus net additions to the stock of capital assets plus investments in inventories. Inventory investments are the changes in the stock of unsold goods held by a business during the period.
-
Government consumption and gross investment. Purchases of goods and services by federal, state, and local governments are included in GDP. Transfer payments are excluded. Hence, not all government spending is included in GDP.
- For the purpose of calculating gross domestic product (GDP), government spending does not include transfer payments, which are the reallocation of money from one party to another rather than expenditure on newly produced goods and services.
- Net exports of goods and services. Since we only want to measure domestic production, net exports are calculated as total exports (domestically produced goods and services purchased by consumers outside the country) minus total imports (foreign-produced goods and services purchased by domestic consumers).
The income approach is a supply (i.e., production) oriented approach and measures GDP by summing the following components:
The sum of the first five items (employee compensation, proprietors’ income, rents, corporate profits, and interest income) equals national income. National income includes income earned by domestic citizens abroad as well as what they earn in their home country.
Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP
Gross Domestic Product measured at current prices is called nominal GDP
When we discuss economic growth, however, we want to measure the increase in actual production, or real GDP. Thus, we have to adjust nominal GDP for inflation
GDP Deflator
The GDP deflator is a price index that corresponds to the price change exhibited by all final goods and services produced. The GDP deflator is useful for measuring economy-wide inflation.
Nominal GDP x (GDP Delfator base year)/(GDP Deflator Current Period) = Real GDP
Inflation
Inflation is the continuing rise in the general level of prices of goods and services. The purchasing power of the monetary unit, such as the (American) dollar, declines when inflation is present.
It is easier to think of inflation as the artificial increase in prices due to excess demand, usually caused when there is too much money present in the economy.
This excess spending usually increases demand for luxury goods such as cars, electronic equipment, and housing. The increased demand for those items increases their prices. Meanwhile, the rest of us are sitting around wondering why in the world prices are going up. There hasn’t been an increase in the overall output of the economy. No more goods and services are being supplied that can absorb the excess spending. The result is an increased demand for a relatively constant supply.
The point is that whenever we see more money in the system than the system justifies on the basis of its productive output, the result is inflation
(i.e., a general rise in the level of prices in the economy caused by excess demand for goods and services). Whenever the level of spending in the economy is not due to economic reasons such as increased productivity (increased output from increased effort), the result is “artificial” demand. In other words, if wage increases are not due to economic reasons (e.g., increased efficiency, better or more work), the money added to the system causes “unearned” increased demand. Let’s look at a very simple example.
Inflation Example:
- Bob is a carpenter who works rather slowly and is not all that dependable, but when the rest of the carpenters on the job get a raise, Bob also gets one.
Is Bob getting a raise because he deserves it? Has his work improved? Does he do more in a given day that would justify the increase in his wages? Whether or not Bob deserves the raise, his spending will increase, causing increased demand. This is the “artificial” demand referred to previously. Whether real or artificial, increased demand causes prices to rise.
There is a seemingly logical argument in support of Bob receiving a raise along with his productive and dependable coworkers. If Bob doesn’t get a raise, his “real” income declines. Due to the inflation already in the economy, the dollars Bob earns are worth slightly less each week. After a while, without a raise, this constant erosion of his buying power will reduce Bob’s ability to pay his living expenses.
Does this mean that inflation causes inflation? No. When raises are only sufficient to cover inflation, there is no new demand. Bob is only able to buy the amount of goods and services he could before the raise. Only if Bob’s raise exceeds the current rate of inflation (the current rise in prices) does it cause increased demand.
N
ow, even if it is more than the current rate of inflation, Bob’s raise doesn’t necessarily have to cause inflation. If Bob has become more productive or if he does more or better work in a given day, his raise is due to increased productivity. He has increased his input to the system, thus justifying the extra money. He has not only increased his demand, he has also added more value (goods and/or services) to the economy. His work is “worth” more. We don’t see more money “chasing” the
Inflation is measured and tracked using the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
The CPI is a basket of consumer goods** and **services, the total price of which is recorded across time. Changes in the CPI (sometimes referred to as changes in the price level) indicate the amount of inflation (or deflation) in the economy. As the CPI increases over time, an increased price level of goods and services signals positive inflation in the economy.
Inflation =((CPIT) / (CPIT-1)) - 1
Assuming
- CPI12/31/04 = 185.5
- CPI3/31/05 = 187.3
Inflation for the first quarter of 2005:
- inflation = (187.3 / 185.5) -1 = .0097 = .97%
There is a very important difference between anticipated inflation and unanticipated inflation.
When most economic decision makers expect a given level of inflation, they can plan accordingly. When inflation is unanticipated, however, the potential effects on economic activity are much worse.
Unemployment
Three Types?
The U.S. civilian workforce is the total number of people over 16 years of age who are either employed or unemployed. Notice the distinction between the total population over 16 and those who are either employed or unemployed. To be considered unemployed an individual must be actively seeking employment or waiting to go back to work after a layoff.
These individuals would include children living at home, students, and retirees. Also missing from unemployment data are those classified as discouraged workers. An individual is classified as discouraged if he or she is unemployed but has given up trying to find work.
Three Types:
- Frictional Unemployment
- Structural Unemployment
- Cyclical Unemployment
Frictional Unemployment
Frictional unemployment is the result of employers not being aware of qualified workers and workers not being aware of available jobs. In other words, frictional unemployment exists because the location of the jobs and the workers has not been conveyed to interested parties, so they don’t connect (lack of communication). The implication is that with proper information and willingness to relocate, this form of unemployment is avoidable.
Structural Unemployment
When the structural characteristics of the economy change, the result is structural unemployment. For a variety of reasons, economic conditions often shift such that jobs are lost in one sector, while new jobs are created in another sector. It becomes difficult for those seeking employment to find jobs because they are not qualified.
A historical example was the shift in the early 20th century United States from an agrarian society to an industrial society. Millions of farm workers were unemployed because they did not have the skills to work in factories. Technological advances, such as the increased use of computers, often lead to situations where workers have to acquire new skills or training. Until such training is widely available, unemployment will increase. Under these circumstances, employers also find it difficult to find qualified workers because they need people with different skills.
Cyclical Unemplyoment
The third type of unemployment, cyclical unemployment, which derives its name from the business cycle, is due to decreases in the aggregate demand for goods and services. During such periods, firms produce less output and need fewer employees. Employees are typically laid off and return to their positions when the economy improves.
Natural Rate of Unemployment
In the United States full employment is thought to be around 95%. This means that at full employment, approximately 5% of the U.S. labor force will be unemployed. Related to full employment is the concept of a natural rate of unemployment, which is the long-run average unemployment rate caused by structural and frictional factors
Shift in Demand Curve
O
ne interesting characteristic of the aggregate demand curve is that it represents the quantity demanded of a good at all price levels, given the current level of wealth (income) in the economy. For example, the number of $25.00 steak dinners you are willing to purchase will depend to some degree on how much money you have.
In other words, a general increase in wealth will cause an increased demand for goods and services at every price level, and the AD curve will shift to the right.
By “shift to the right,” we simply mean that the entire curve will move to the right, maintaining the same downward slope, indicating that at every price consumers will demand (consume) more.
When an economy experiences a shock, there are naturally occurring self-correcting forces that tend to “push” the economy back toward equilibrium. Three mechanisms that are responsible for self-correcting the economy after a shock are:
- Consumption Demand
- Real Interest Rates
- Resource Prices
Consumption Demand
Consumption demand. Demand is relatively stable over the business cycle.
Not too hot, not too cold.
During periods of economic expansion, the incomes of many households increase significantly. However, households tend to save a larger proportion of their income instead of spending it all. This helps avoid a strong increase in demand that would aggravate the inflationary pressures. During recessions, households save less or even dip into their savings. Thus, demand will not decline as much as the decline in income suggests. Both situations tend to stabilize the economy.
Real Interest Rates
The cost of money is?
Expansionary Monetary Policy vs. Restrictive Monetary Policy
Real interest rates. Changes in real interest rates help to stabilize aggregate demand and reduce economic fluctuations.
During periods of economic expansion, real interest rates rise due to increased demand for borrowed funds.
The higher real interest rates reduce consumer borrowing and capital spending by businesses. During recessions, real interest rates decline, encouraging consumers to borrow for purchases and businesses to raise capital for investment projects.
The cost of money is the interest rate
Resource Prices
Resource prices. Changes in real resource prices will also dampen economic fluctuations. When the economy is operating at greater than full employment capacity, prices of resources increase and discourage continued expenditures. For example, when housing starts and new construction activity is high, the prices of lumber and other building materials tend to increase. Conversely, when the economy is operating at less than full capacity, the costs of resources fall, encouraging increased spending by businesses.
Fiscal policy
Fiscal policy refers to the government’s use of taxation and spending policies to achieve various macroeconomic goals. Taxation affects disposable income. To stimulate the economy, the government can reduce taxes, which increases disposable income, thus increasing expenditures (demand) in the private sector. Alternatively, increasing taxes reduces disposable income and private sector spending.
Expansionary fiscal policy vs. Restrictive fiscal policy
Expansionary fiscal policy attempts to stimulate the economy by either reducing taxes or increasing expenditures.
Restrictive fiscal policy attempts to restrain (i.e., slow) the economy by increasing taxes or reducing government expenditures.
Open Market Operations
The U.S. Federal Reserve (The Fed) can change the supply of money in the economy by buying and selling U.S. Treasury securities in open market operations. To reduce the supply of money in circulation, the Fed can sell Treasury securities from its inventory. The money used to purchase these securities is no longer in circulation. The resulting reduction in the money supply causes interest rates to rise. Consequently, companies and individuals who need to borrow money may have to postpone expansion plans or large purchases until interest rates decline.
If the economy is weak and unemployment is high, the Fed can buy Treasury securities, effectively increasing the money supply. This will cause interest rates to fall, and hopefully the companies that put expansion plans on hold and the individuals who decided to delay their large purchases can go ahead with their plans. This increases expenditures in the private sector and helps the economy
move back to full employment
Discount Rate
Another way the Fed can control the money supply is by changing the discount rate, the rate the Fed charges banks in need of short-term funds. By increasing the discount rate, the Fed effectively makes money more expensive. The increase in the discount rate ultimately affects all other interest rates, so we see an economy-wide increase in rates. Since money is now more expensive, we again have a situation where some borrowers may have to postpone their plans. There is less money in the economy, money is now more expensive, and the economy slows.
To stimulate the economy, the Fed can lower the discount rate, causing the general level of interest rates to decline.