CFA Book 1 Flashcards
Asset Manager Code of Professional Conduct (AMCPC)
- loyalty to clients
- investment process and actions
- trading
- risk management, compliance, support
- performance & valuation
- disclosures
Asset Manager Ethics Responsibilities
- always act ethically & professionally
- acit in the best interest of the client
- act in an objective and independent manner
- perform actions using skill, competence and diligence
- communicate accurately with clients on a regular basis
- comply with legal and regulatory reqs regarding capital mkts
AMCPC | Loyalty to Clients policies (3B1 p 123)
- align incentives (no undue risk)
- client confidential info
- AML
- def of a token gift
AMCPC | Investment Process and Actions (3B1 p 124)
- never manipulate mkt prices
- deal fairly when doing ARA
- reasonable basis
- diff levels of service
- explainable strategies
- ability to cash out
- IPS
AMCPC | Trading (3B1 p 125)
- no insider trading
- priority of transactions
- soft dollars use
- best execution
- equitable share allocation
AMCPC | Risk management, Compliance, Support (3B1 p 125)
- Policies/procedures for AMCPC, SPC, regs, law
- firm-wide risk system
- compliance officer
- portfolio info is correct & reviewed by 3rd party
- record retention 7 yrs
- sufficient, qualified staff
- disaster recovery plan
AACPC | Performance & Valuation (3B1 p 126)
- see GIPS
- 3rd party valuations
AMCPC | Disclosure (3B1 p 127)
Absolutely EVERYTHING
3 Behavioral models
- Barnewall 2 way model
- Bailard, Biehl, Kaiser 5 way model
- Pompain model
Behavior models | Barnewall 2 way model
2 investor categories: active and passive
Behavior models | Bailard, Biehl, Kaiser 5 way model
• 2 investeror dimensions:
◎ confidence: confident (C) to anxious (A)
◎ method of action: careful (F) to impetuous (I)
• 5 investor categories:
◎ straigt arrow (middle)
◎ Individualist (CF)
◎ Adventurer (CI)
◎ Guardian (AF)
◎ Celebrity (AI)
Behavior models | Pompian model
• 4 step assesment
• 2 dimensions: risk tolerance / investment style
• 4 Behavior Investor Types (BITs):
◎ passive preserver
◎ friendly follower
◎ independent individualist
◎ active acumulator
Behavior models | Pompian model - 4 step assessment
- active/passive
- risk tolerance scale
- behaviorial biases
- classify investor in BITS
Behavior models | Pompian model - BITs
Behavior Investor Types: Risk tolerance (low > high) & Investment style (conservative > aggressive):
◎ Least: Passive preserver (emotional: bad)
◎ Moderate low: Friendly follower (cognative: good)
◎ Moderate high: Independent individualist (cognative: good)
◎ Most: Active accumulator (emotional: bad)
Behavior models | Pompian model biases - Passive preserver
- Emotional: endowment, loss aversion, status quo, regret aversion
- Cognative: mental accouting, anchoring and adjustment
Behavior models | Pompian model biases - Friendly follower
- Emotional: regret aversion
- Cognative: availability, hindsight, framing
Behavior models | Pompian model biases - Independent individualist
- Emotional: overconfidence, self-attribution
- Cognative: conservatism, availability, confirmation, representativeness
Behavior models | Pompian model biases - Active accumulator
- Emotional: overconfidence, self-control
- Cognative: illusion of control
Client / Adviser success measure
- Adviser understands long term financial goals of client
- Adviser maintains consistent approach with client
- Adviser acts as client expects
- Both client and advisor benefit
Analyst behavioral biases
- overconfidence
- way management presents information
- biased research
Analyst behavioral biases | self calibration
- Mitigate overconfidence
- accurately remembering forecasts and accurate self-evaluations
Analyst behavioral biases | Company management influence
- framing
- anchoring and adjustment
- availablity
Investment committee behavioral biases
- Often no better than individual
- All individual + social proof bias: person follows the group
- To counteract, need independence
Excess return anomolies that are not
- Excess return before, but not after expenses
- Excess return with too low associated risk
Behavioral bias | Disposition effect
more willing to sell winners than losers
Behavioral bias | Biases creating excess returns
- Momentum effect
◎ Herding - Bubble and crash: panic buying/selling
- Value vs Growth
◎ Halo effect
Behavioral bias | Biases that contribute to overconfidence
- illusion of knowledge
- self-attribution
- representativeness
- availability
- illusion of control
- hindsight
Behavioral bias | Methods to avoid bias
- seek counter evidence/opinions
- defined systematic decision process
- verifiable data
- correct framing
- documenting decisions
- bayes formula
Behavioral bias | Quantitative indication of bubbles/crashes
- Bubble: 2 std dev from mean price
- Crash: 30% drop in a few months
Behavioral bias | Bubble/Crash biases
- overconfidence
- confirmation
- self-attribution
- hindsight
- regret aversion
- disposition effect
Behavioral finance | macro vs micro
- macro: mkt deviaition from traditional finance theory
- micro: individuals’ decision making process deviation from traditional finance (REM: rational economic men)
Rational economic men (REM)
The rational actor assumption in traditional finance theory
Bayes formula
P(A|B) = P(B|A) * P(A) / P(B)
Behavioral finance | Utility theory
• Foundation of traditional finance theory
• diminishing marginal utility return
◎ >> concave risk averse utility function
◎ >> convex indifference curves
Behavioral finance | Satisfice
- sufficient satisfaction, but not optimal, are sufficient
- satis+ficent = satisfice
Behavioral finance | Decision theory
• associated with traditional finance theory • process of making optimal decision when decision maker is informed, math able, rational (REM)
Behavioral finance | Bounded rationality
- associated with behavioral finance theory
- Knowledge and cognative limitations of decision maker
- Satisfice
- More constrained that prospect theory
Behavioral finance | Prospect theory
- associated with behavioral finance theory
- similar to bounded theory
- risk aversion is replaced by loss aversion
- 2 phases: Editing phase, then Evaluation phase
Behavioral finance | Prospect theory : Editing phase
First three steps
- Codification: gain/loss & prob
- Combination: Combines similar outcomes
- Segregation: separation of risk-free and risky aspect of each outcome
Behavioral finance | Prospect theory: Evaluation phase
- assign weights and prob
◎ weights and prob are based on behavioral biases
◎ >>gains < losses, large prob < tail events - calc expected utility
IPS | Situational profiling and risk tolerance
- source of wealth
◎ active (entrepreneurial) vs passive (steady accum & inherit) - measure of wealth
◎ perceived wealth vs needs >> percieved risk tolerance - stage of life
◎ foundation, accumulation, maintenance, distribution
IPS | Situational profiling: Source of wealth
- Active: more risk tol, but possible business risk vs investment risk difference
- Passive: less risk tol
IPS | Situational profiling: Stage of life
- Foundation (mod risk)
- Accumulation (highest risk)
- Maintenance [retirement] (low-mod risk)
- Distribution: old wealthy giving to others (low - high risk)
Traditional finance assumes investors have 3 traits
- risk aversion: min risk; risk is volatility
- rational expectations: unbiased view of the world
- asset integration: all investments are correlated
Traditional vs Behavioral investor traits
- risk aversion vs loss aversion
- rational expectations vs biased expectiations
- asset integration vs ass segregation
IPS | 4 Personality types
- cautious: low risk, indecisive, difficult
- methodical: conservative, lots of data
- confident, decisive
- spontaneous: high portfolio turnover, chase fads, doubt self and others
IPS | for exam, IPS = O&C (objectives & constraint section of IPS)
*only front of card*
IPS | IPS benefits to clients
- id’s and documents objectives/constraints
- dynamic in response to changes w/client or mkt
- easy to understand
- education about self and investing
- understand manager’s actions
- transferable across managers
IPS | IPS benefits to manager
- knowledge of client
- guidance for investment decisions
- resolution of disputes (signed documentation)
IPS | RRTTLLU breakdown by O&C
- O: RR
- C: TTLLU
IPS | arrving at RRTTLLU
TTLLU >> risk >> return
IPS | SAA must conform to IPS
*only front of card*
IPS | RRTTLLU abbrev for notes in test
- return: rn
- risk: rs
- time horizon: tm
- taxes: tx
- liquidity: lq
- legal: ll
- unique: u
IPS | calcing returns with inflation
add inflation in initially so that you include the inflated numbers when calcing taxes
IPS | are residences included in investment calculations?
no
IPS | remember to watch for…
- pre vs after tax
- real vs nominal
IPS | Return objective: 2 categories
required vs desired return
IPS | Risk objective: 2 categories
- ability (time horizon, wealth & outflow) vs willingness to take risk
- always state conclusion
- if they differ, pick conservative choice
IPS | assessing clients’ preferences
look at actions as well as statements
IPS | 4 Risk objective factors
- time horizon
- critical goals/expenditures
- liquidity needs
- portfolios proportion of overall wealth
IPS | Time horizon constraint assessment
- state:
◎ number of stages
◎ each stage objective
◎ # yrs in each stage - other involved people (eg giving/receiving inheritance)
- multi-generational horizon
- retirement time horizon default: 20-25 yrs
IPS | 4 Tax constraint: tax types
- income
- capital gains
- wealth transfer
- personal property (eg car, house)
IPS | 4 Tax mitigation strategies
- Tax deferral (eg cap gain investment, loss harvesting, low turnover)
- Tax avoidance: tax free securities
- Tax reduction: investments with lower tax rates (eg cap gains vs income)
- Wealth transfer timing: (eg. no sales)
IPS | Complicated tax situation
state that tax situation is complex and manager should seek qualified tax advice
IPS | 5 Liquidity constraints
- ongoing, known expense (or in return jbj)
- emergnecy reserves (if requested)
- one-off, infrequent outflows (college falls under time horizon)
- one off positive inflows
- illiquid assets: restricted from sale, illiquid (eg house)(or in unique), large tax cost (or in unique or tax)
IPS | Legal: 2 common issues
- Trust: revocable vs irrevocable
- Family foundation
IPS | Legal: notes
- If no big legal issues state there are none beyond normal Code & Standards responsibilities
- manager must follow the trust document; weigh needs of different stakeholders
- mention other legal issues or lack of
- if complex issues, state manager will seek qualified expert advice
IPS | Unique constraints
- Special investment concerns (eg social)
- Special instructions (liquidate holdings)
- Restrictions on sales
- Forbidden asset / asset classes
- Assets outside of portfolio (eg. houses)
- Bequests
- Unattainable objectives
IPS | General notes
- State what is there and what is NOT there
- Complex issues, seek qualified expert
- Re-state all the facts
- point out conflicting factors
Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA)
is the mix of asset classes that will meet the IPS objectives and constraints