CCP 101 Flashcards

1
Q

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

A
  • Established (1988) by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the
    United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
  • Rigorous and comprehensive scientific and technical assessments and
    summaries of existing climatic studies (no original research)
  • Focuses on human-caused portion of climate change (anthropogenic) -
    separate from natural climate change
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2
Q

system

A

a regularly interacting or interdependent group of items forming a unified whole.

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3
Q

Climate System

A

highly complex system consisting of five
major components:
* the atmosphere (gases and particles),
* the hydrosphere (liquid water),
* the cryosphere (frozen water),
* the lithosphere (solid earth),
* the biosphere (all forms of life), and
* the interactions among them.

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4
Q

Weather

A

the state of the atmosphere at
a particular place during a short period of
time

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5
Q

Climate

A

the average of weather for a given location and season, averaged over a period of time ranging from months to thousands of years, or even longer. A typical timeframe for defining climate
from weather statistics is 30 years.

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6
Q

Climate is influenced by

A

Latitude (determines annual exposure to sunlight)
Altitude (higher elevations tend to be cooler, & vice versa)
Location, including what’s upwind (ocean vs. lakes vs. plains vs. mountains)
Cloudiness, humidity, & wind (influence temperature & precipitation)

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7
Q

characterizations of climate include

A

Average conditions for a specific time of the year
Spatial scale being described (local, regional, or global)
Temporal scale (period of interest compared to some baseline period)

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8
Q

state of the climate system

A

influences the odds that certain types
of weather are more or less likely to
happen.

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9
Q

Climate variability

A

change in weather patterns due to natural
causes on relatively short to medium time spans (weeks to years). For example, El Niño / La Niña, Artic Oscillation

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10
Q

Climate change

A

a change in the state of the climate that can be
identified (e.g., by using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties and that persists for an extended period, typically decades or longer. It may result from natural causes, human (anthropogenic) causes, or both.

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11
Q

Global Warming

A

a long-term increase of the
average annual temperature for the whole earth.

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12
Q

Climate change can

A
  • be an increase or decrease
  • refer to many parameters
  • be local, regional, or global
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13
Q

Climate change is not

A

uniform and proportional to the level of
warming.

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14
Q

Energy Balance

A

the balance between the total energy that enters, leaves, and accumulates within a system (such as Earth’s climate system). Global warming, or global cooling, results from a long-term change in the balance of energy inputs into and outputs from the climate system.

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15
Q

Radiative Forcing

A

the difference between incoming and outgoing
energy.

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16
Q

Earth’s energy budget

A

Things that reflect & emit energy to space MINUS things that absorb energy into the system

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17
Q

Climate Forcing

A

an imposed, natural, or anthropogenic perturbation of the Earth’s energy balance with space (e.g., the sun’s energy output). Ex. sun’s energy output, earth’s orbital mechanics (eccentricity, obliquity, and precession), aerosols (cataclysms), and land use change

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18
Q

Climate Feedback

A

an interaction in which a perturbation in one
climate quantity causes a change in a second, and the change in the second quantity ultimately leads to an additional change in the first. A negative feedback is one in the changes weaken the initial perturbation; a positive feedback is one in which the changes enhance the initial perturbation. ex. clouds, albedo, and precipitation

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19
Q

Total Solar Irradiance

A

the amount of solar radiation received outside the earth’s atmosphere on a surface normal
to the incident radiation, and at the earth’s mean distance from the sun. The generally accepted value is 1368 W m-2 with an accuracy of about 0.2%. Variations of a few tenths of a percent are common, usually associated with the passage of sunspots across the solar disk.

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20
Q

Eccentricity

A

Earth’s orbit around the
Sun grows increasing / decreasingly
egg-shaped over 100K to 400k years

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21
Q

Obliquity

A

Earth’s axis tilts increasingly
away from and then back toward the
Sun, oscillating on roughly 41,000-year
cycles.

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22
Q

Precession

A

Earth has a “wobble” in its
spin, which traces out an imaginary
circle in an imaginary plane above it on
roughly 21,000-year cycles.

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23
Q

Albedo

A

the fraction of solar radiation reflected by a surface or object, often expressed as a percentage. ex. Forest clearing for agriculture generally increases albedo because bare ground reflects more than trees, but the global forcing effect is small.

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24
Q

Greenhouse Effect

A

the infrared radiative effect of all infrared-absorbing constituents in the atmosphere.

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25
Greenhouse Gases
those gaseous constituents of the atmosphere, both natural and anthropogenic, that absorb and emit radiation at specific wavelengths within the spectrum of infrared radiation emitted by the Earth’s surface, the atmosphere and clouds. The principal GHGs in Earth’s atmosphere are water vapor (H2O) and carbon dioxide (CO2).
26
Carbon Cycle
flow of carbon (in various forms, e.g., as CO2) through the atmosphere, ocean, terrestrial and marine biosphere, and lithosphere.
27
Climate Tipping Point
a transition when Earth’s climate system abruptly moves between relatively stable states. * Ocean circulation: Increasing fresh water from melting Arctic ice could alter the global “conveyor belt” of ocean circulation. * Ice loss: Complete melting of the Greenland icecap could raise sea level by 7 m (21 feet) and significantly alter Earth’s albedo. * Methane release: melting of permafrost that covers ~25% of the Northern hemisphere could greatly increase radiative forcing.
28
Evidence for Climate Changes
* GHG concentrations continue to set annual records. * Global average surface temperatures each year since 2014 have exceeded values in all prior years. * Ocean heat content continues to rise. * Sea level rise is accelerating. * Ocean acidity is increasing. * Sea ice coverage continues a multi-decade decline.
29
Extreme Climate Event i
the occurrence of pattern of extreme weather persisting for some time, e.g., over a season, especially if it yields an average or total that is itself extreme (e.g., drought or heavy rainfall over a season)
30
Climate Model
a numerical representation of the climate system based on the physical, chemical, and biological properties of its components; their interactions and feedback processes; and accounting for some of its known properties.
31
Atmosphere Ocean General Circulation Models
numerical representations of the climate system based on the physical, chemical, and biological properties of its components, their interactions and feedback processes, and accounting for all or some of its known properties.
32
Earth System Models
a complex integration of environmental variables used for understanding our planet, simulating simulate how chemistry, biology, and physical forces work together, including a representation of the carbon cycle.
33
Scientists have confidence in climate models, because they:
Incorporate established physical laws Simulate important aspects of the current climate Reproduce past climates and climate change
34
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)
scenarios that include time series of emissions and concentrations of the full suite of greenhouse gases (GHGs), aerosols, and chemically active gases, as well as land use/land cover.
35
Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) a
a collection of pathways that describe alternative futures of socioeconomic development in the absence of climate policy intervention.
36
Climate Mitigation
human intervention to reduce the sources or enhance the sinks of greenhouse gases. * Develop new habits to avoid wasting energy * Switch to carbon-free energy sources, such as solar & wind * Plant trees to increase the amount of CO2 taken up by forests & to reduce severity of ‘urban heat islands’ * Establish a carbon tax /dividend to build the cost to pollute into the economy
37
Climate Adaptation
the process of adjustment to actual or expected climate and its effects. * Protect habitat or structures threatened by climate hazards * Make & implement a climate resilience plans * Plant hardier crops * Develop new business models
38
Geoengineering
deliberate large-scale intervention in the Earth's natural systems to counteract climate change. CO2 Removal & Sequestration Reflecting Sunlight Back to Space
39
Yale Center's Six Americas
Alarmed Concerned Cautious Disengaged Doubtful Dismissive
40
Communication and Engagement
Goals Audience Listen Design Engage Adjust
41
SMART
Specific Measurable Achievable Relevant Timebound
42
Major Impacts from Climate Change
-Temperature and precipitation regime changes -Increases in extreme weather events -Sea level rise -Increases in flooding
43
drought
a prolonged period of dry weather caused by a lack of precipitation that results in serious water shortages for some activity, population, or ecological system
44
In addition to climate change, other factors influence inland flood frequency and intensity
location of dams, floodwater management activities, agricultural practices, land use changes.
45
Climate change causes global SLR in two ways (1.2 inches per decade):
-Melting ice sheets and glaciers on land directly contribute to sea level rise. -Thermal expansion of seawater as the ocean absorbs Earth’s surplus energy, which raises sea level
46
Global mean sea level
average height of all the world’s oceans. It is only raised by: * Adding water mass (melting land ice, land water storage) * Changing volume of existing ocean water (thermal expansion) * Changing the depth of the ocean basins by movement of Earth’s crust (Glacial isostatic adjustment, ~0.3 mm/yr)
47
Relative sea level
reflective of the combination of sea level rise, ocean/wind currents, glaciers, and the vertical position of adjacent land
48
high-tide flooding
sunny day flooding or nuisance flooding (flooding which causes public inconvenience)
49
Rate of nuisance flooding
relationship between local elevation and the high tide line
50
Climate change likely will not increase the number of cyclones and hurricanes but
likely will continue to increase their intensity
51
Phenology
timing of the annual cycles of plants and animals and their interconnections
52
Phenology is altered by changes in temperature and precipitation, influencing
* The abundance and distribution of plants (including food crops), wildlife, and marine life * Functioning of food webs * Global water and carbon cycles.
53
Temperature and precipitation regime change leads to:
* more prolonged droughts, * increasing heavy downpour events, * reduced snowpack and earlier spring melt, * and declines in surface water quality. -species viability within their current ranges, biodiversity levels, migration, invasive species, and ecosystem function around the globe.
54
Changes in Species
-Changing biology: seasonal coat color camouflage mismatch -Changing biology: disrupted hibernation cycles -Changing habitat: high-elevation cold habitat extinction -Changing habitat: Disrupted migration phenology -Changing habitat: Decreasing prey availability
55
Ocean Acidification
CO2 dissolves in seawater, it forms carbonic acid, decreasing the ocean’s pH.This absorption of atmospheric carbon dioxide causes carbonate ions to be relatively less abundant in the ocean
56
Climate Change and Health Assessment
* Extreme Temperatures * Air Quality * Extreme Events * Vector-borne Diseases * Water-related Illnesses * Food Safety, Nutrition * Mental Health & Well-being
57
The following population groups can be especially vulnerable to climate impacts:
* Children and Pregnant Women * Older Adults * Communities of Color, Low Income, Some Immigrants, and Limited English Proficiency Groups (for the United States) * Indigenous Peoples * Some Occupational Groups * People with Disabilities * People with Pre-Existing Medical Conditions and Mental Health Issues
58
Consequences of aquifer depletion include:
* Lower lake levels * Intermittent or totally dryperennial streams * Land subsidence and sinkhole formation in areas of heavy groundwater withdrawal * Salt water intrusions into areas of fresh groundwater
59
Community Impacts: Inland
* Temperature extremes * Extended hot weather * Unpredictable temperature regimes * Drought * Flooding * Intense storms * Increase in invasive species that harm other resources (e.g., tree-destroying insects) * Increases in diseases and pathogens
60
Community Impacts: Coastal
* Rising air and water temperatures * Sea level rise * Ocean acidification * Retreating arctic sea ice * High-tide flooding * Coastal erosion * Higher storm surge * Heavier precipitation events
61
climigration
permanent migration of communities due to climate change.
62
Supply chain
* The network of all the individuals, organizations, resources, activities, and technology involved in the creation and sale of a product. This network includes the delivery of source materials from the supplier to the manufacturer through to its eventual delivery to the end user. * The movement of materials as they flow from their source to the end customer. This process includes purchasing, manufacturing, warehousing, transportation, customer service, demand planning, supply planning, and supply chain management.
63
nodes and links
The nodes are factories or other production operations where value is added to the end product or, at the downstream terminus, the end user. Connection of nodes is through transportation operations that move the unfinished products between nodes or move the finished products to the customer.
64
Cascading impacts
interdependencies among systems and subsystems of coupled natural and socio-economic systems in response to changes and feedback loops
65
Synergistic impacts
those in which the interaction of one impact with another causes a greater effect than the individual impacts would alone.
66
stationarity
the statistical properties of a process generating a time series do not change over time.
67
Non-stationarity
what used to be normal is not normal anymore.
68
Vulnerability Assessment
a process to identify, evaluate, and assess susceptibility to climate-related hazards. It is a proactive way to: * Consider a full range of climate scenarios and system responses, * Incorporate climate variability and uncertainties, * Prioritize critical assets and services at risk from these threats, and * Inform response strategies
69
Hazard
event or condition that may cause injury, illness, or death to people or damage to assets, such as a prolonged heat wave.
70
Climate Stressor
condition, event, or trend related to climate variability and change that can exacerbate hazards. For example, climate change increases the likelihood of such heat waves.
71
Non-climate Stressor
change or trend unrelated to climate that can exacerbate hazards, such as growing urban heat islands that increase risks in a prolonged heat wave.
72
Climate describes
the frequency and severity of hazards
73
Impacts involve both
hazard and an asset
74
System Failure
the loss of functionality of a system under the impact of an external hazard.
75
Vulnerability
propensity or predisposition of assets, services or dependencies to be adversely affected by hazards. Vulnerability encompasses exposure, sensitivity, potential impacts, and adaptive capacity
76
Exposure
presence of people, assets, and ecosystems in places where they could be adversely affected by hazards. Estimate the degree, magnitude, and frequency with which asset or service will be exposed to the hazard
77
Sensitivity (fragility)
degree to which a system, population, or resource is or might be affected by hazards. Estimate the changes to the asset’s performance or production due to the climate-related hazard Types of information that help gauge the degree of sensitivity – Specific design standards or criteria – Design elements in the surrounding geography or the larger facility
78
Adaptive Capacity
-the ability of a person, asset, or system to adjust to a hazard, take advantage of new opportunities, or cope with change. -The ability of a system to adjust to or moderate potential damages caused by climate-related hazards so as to preserve or enhance the system’s functionality. Evaluate the asset’s or system’s ability to adjust to or moderate potential damages from the climate hazard
79
Risk
potential for adverse consequences where something of value is at stake and where the occurrence and degree of an outcome is uncertain. Magnitude+likelihood+vulnerability
80
Resilience
the capacity of a community, business, or natural environment to prevent, to prepare for, to withstand, to recover, and to adapt to significant threats with minimum damage to social well-being, the economy, and the environment. Resilience often incorporates multiple lines of defense