Case in Point Flashcards
What are the 4 most usted case scenarios?
- Profit and loss
- Entering a new market
- Pricing
- Growth and increasing sales
What is the most important formula for profit & loss questions
E(P=R-C)M
- P = Profits
- R = Revenues
- C = Costs
- E = Economy or environment
- M = Market or industry
Structure profit-loss scenario?
- E = External factors: economy as such, environment
- M = Core market Q’s: have our competitors’ profits also fallen
- Internal: Core company questions: profit = Revenues - Costs
- Revenues: Price & Volume
- Costs: fixed costs and variable costs
In a profit-loss problem, what is the first question?
Have our competitos’ profits also fallen?
- If yes: industry-wide problem: external factors
- Effects of natural disasters
- Rise of interest rates, tariffs
- Supply chain constraints
- Entry of new entrant into market
- If no: internal factors
- increased costs;
- lower revenues
- outdated products
What is the second question in a profit-loss problem?
- Q: by how much have profits fallen?
- You need two or three things that might be important
- Eg. retailer: consumer confidence, disposable income, unemployment rate and maybe petrol prices.
- Eg. manufacturer
- Exchange rate euro vs. other currences
- Interest rates, taiffs, petrol prices
- Other commodities
Core questions to ask about the company
-
Revenues and profits for the last three years
- What are the major revnue streatms and what percentage of the total revenue does each stream represent?
- What are the major costs? Do they seem out of line?
-
Customer segmentations?
- Characteristics
- Changing needs
- Profitability by segment
- Product mix?
- Costs / margins,
- Product differentiations?
- Market share?
- Cannibalization between products?
- Production capabilities / capacity
- Brand? Market leader?
- Distribution channels
- WCS = what constitutes succes
- Which metric to use?
Core questions about the market?
- Market size, growth rate and trends
- Where is the market in its lifecycle:
- Emerging
- Mature
- Declining?
- Industry drivers
- Customer segmentation(s)?
- Margins
- Industry changes:
- M&A
- New players
- Change in technology
- New regulations
- Distribution channels
- Major players and market share
- Product differentiation
- Access to suppliers
- Barriers to entry/exit?
What are possible industry drivers?
- Brand, street cred
- Price
- content
- size
- endorsements
- Fads/culture
- Marketing
- Economics,
- Technology
- Geopolitcal events
- Bargaining power of buyers
- Bargaining power of suppliers
- Distribution channels
Whatare possible barriers to entry?
- access to capical
- distribution channels
- raw materials
- technical knowledge
- human talent
- Government regulations
- Customer loyalty
- sticky featers
- market domination by one or two players
What are barriers to exit?
Barriers to exit
- massive investment and non tranferable fixed assets
- contract requirements with suppliers
- government requirements:e g. major tax break
- costs of leaving a arket are higher than those incurred tocontinue competing
- barriers of empotions: we built our house on this market
Questions to think about in a P&L case?
Revenues:
- What are the major revenue streams and what percentage of that the total revenue does each stream represent?
- Does anything seem unusual in th ebalance of percentages?
- Have the percentages changed lately?
Costs:
- Have there been any major shifts in costs?
- Do any costs seem out of line?
- If we benchmarked our costs against our competitors’ costs? What would we find?
Products:
- Ask about advantages
- Disadvantages
What is a good clarifycing question when entering a new market?
Why does this company want to enter this market?
You want to first analyzet he company before the market. This way, you can look at the new market through thte company’s eyes, not just their own eyes.
Steps for Entering a new Market?
- Start off with questions on the company
- Determine the state of the current and future market
- Investigate the market to determine whether entry makes good business sense
- If we decide to enter this market, what are the ways to do so?
How do you determine the state of the current and future market?
- What is the size of the current market?
- What is the growth rate? = ask for trends
- Where is the industry in its lifecycle:
- Emerging
- Mature
- Declining
- Who are the customers and how are they segmented?
- What role does technology play in the industry and how quickly will that changee?
- How will the competition respond?
How do you analyze the company when entering a new market-case?
- What are the company’s profits and revenues for the last three years?
- What is the company’s product mix?
- If this is about a new product:
- Will it cannibalize an existing product?
- Is the customer segmentation the same?
- Can we use the same distribution channels?
- Can we use the same sale forces?
- How and where will this new product be produced?
- Will we have to hire new workers or retrain current workers?
- How strong is the brand?
- Is it market leader?
- What constitutes success?
How do you investigate the market to determine whether entry makes good business sense?
- Who are the competitors and what market share do they have?
- How do their products differ from ours?
- How will we price our goods / services?
- Are substitutions available?
- Are there any barriers to entry?
- Eg. lack of brand or street cred; capital requirements; access to raw materials; access to distributions channels; lack of human capital; government policy? Industries dominated by a small number of big players?
- Barriers to exit? How would we exit if this market sours?
- What are the risks: changing market regulation, technology?
if we decide to enter the market, what is the best way to become a player = what are the ways to enter?
- Start from scratch and grow organically
- Acquire an existing player from within the industry = growing inorganically
- Form a joint venture / strategic alliance with another player with a similar interest = what can each side bring to the venture?
- Outsourcing: have someone else manufacture the product, with the client still handling marketing and distribution
—> Cost-benefit analysis for all scenarios
How do you end an Entering a Market Case?
- Give a recommendation:
-
Yes: this is why, this is how, these are the risks
- → be sure to prioritize the risks based on impact and likelihood of occurrence and the next steps: both short term and long term.
- If no: then no
- Give the reasons for the answer, list and prioritize the risks of not entering the market, based on the impact and the likelihood of occurrence. If possible, provide an alternative route for the client.
DO NOT: explain or mention the options you did not choose.
What are the 2 main concerns with an M&A case?
- Does it increase shareholder value?
- Will the cultures mesh? = culture mismatch
Key points in an M&A case for the buyer?
- If the buyer is a PE firm:
- Why does the PE firm want to buy the company?
- What else does it own?
- What does it plan to do with it: hold, flip or break apart?
- If one company acquiring another:
- Why?
- What other products do they sell?
- What are the synergies involved? = needs to make good business sense.
What are some reasons to purchase in an M&A case?
- increase market access, boost the brand, increase market share
- Diversify the company’s holdings
- Pre-empt the competition from acquiring the company
- Target company is a threat
- Inherit management talent
- Obtain patents, licenses, products
- Gain from synergies, cost savings, cultural integration, expansion of distribution channels, cross-sell products
- Gain tax advantages
- Increase shareholder value
What is the due diligence like in an M&A?
- What kind of shape is the target company in? Management, products, profitability, brand? What is the stand-alone value
- How secure are the markets, the customers, the suppliers?
- What are the margins like? Are they high volume, low margin
What are the steps in a pricing case?
- Investigate the company: Most important aspect: the company strategy or objective
- Market share
- Profits
- Brand positioning
- Inveestigate the product
- Determine a pricing strategy
- Competitive analysis
- Cost-based pricing
- Price-based costing
How do we investigate a company in a pricing case,
- What products do they have?
- Is it the market leader?
-
What is the pricing objective? = most important aspect: the company strategy or objective!
- Market share
- Profits
- Brand positioning?
- Is it in charge of its own pricing strategies or is it reacting to suppliers, the market and competitors?
What is the second step in a pricing case?
- How does it compare with that of the competition? Are there any substitutions or alternatives? Where is the product in its growth cycle? Is there a supply-and-demand issue at work?
What is the third step in a pricing case?
Determining a pricing strategy:
- Competitive analysis
- Cost-based pricing
- Price-based costing
What is competitive analysis?
- Are there similar products out there?
- How does our product compare with the competition?
- Do we know the competitor’s costs?
- How are its products priced?
- Are there substitutions available?
- Is there a supply-and-demand issue?
- What will the competitive response be?
What is cost-based pricing?
- Take all our costs and add a profit → that way, you will know your break-even point.
- Why is this not a very good way? = if you misjudge the market, you will have to cut prices, which will squeeze margins.